Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $20.5840 (2.17%) ($20.0313 - $20.6731) on Tue. Jan. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $20.5840(2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(67%)    VT(65%)    VWO(65%)    EEM(62%)    SMH(62%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.74(4.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.42(5.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.61(4.97%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $106.75b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2015	19.2	19.61	19.42	19.74			20.58(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	24	11	24	54%	0.1	15.2	1.74%	0	1.7	55	0
2	Jan_16_2015	19.18	19.55	19.28	19.33			20.15(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	1	-10000	15	-42	22.4	55%	0.05	-7.4	1.71%	0	1.1	52	0
3	Jan_15_2015	19.17	19.51	19.24	19.08			20.41(8.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.6	-8	-10000	12	-69	36.35	55%	0.1	-25.7	1.75%	0	1.8	54	0
4	Jan_14_2015	19.15	19.44	19.17	18.88			18.77(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-8	-119	21.76	49%	0	-48.8	1.38%	0	-1.4	32	0
5	Jan_13_2015	19.15	19.48	19.29	18.99			18.77(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-4	-103	11.04	49%	0.05	-49.8	1.41%	0	-1.6	30	0

6	Jan_12_2015	19.14	19.53	19.41	19.05			18.53(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-10000	-12	-98	24.7	49%	0	-59	1.41%	0	-2.4	30	0
7	Jan_9_2015	19.14	19.59	19.55	19.22			18.9(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-13	-66	17.6	45%	0	-66.1	1.53%	0	-2	44	0
8	Jan_8_2015	19.14	19.64	19.66	19.41			19.44(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-7	-33	15.83	48%	0.05	-67.3	1.48%	0	-0.7	56	0
9	Jan_7_2015	19.13	19.67	19.7	19.51			19.32(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	-10000	-10	-10	10.18	46%	0.05	-58.8	1.49%	0	-1.2	58	0
10	Jan_6_2015	19.12	19.71	19.76	19.65			19.04(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-6	-10000	-12	11	10.17	46%	0.05	-53.3	1.5%	0	-2.2	43	0

11	Jan_5_2015	19.11	19.77	19.85	19.83			19.38(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	5	-10000	-7	39	9.03	48%	0.05	-51.1	1.49%	0	-1.4	48	0
12	Jan_2_2015	19.1	19.82	19.86	19.93			19.86(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	48	6.08	54%	0.1	-45.4	1.49%	0	0.1	52	0
13	Dec_31_2014	19.08	19.84	19.81	19.94			19.95(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	2	43	3.88	54%	0.16	-38	1.49%	0	0.3	53	0
14	Dec_30_2014	19.05	19.85	19.73	19.91			20(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	1	21	4.79	54%	0.11	-45.2	1.49%	0	0.5	45	0
15	Dec_29_2014	19.03	19.87	19.68	19.9			19.95(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	2	11	3.74	54%	0.11	-44.2	1.49%	0	0.2	46	0

16	Dec_26_2014	19.01	19.91	19.64	19.87			19.89(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	-10000	6	-4	2.63	54%	0.16	-33.6	1.5%	0	-0	40	0
17	Dec_24_2014	18.98	19.95	19.62	19.78			19.92(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	9	-24	1.98	51%	0.16	-31.9	1.52%	0	-0.1	39	0
18	Dec_23_2014	18.95	19.97	19.61	19.65			19.8(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	9	-50	6.06	51%	0.05	-31.7	1.52%	0	-0.4	35	0
19	Dec_22_2014	18.94	20	19.61	19.51			19.94(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	-10000	5	-68	4.71	51%	0.11	-30.6	1.52%	0	-0.1	46	0
20	Dec_19_2014	18.92	20.03	19.63	19.44			19.79(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-19	-10000	3	-86	11.71	49%	0.11	-29.6	1.52%	0	-0.5	37	0

21	Dec_18_2014	18.9	20.05	19.67	19.39			19.43(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-10000	-5	-106	10.8	47%	0.05	-28.9	1.53%	0	-1.3	24	0
22	Dec_17_2014	18.89	20.09	19.76	19.46			19.29(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-7	-106	13.15	47%	0.05	-22.3	1.54%	0	-1.7	28	0
23	Dec_16_2014	18.88	20.12	19.88	19.56			19.11(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-13	-100	11.18	47%	0.05	-19.2	1.53%	0	-2.3	31	0
24	Dec_15_2014	18.87	20.15	19.99	19.76			19.56(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-7	-85	14.12	49%	0.11	-10.3	1.51%	0	-1.5	35	0
25	Dec_12_2014	18.85	20.17	20.08	19.86			19.59(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-9	-78	11.34	46%		2.7	1.51%	0	-1.6	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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