Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 16, 2020

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Mon. May. 13, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $149.0420 (2.11%) ($141.3430 - $151.8900) on Thu. Apr. 16, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.76% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $149.0420(2.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 6.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 18% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(55%)    VUG(49%)    ARKK(46%)    IWF(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -3.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-14%)    TLT(-2%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.88% (StdDev 7.76%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $136.36(9.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $120.32(23.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $109.37(36.27%)
To recent high   -18.8%
To recent low   106.3%
Market Cap   $141.292b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 17.13% (three month std-dev: 7.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 9.66%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.44%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 26.16%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -3.48%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 29.31%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.44%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2020	112.11	109.37	120.32	136.36	139.75	146.58	149.04(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	87	420	61	164	103.29	59%	0.79	68.1	7.76%	1.5	2.1	72	1.1
2	Apr_15_2020	111.23	105.48	114.91	128.5	131.49	144.45	145.97(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	132	760	126	151	117.89	58%	0.76	41.3	7.77%	0.6	2.3	69	1.1
3	Apr_14_2020	110.39	102.34	110.5	121.13	122.22	132.92	141.98(9.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	140	640	142	132	152.88	58%	0.72	19.8	7.78%	1.1	2.6	71	1.5
4	Apr_13_2020	109.6	99.52	106.04	113.38	114.03	118.53	130.19(13.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	84	290	83	87	112.38	58%	0.98	-4.8	7.71%	2.1	2.4	75	1.2
5	Apr_9_2020	108.54	98.24	103.04	106.54	108.69	111.52	114.6(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	240	40	54	68.25	56%	0.43	-34.7	7.56%	1.5	1.5	72	0.9

6	Apr_8_2020	108.08	97.95	101.97	101.8	105.01	109.53	109.77(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	400	47	51	63.28	56%	0.36	-52.7	7.56%	0.6	1	70	0.9
7	Apr_7_2020	107.69	98.58	101.63	99.11	101.05	105.85	109.09(5.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	390	48	67	89.6	57%	0.38	-59.1	7.58%	1.1	0.8	77	0.8
8	Apr_6_2020	107.28	99.36	100.74	98.25	98.38	100.49	103.25(7.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	150	29	69	74.51	57%	0.32	-63.8	7.56%	1.4	0.3	62	0.8
9	Apr_3_2020	106.94	100.14	99.21	97.69	98.62	96.24	96(5.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-140	-6	53	112.81	57%	0.26	-62	7.51%	-0.2	-0.3	57	0.1
10	Apr_2_2020	106.66	102.19	98.33	99.06	99.2	96.27	90.89(-5.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-29	-200	-47	26	99.29	57%	0.21	-52.3	7.49%	-1.7	-0.6	44	-0.1

11	Apr_1_2020	106.44	104.74	98.01	102.01	101.24	101	96.31(-8.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-40	-22	31	66.77	57%	0.26	-42.8	7.46%	-2	-0.4	45	-0.4
12	Mar_31_2020	106.16	107.23	95.87	104.32	103.41	102.14	104.8(4.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	4	-110	2	10	88.86	59%	0.35	-38.8	7.43%	0.7	-0.1	42	-0.1
13	Mar_30_2020	105.79	109.25	93.97	103.56	104.5	101.49	100.43(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-170	-12	-32	59.99	58%	0.32	-39.4	7.42%	-0.7	-0.4	39	-0.3
14	Mar_27_2020	105.45	111.52	92.79	100.84	103.87	104.67	102.87(-2.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	140	7	-60	71.89	58%	0.35	-44.8	7.43%	-0.5	-0.4	44	-0.6
15	Mar_26_2020	105.08	113.01	93.14	97.37	99.88	107.51	105.63(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	28	610	61	-73	87.11	58%	0.4	-54.8	7.42%	-0.1	-0.3	39	-0.3

16	Mar_25_2020	104.66	114.45	93.44	93.35	95.14	103.07	107.85(6.78%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	71	640	123	-84	106.11	58%	0.45	-61.6	7.41%	1.1	-0.3	38	-0.7
17	Mar_24_2020	104.19	116.69	94.84	86.23	88.4	92.26	101(16.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	380	67	-141	114.48	58%	0.38	-67.8	7.43%	1.5	-0.6	34	-0.6
18	Mar_23_2020	103.8	119.51	97.25	83.24	82.59	87.22	86.86(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	370	16	-186	82.27	56%	0.24	-68.8	7.15%	0.1	-1.1	25	-0.8
19	Mar_20_2020	103.55	123.47	100.63	83.67	82.81	84.53	85.51(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	110	26	-190	141.43	56%	0.22	-65.9	7.16%	0.6	-1.3	24	-1.5
20	Mar_19_2020	103.32	128.14	105.96	88.43	83.85	77.96	85.53(18.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-106	-650	-71	-209	150.98	56%	0.23	-60.7	7.16%	0.9	-1.4	34	-1.7

21	Mar_18_2020	103.08	132.86	111.79	93.75	91.83	81.09	72.24(-16.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-159	-880	-138	-222	118.93	53%	0.09	-54.9	6.78%	-1.6	-2	22	-2.4
22	Mar_17_2020	102.99	138.52	119.68	104.67	101.54	89.74	86.04(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-178	-900	-169	-206	119.97	57%	0.21	-48.9	6.46%	-1	-1.9	22	-2.2
23	Mar_16_2020	102.77	142.95	126.13	113.27	111.57	102.57	89.01(-18.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-150	-610	-143	-170	102.45	58%	0.23	-43.6	6.45%	-1.5	-2.2	22	-2.7
24	Mar_13_2020	102.53	146.74	132.35	119.79	120.69	113.33	109.32(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-104	-400	-91	-143	113.2	64%	0.5	-41.7	6%	-1.1	-1.7	25	-1.9
25	Mar_12_2020	102.02	149.47	135.07	126.06	123.57	120.58	112.11(-11.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-121	-230	-110	-155	94.55	64%		-35.8	5.99%	-1.4	-1.9	23	-2.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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