Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 13, 2023

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Mon. Apr. 29, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $277.7700 (2.05%) ($277.7700 - $277.7700) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.96% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $277.7700(2.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DRIV(45%)    IFRA(30%)    IGOV(30%)    XHB(29%)    EWY(28%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-25%)    TBT(-24%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-10%)    GLD(2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.48% (StdDev 2.96%)
Hourly BBV 2.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $272.66(1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $272.26(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $265.34(4.68%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   80.8%
Market Cap   $263.326b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 4.07% (three month std-dev: 2.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 36 Average positive next day return: 3.19%(61%) Average negative next day return: -2.43%(39%) Sample size 36 Average positive next three day return: 6.38%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -4.05%(33%) Sample size 36 Average positive next weekly return: 8.12%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.79%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2023	203.03	265.34	272.26	272.66	272.22	274.98	277.77(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	85	70	79	101	104.51	69%	0.41	86	2.96%	2.1	1.1	57	1
2	Jul_12_2023	202.21	263.94	270.17	272.42	271.35	270.87	272.18(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-20	7	71	91.28	69%	0.39	101.7	2.97%	1.1	0.8	58	1.1
3	Jul_11_2023	201.43	262.62	268.11	274.53	272.44	269.46	269.56(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-50	-100	-77	30	88.55	69%	0.36	124	3.01%	-0.7	0.7	47	-0.3
4	Jul_10_2023	200.71	261	265.5	276.42	275.8	271.82	269.36(-1.85%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-55	-110	-81	25	115.79	69%	0.32	139.2	3.01%	-1.4	0.8	55	-0.5
5	Jul_7_2023	200.06	258.91	264.35	275	278.22	275.43	274.44(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-16	-40	-34	40	112.99	69%	0.38	139.1	2.99%	-1.2	1.3	59	-0.3

6	Jul_6_2023	199.3	256.37	263.21	271.49	275.21	279.79	276.57(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	160	39	59	114.95	69%	0.33	129.1	3.01%	-0.2	1.6	58	-0.6
7	Jul_5_2023	198.64	253.5	261.38	267.36	270.29	281.01	282.72(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	228	310	258	137	125.69	69%	0.43	116.2	2.99%	1	2.1	64	0.9
8	Jul_3_2023	197.78	250.09	260.18	260.81	263.52	270.63	279.01(6.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	240	220	274	136	118.6	65%	0.44	98.2	3.03%	0	1.8	65	1.2
9	Jun_30_2023	196.91	246.56	258.11	253.21	256.27	259.58	262.25(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	92	130	105	53	106.1	65%	0.29	89.2	3.09%	1.2	0.9	65	1
10	Jun_29_2023	196.34	243.76	257.45	252.3	250.95	256.41	256.9(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	140	50	49	126.75	65%	0.3	84.8	3.09%	0.7	0.7	68	1

11	Jun_28_2023	195.76	241.09	257.61	253.81	251.15	252.97	255.92(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	99	20	98	102	154.58	65%	0.32	83.5	3.1%	1.2	0.7	69	1.2
12	Jun_27_2023	195.14	238.12	257.09	254.56	253.29	245.5	249.97(3.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-60	-230	-97	53	158.01	65%	0.29	82.4	3.1%	-0.3	0.5	69	1.1
13	Jun_26_2023	194.57	235.04	256.79	259.51	255.7	249.33	241.02(-6.47%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-205	-220	-283	29	176.99	63%	0.27	90.8	3.07%	-1.9	0.3	68	1
14	Jun_23_2023	194.04	232.36	256.6	263.42	264.13	261.08	257.68(-2.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	30	-70	-23	187	164.91	68%	0.38	91	2.95%	-1.4	1	80	1.1
15	Jun_22_2023	193.31	228.85	253.61	263.07	264.86	262.07	264.47(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-50	-54	201	159.13	68%	0.44	88.9	2.92%	-0.1	1.3	85	1.4

16	Jun_21_2023	192.46	225.05	249.5	261.86	261.89	267.19	259.67(-5.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	61	140	0	242	202.27	71%	0.47	90.1	2.95%	-0.6	1.2	86	1.3
17	Jun_20_2023	191.56	221.09	245.47	259.87	261.58	267.65	274.7(5.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	290	180	264	366	156.05	76%	0.66	90	2.99%	2	1.9	98	1.2
18	Jun_16_2023	190.3	216.09	239.33	253.91	255.34	256.58	260.59(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	129	50	72	301	156.74	74%	0.54	88.9	2.93%	1	1.7	98	1.6
19	Jun_15_2023	189.27	211.7	234.05	248.8	251.4	255.52	255.9(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	143	150	86	312	160.17	74%	0.85	87.2	2.94%	0	1.7	98	1.2
20	Jun_13_2023	187.67	207.19	228.85	242.6	247.03	254.09	258.46(3.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	254	250	220	356	155.07	74%	0.63	79.6	2.97%	1.7	2	95	1.3

21	Jun_12_2023	186.5	202.48	222.97	235.24	238.65	247.29	249.72(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	244	300	214	335	143.9	73%	0.64	74.9	2.95%	1	1.9	89	1.4
22	Jun_9_2023	185.31	198.3	217.29	228.84	231.63	239.98	244.87(4.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	277	290	257	338	194.64	73%	0.65	72	2.95%	1	2	91	1.7
23	Jun_8_2023	184.11	194.52	211.23	222.65	224.84	230.01	235.04(4.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	209	190	183	285	146.38	71%	0.59	73.9	2.99%	1.6	2	90	2
24	Jun_7_2023	183.03	191.08	205.99	217.12	219.55	223.29	224.93(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	150	150	118	244	179.3	69%	0.53	74.3	2.98%	0.9	1.8	90	2.2
25	Jun_6_2023	182.06	188.18	202.03	212.9	215.17	219.68	221.64(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	153	180	122	245	139.42	69%		75.6	3.01%	1.4	1.9	91	2.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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