Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 21, 2020

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Apr. 26, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $409.9960 (2.41%) ($405.0100 - $419.0980) on Fri. Aug. 21, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.62% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $409.9960(2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 15.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(55%)    VUG(48%)    ARKK(44%)    XLK(44%)    IWF(43%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -2.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-13%)    XLC(-2%)    EDOC(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.31% (StdDev 4.62%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $386.12(6.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $348.24(17.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $323.06(26.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   154.4%
Market Cap   $388.676b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 12.42% (three month std-dev: 4.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 49 Average positive next day return: 3.71%(45%) Average negative next day return: -3.98%(55%) Sample size 49 Average positive next three day return: 7.56%(51%) Average negative next three day return: -6.55%(49%) Sample size 49 Average positive next weekly return: 14.3%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.27%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2020	218.33	323.06	348.24	386.12	387.6	398.92	410(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	314	220	309	328	107.45	88%	1.52	56.8	4.62%	1.1	2.2	82	1.4
2	Aug_20_2020	215.07	316.41	336.05	370.15	372.8	380.93	400.37(6.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	181	170	161	239	103.06	88%	1.46	49.6	4.62%	2.1	2.4	83	1.5
3	Aug_19_2020	211.97	311.09	325.35	354.92	358.67	376.27	375.71(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	231	380	229	235	61.03	87%	1.32	44.4	4.57%	0.5	2.2	73	1.5
4	Aug_18_2020	209.21	307.8	317.11	341.97	345.6	364.66	377.42(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	376	420	409	277	82.37	87%	1.37	38.2	4.58%	1.2	2.8	72	1.8
5	Aug_17_2020	206.38	304.17	308.53	321.46	326.72	341.06	367.13(11.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	275	360	304	186	101.21	87%	1.33	20.5	4.57%	2	3.1	72	1.9

6	Aug_14_2020	203.68	301.75	300.9	304.78	308.27	326.54	330.14(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	217	450	249	120	62.89	86%	1.14	5.4	4.41%	0.7	1.9	57	1.6
7	Aug_13_2020	201.39	300.09	296.28	296.86	297.01	312.38	324.2(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	266	360	312	126	102.13	86%	1.11	-13.7	4.41%	1.1	1.8	65	1.5
8	Aug_12_2020	199.18	298.75	293.26	291.6	289.71	290	310.95(13.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	86	-10	105	28	109.49	86%	1.09	-19.1	4.41%	1.8	1	53	1.6
9	Aug_11_2020	197.04	298.54	291.87	288.81	288.84	281.63	274.88(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-124	-170	-137	-86	43.13	84%	0.98	-13	4.15%	-1.7	-2	35	1.1
10	Aug_10_2020	195.12	300.09	294.09	293.32	293.73	289.42	283.71(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-100	-100	-109	-71	37.61	84%	1.05	7.9	4.12%	-1.3	-1.5	39	1.7

11	Aug_7_2020	193.1	300.97	296.5	295.97	296.99	296.05	290.54(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10	-24	-39	44.48	84%	1.09	27.1	4.13%	-1.7	-1	36	1.6
12	Aug_6_2020	191.01	301.92	295.99	295.09	297.26	298.03	297.92(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	40	10	-36	29.96	84%	1.22	51.1	4.11%	1.6	-0.4	51	1.7
13	Aug_5_2020	188.71	301.11	296.37	295.01	296.12	297.94	297(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	50	15	-34	24.89	84%	1.16	66	4.11%	0.2	-0.3	51	1.7
14	Aug_4_2020	186.55	300.09	298.29	295.57	296.29	296.5	297.4(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	10	23	-26	42.07	86%	1.15	84.5	4.11%	0.1	-0.2	48	1.6
15	Aug_3_2020	184.43	299.25	299.78	295.15	296.92	294.3	297(3.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-40	-36	-46	44.05	86%	1.05	104.6	4.21%	0.2	-0.2	50	1.3

16	Jul_31_2020	182.51	298.26	302.7	297.34	298.56	296.09	286.15(-3.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-50	-44	-32	61.23	78%	0.98	135.9	4.23%	-1.8	-0.8	48	1.5
17	Jul_30_2020	180.74	296.4	304.34	296.79	299.21	299.54	297.5(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	30	7	-16	38.11	78%	0.98	117.6	4.43%	-0.9	0.1	48	1.3
18	Jul_29_2020	178.99	293.09	304.74	297.81	295.52	301.04	299.82(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	110	-10	-12	47.13	78%	0.98	100.2	4.44%	-0.1	0.3	59	1.6
19	Jul_28_2020	177.25	289.25	305.7	301.54	299.77	298.88	295.3(-4.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	58	-40	64	41	79.04	78%	1.01	91.5	4.46%	0.5	0.2	60	1.5
20	Jul_27_2020	175.48	284.99	306.66	305.21	304.27	290	307.92(8.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-134	-340	-168	-32	80.24	80%	0.98	82.6	4.45%	0.9	0.7	61	1.5

21	Jul_24_2020	173.77	279.52	305.86	309.35	310.59	300.66	283.4(-6.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-204	-210	-257	-45	96.98	79%	0.82	76.3	4.49%	-1.2	0.1	57	1.2
22	Jul_23_2020	172.36	275.6	308.66	312.7	318.54	318.54	302.61(-4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	60	5	101	121.64	83%	0.91	73.1	4.4%	0.6	0.6	73	1.3
23	Jul_22_2020	170.8	270.33	306.65	312.21	314.54	320.53	318.47(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	83	160	60	151	70.81	87%	1.02	68.5	4.37%	0.8	1	82	1.8
24	Jul_21_2020	169.07	264.48	302.29	310.35	309.48	318.53	313.67(-4.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	162	200	145	212	80.79	81%	1	67.6	4.42%	-1.4	1.1	83	1.8
25	Jul_20_2020	167.39	258.77	298.81	308.29	305.17	308.55	328.6(9.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	146	50	116	235	85.61	84%		66.7	4.51%	2.8	1.5	89	2.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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