Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 1, 2020

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $448.1600 (4.46%) ($434.4200 - $448.8800) on Thu. Oct. 1, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.09% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $448.1600(4.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(56%)    VUG(47%)    ARKK(43%)    XLK(43%)    IWF(42%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -3.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-17%)    VXX(-13%)    EDOC(-5%)    TLT(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.045% (StdDev 6.09%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $424.96(5.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $420.9(6.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $411.34(8.95%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   100.1%
Market Cap   $424.856b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 7.74% (three month std-dev: 6.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 3.7%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.96%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.9%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.37%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_1_2020	297.45	411.34	420.9	424.96	427.6	434.62	448.16(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	139	130	162	70	50.74	68%	1.01	-23.8	6.09%	1.8	1.2	66	0.8
2	Sep_30_2020	294.49	410.88	418.07	412.88	416.89	422.49	429.01(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	120	86	34	48.15	69%	0.94	-32	6.09%	1.1	0.6	64	0.8
3	Sep_29_2020	291.76	412.74	418.99	403.15	404.24	420.58	419.07(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	91	290	106	46	50.34	70%	0.91	-28.6	6.13%	0.5	0.2	64	0.9
4	Sep_28_2020	289.14	416.22	421.77	404.18	397.89	411.29	421.2(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	190	180	103	49.72	70%	0.91	-14.3	6.14%	1.3	0.1	71	0.7
5	Sep_25_2020	286.52	417.13	421.66	409.82	399.12	387.9	407.34(5.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-280	-28	28	67.21	70%	0.91	-6.7	6.15%	1.2	-0.2	51	0.6

6	Sep_24_2020	283.95	419.05	418.87	416.78	409.4	384.49	387.79(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-243	-480	-298	-76	96.56	70%	0.84	3.3	6.14%	-0.6	-0.8	51	0.3
7	Sep_23_2020	281.59	421.32	418.08	423.91	426.12	410.34	380.36(-10.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-192	-240	-237	-58	95.07	70%	0.83	14.8	6.17%	-1.7	-1	44	0.1
8	Sep_22_2020	279.28	422.87	417.63	436.19	433.07	434.31	424.23(-5.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-0	-88	-4	79.58	73%	1.01	27.9	6%	-1.4	0	45	0.7
9	Sep_21_2020	276.5	421.9	408.98	441.3	437.17	441.9	449.39(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	50	85	35	109.48	73%	1.15	36.3	5.94%	1.1	0.7	45	0.8
10	Sep_18_2020	273.35	419.83	405.24	435.34	438.03	431.84	442.15(4.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	-80	62	12	86.41	73%	1.08	42.5	5.95%	0.9	0.6	52	1.1

11	Sep_17_2020	270.43	417.72	401.22	421.46	427.02	432.44	423.43(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	130	-32	-53	76.78	73%	1	41.9	5.93%	-1.5	0.1	49	1.1
12	Sep_16_2020	267.75	415.52	402.86	411.04	415.33	444.21	441.76(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	231	520	287	63	72.55	73%	1.11	41.2	5.89%	0.6	0.7	54	0.7
13	Sep_15_2020	264.81	412.36	405	395.94	399.22	421.6	449.76(7.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	351	420	430	115	97.3	73%	1.13	42.4	5.89%	1.4	0.9	58	0.6
14	Sep_14_2020	261.85	408.25	408.41	372.03	377.63	386.44	419.62(12.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	110	210	149	-9	83.02	72%	1.08	34.8	5.87%	1.9	0.3	55	0.6
15	Sep_11_2020	259.05	404.12	410.29	371.77	364.56	376.85	372.72(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	180	23	-56	60.72	70%	0.92	36.8	5.74%	0.1	-0.7	48	0.3

16	Sep_10_2020	256.68	402.29	417.93	378.63	372.28	368.81	371.34(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	62	-120	87	-12	84.93	72%	0.9	42.2	5.79%	0.4	-0.7	50	-0.6
17	Sep_9_2020	254.39	399.92	424.36	393.84	380.46	352.28	366.28(10.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-291	-620	-338	-151	79.47	72%	0.93	50.6	5.87%	-0.2	-0.7	54	-0.4
18	Sep_8_2020	252.05	396.18	429.14	415.59	404.03	375.75	330.21(-21.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-417	-570	-496	-178	115.47	71%	1.14	55.7	5.75%	-1.7	-1.2	48	-1.2
19	Sep_4_2020	249.2	394.8	437.88	449.21	439.37	408.65	418.32(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-264	-560	-337	-46	110.32	81%	1.1	68	5.04%	0.1	0.4	65	-1.6
20	Sep_3_2020	246.48	388.79	437.55	454.08	455.75	432.32	407(-9.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-341	-350	-437	-52	87.6	81%	1.08	69.5	5.06%	-1.3	0.3	70	-3.2

21	Sep_2_2020	243.84	383.66	437.6	462.23	465.41	470.09	447.37(-5.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	90	-75	140	96.18	86%	1.28	72.6	4.89%	-1.4	1	80	-1.3
22	Sep_1_2020	240.76	376.19	430.89	458.89	462.97	479.17	475.05(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	310	270	307	318	90.12	90%	1.47	71.6	4.82%	-0.7	1.5	88	-1
23	Aug_31_2020	237.28	367.1	421.08	444.81	446.49	460.74	498.32(12.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	287	230	275	322	118.37	90%	1.14	68.3	4.81%	-1.3	2.1	96	-0.6
24	Aug_28_2020	234.61	356.6	407.52	425.71	428.72	446.77	442.68(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	251	320	230	313	100.41	89%	1.45	64.3	4.63%	0.1	1.5	89	0.5
25	Aug_27_2020	231.26	348.6	396.57	419.18	418.52	432.25	447.75(3.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	309	220	295	351	118.47	89%		64.9	4.63%	1.3	1.8	87	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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