Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: TSM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 28, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)
TSM latest price $19.8958 (1.47%) ($19.7206 - $19.8958) on Thu. Jul. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.04% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $19.8958(1.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSM advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(66%)    VT(64%)    VWO(64%)    SMH(62%)    EEM(61%)
Factors Impacting TSM price   TSM will decline at least -0.52% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.52% (StdDev 1.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.23(3.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.83(5.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.72(6.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.7%
Market Cap   $103.181b

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. engages in the manufacture and sale of integrated circuits and wafer semiconductor devices. Its chips are used in personal computers and peripheral products; information applications; wired and wireless communications systems products; automotive and industrial equipment including consumer electronics such as digital video compact disc player, digital television, game consoles, and digital cameras. The company was founded by Chung Mou Chang on February 21, 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu, Taiwan.

$. TSM price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140803

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_3_2014	18.27	18.72	18.83	19.23			19.9(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	-10000	30	109	4.32	70%	0.16	56.6	1.04%	0	2.9	71	0
2	Jul_2_2014	18.24	18.65	18.72	18.93			19.61(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	37	-10000	25	71	10.57	69%	0.16	54.8	1.04%	0	3.1	68	0
3	Jul_1_2014	18.21	18.59	18.62	18.69			19.25(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	25	-10000	21	35	8.66	66%	0.11	52.5	1.02%	0	3	64	0
4	Jun_30_2014	18.19	18.55	18.55	18.49			18.74(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	-10000	11	-7	6.49	61%	0.11	37.3	0.96%	0	1	51	0
5	Jun_27_2014	18.17	18.52	18.53	18.39			18.64(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-6	-10000	2	-28	5.82	61%	0.06	22.1	0.97%	0	0.6	51	0

6	Jun_26_2014	18.16	18.49	18.52	18.37			18.42(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-14	-39	5.18	58%	0	16.8	0.96%	0	-0.3	49	0
7	Jun_25_2014	18.16	18.48	18.53	18.49			18.42(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-6	-17	5.49	58%	0.06	33.9	0.97%	0	-0.3	47	0
8	Jun_24_2014	18.15	18.47	18.54	18.54			18.21(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-10	-8	8.12	55%	0	47.2	0.97%	0	-1.1	44	0
9	Jun_23_2014	18.15	18.48	18.59	18.63			18.27(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	-10000	-7	11	6.11	55%	0	62.1	0.98%	0	-0.9	42	0
10	Jun_20_2014	18.15	18.47	18.59	18.69			18.53(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	11	-10000	1	41	8.45	60%	0.06	66.2	0.96%	0	0.3	62	0

11	Jun_19_2014	18.14	18.45	18.62	18.68			19(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	25	-10000	12	64	9.71	72%	0.17	62.5	0.87%	0	2.2	77	0
12	Jun_18_2014	18.11	18.4	18.57	18.58			18.7(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	5	58	8.46	68%	0.06	52.3	0.85%	0	1.3	68	0
13	Jun_17_2014	18.1	18.36	18.55	18.58			18.63(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	0	55	10.29	68%	0.11	46.6	0.86%	0	1.1	60	0
14	Jun_16_2014	18.08	18.34	18.54	18.58			18.58(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	0	68	4.54	68%	0.06	48.9	0.87%	0	1	58	0
15	Jun_13_2014	18.07	18.32	18.5	18.58			18.48(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	0	69	5.71	68%	0.11	57.1	0.88%	0	0.7	62	0

16	Jun_12_2014	18.05	18.3	18.46	18.54			18.49(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-2	66	5.64	68%	0.06	61.1	0.9%	0	0.8	63	0
17	Jun_11_2014	18.04	18.27	18.43	18.54			18.51(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	0	76	7.51	68%	0.06	67.5	0.91%	0	1	66	0
18	Jun_10_2014	18.03	18.25	18.4	18.56			18.66(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	2	88	7.6	68%	0.17	79.4	0.91%	0	1.8	70	0
19	Jun_9_2014	18	18.22	18.36	18.54			18.58(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	11	98	8.13	68%	0.11	104.3	0.92%	0	1.7	63	0
20	Jun_6_2014	17.98	18.18	18.32	18.45			18.48(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	10	75	7.65	68%	0.06	106.9	0.94%	0	1.4	57	0

21	Jun_5_2014	17.97	18.16	18.28	18.36			18.57(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	10	58	8.4	68%	0.17	115.5	0.94%	0	2.1	62	0
22	Jun_4_2014	17.94	18.12	18.21	18.27			18.49(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	5	36	10.89	68%	0.11	114.3	0.96%	0	1.9	63	0
23	Jun_3_2014	17.92	18.07	18.16	18.23			18.61(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	13	-10000	8	26	20.12	68%	0.11	97.4	0.96%	0	2.6	64	0
24	Jun_2_2014	17.9	18	18.16	18.23			18.1(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	0	16	6.48	57%	0.06	68.4	0.82%	0	0.4	53	0
25	May_30_2014	17.89	17.96	18.11	18.16			18.01(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-3	26	6.67	57%		0	0.83%	0	0.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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