Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $20.7440 (2.67%) ($20.2779 - $20.8171) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $20.7440(2.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(68%)    VT(66%)    VWO(66%)    EEM(63%)    SMH(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $16.4(-20.94%)
5 Day Moving Average   $20.1(3.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.39(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.56(0.89%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $107.58b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2015	21.15	20.56	20.39	20.1			20.74(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-15	-10000	5	-73	17.4	38%	-0.05	-52.8	1.3%	0	0.4	51	0
2	Jul_29_2015	21.16	20.57	20.38	20.03			20.2(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-10000	-2	-79	12.78	33%	0	-60.3	1.26%	0	-0.9	50	0
3	Jul_28_2015	21.16	20.6	20.43	20.05			19.99(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-14	-77	13.1	33%	-0.05	-66.8	1.25%	0	-1.5	47	0
4	Jul_27_2015	21.17	20.62	20.51	20.23			19.77(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-10000	-18	-60	10.17	37%	-0.09	-67.2	1.25%	0	-2.2	34	0
5	Jul_24_2015	21.19	20.69	20.63	20.46			19.78(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-22	-10000	-19	-32	15.05	41%	-0.09	-56.7	1.28%	0	-2.7	34	0

6	Jul_23_2015	21.21	20.78	20.63	20.71			20.39(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-6	-6	16.25	46%	-0.05	-36.2	1.28%	0	-1.3	37	0
7	Jul_22_2015	21.22	20.82	20.73	20.79			20.31(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5	-10000	-4	-9	17.28	49%	-0.05	-26.2	1.3%	0	-1.6	41	0
8	Jul_21_2015	21.23	20.88	20.73	20.85			20.91(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	-10000	1	-8	9.37	53%	-0.09	-16.2	1.28%	0	0.1	53	0
9	Jul_20_2015	21.25	20.88	20.73	20.84			20.93(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	1	12.31	53%	-0.05	-10.5	1.28%	0	0.1	59	0
10	Jul_17_2015	21.26	20.88	20.73	20.83			21.05(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	6	0	10.31	53%	0	-14.4	1.28%	0	0.5	49	0

11	Jul_16_2015	21.26	20.89	20.74	20.75			20.77(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-17	29.85	51%	-0.09	-19	1.27%	0	-0.4	40	0
12	Jul_15_2015	21.28	20.91	20.76	20.65			20.62(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	5	-37	13.86	51%	-0.09	-23.5	1.27%	0	-0.9	41	0
13	Jul_14_2015	21.3	20.93	20.77	20.59			20.84(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-16	-10000	-2	-59	8.78	51%	-0.05	-19.6	1.28%	0	-0.3	42	0
14	Jul_13_2015	21.31	20.92	20.74	20.62			20.89(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-20	-10000	-2	-73	11.5	51%	-0.05	-9.8	1.28%	0	-0.1	44	0
15	Jul_10_2015	21.32	20.93	20.75	20.64			20.63(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-8	-72	9.04	49%	-0.05	1.3	1.27%	0	-0.9	48	0

16	Jul_9_2015	21.33	20.95	20.83	20.74			20.31(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-10000	-10	-55	12.15	47%	-0.09	18.2	1.26%	0	-2.1	39	0
17	Jul_8_2015	21.35	20.98	20.93	20.87			20.31(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-14	-10000	-7	-33	13.96	47%	-0.05	28.6	1.26%	0	-2.4	42	0
18	Jul_7_2015	21.36	20.99	21.04	20.96			20.98(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	8	-11	10.13	52%	-0.05	26.4	1.2%	0	-0	50	0
19	Jul_6_2015	21.37	20.96	21.06	20.86			20.96(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-18	7.48	52%	-0.05	-5.2	1.21%	0	0	55	0
20	Jul_2_2015	21.38	20.93	21.06	20.88			21.16(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-5	-23	7.88	52%	-0.05	-19.2	1.2%	0	0.7	51	0

21	Jul_1_2015	21.39	20.93	21.05	20.94			20.95(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-5	-9	12.4	52%	0	-31.1	1.22%	0	0.1	51	0
22	Jun_30_2015	21.39	20.9	21.06	21.01			20.75(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-9	3	15.84	52%	0	-36.5	1.22%	0	-0.4	51	0
23	Jun_29_2015	21.39	20.92	21.1	21.12			20.45(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-1	-10000	-12	32	14.49	49%	0	-32.8	1.22%	0	-1.3	55	0
24	Jun_26_2015	21.39	20.97	21.1	21.28			21.07(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	3	75	14.81	54%	0	-21	1.17%	0	0.3	67	0
25	Jun_25_2015	21.39	21	21.14	21.24			21.47(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	4	88	8.37	48%		-22	1.15%	0	1.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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