Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TSM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $19.7479 (2.76%) ($19.1173 - $20.0038) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $19.7479(2.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(66%)    VWO(66%)    EEM(63%)    SMH(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.54(-26.37%)
Resistance Level   $20.18
5 Day Moving Average   $19.55(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.86(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.18(-2.14%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $102.414b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	21.01	20.18		19.55			19.75(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-20	-10000	-1	-76	25.4	38%	-0.14	-50.5	1.38%	0	-0.8	37	0
2	Aug_7_2015	21.04	20.23	19.86	19.57			19.22(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-15	-105	16.64	34%	-0.09	-51.7	1.34%	0	-1.9	30	0
3	Aug_6_2015	21.06	20.31	19.93	19.77			19.45(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-43	-10000	-20	-110	12.95	34%	-0.14	-51.5	1.33%	0	-1.8	30	0
4	Aug_5_2015	21.09	20.36	20.02	20.03			19.75(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-7	-83	7.51	35%	-0.09	-48.1	1.33%	0	-1.4	38	0
5	Aug_4_2015	21.11	20.39	20.08	20.12			19.6(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-10000	-6	-80	13.83	34%	-0.09	-47.2	1.32%	0	-1.8	38	0

6	Aug_3_2015	21.13	20.46	20.21	20.2			19.85(-1.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-15	-10000	2	-66	11.95	34%	-0.09	-40.5	1.33%	0	-1.5	38	0
7	Jul_31_2015	21.15	20.52	20.31	20.18			20.2(-2.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	6	-68	16.31	35%	0	-45.3	1.32%	0	-0.8	41	0
8	Jul_30_2015	21.15	20.56	20.39	20.1			20.74(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-15	-10000	5	-73	17.4	38%	-0.05	-52.8	1.3%	0	0.4	51	0
9	Jul_29_2015	21.16	20.57	20.38	20.03			20.2(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-2	-79	12.78	33%	0	-60.3	1.26%	0	-0.9	50	0
10	Jul_28_2015	21.16	20.6	20.43	20.05			19.99(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-14	-77	13.1	33%	-0.05	-66.8	1.25%	0	-1.5	47	0

11	Jul_27_2015	21.17	20.62	20.51	20.23			19.77(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-18	-60	10.17	37%	-0.09	-67.2	1.25%	0	-2.2	34	0
12	Jul_24_2015	21.19	20.69	20.63	20.46			19.78(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-10000	-19	-32	15.05	41%	-0.09	-56.7	1.28%	0	-2.7	34	0
13	Jul_23_2015	21.21	20.78	20.63	20.71			20.39(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-6	-6	16.25	46%	-0.05	-36.2	1.28%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Jul_22_2015	21.22	20.82	20.73	20.79			20.31(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5	-10000	-4	-9	17.28	49%	-0.05	-26.2	1.3%	0	-1.6	41	0
15	Jul_21_2015	21.23	20.88	20.73	20.85			20.91(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	1	-8	9.37	53%	-0.09	-16.2	1.28%	0	0.1	53	0

16	Jul_20_2015	21.25	20.88	20.73	20.84			20.93(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	1	12.31	53%	-0.05	-10.5	1.28%	0	0.1	59	0
17	Jul_17_2015	21.26	20.88	20.73	20.83			21.05(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	6	0	10.31	53%	0	-14.4	1.28%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Jul_16_2015	21.26	20.89	20.74	20.75			20.77(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-17	29.85	51%	-0.09	-19	1.27%	0	-0.4	40	0
19	Jul_15_2015	21.28	20.91	20.76	20.65			20.62(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	5	-37	13.86	51%	-0.09	-23.5	1.27%	0	-0.9	41	0
20	Jul_14_2015	21.3	20.93	20.77	20.59			20.84(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-16	-10000	-2	-59	8.78	51%	-0.05	-19.6	1.28%	0	-0.3	42	0

21	Jul_13_2015	21.31	20.92	20.74	20.62			20.89(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-20	-10000	-2	-73	11.5	51%	-0.05	-9.8	1.28%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	Jul_10_2015	21.32	20.93	20.75	20.64			20.63(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-8	-72	9.04	49%	-0.05	1.3	1.27%	0	-0.9	48	0
23	Jul_9_2015	21.33	20.95	20.83	20.74			20.31(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-10	-55	12.15	47%	-0.09	18.2	1.26%	0	-2.1	39	0
24	Jul_8_2015	21.35	20.98	20.93	20.87			20.31(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-10000	-7	-33	13.96	47%	-0.05	28.6	1.26%	0	-2.4	42	0
25	Jul_7_2015	21.36	20.99	21.04	20.96			20.98(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	8	-11	10.13	52%		26.4	1.2%	0	-0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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