Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $72.7380 (5.91%) ($70.0000 - $72.7420) on Mon. Sep. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.46% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $72.7380(5.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(52%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.23% (StdDev 2.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.77(-8.2%)
5 Day Moving Average   $70.07(3.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.2(3.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $70.29(3.48%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   17.8%
Market Cap   $68.956b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 2.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(11%) Average negative next day return: -1.32%(89%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.76%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.9%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2017	68	70.29	70.2	70.07	69.9	70.33	72.74(5.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	40	26	22	38.34	52%	0.18	-28.7	2.46%	0	1.7	68	INF
2	Sep_8_2017	67.88	70.21	69.87	69.74	69.6	69.42	68.68(-2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-20	-13	1	16.32	47%	0.12	-36.9	2.39%	0	-1.1	48	INF
3	Sep_7_2017	67.8	70.33	70.06	70.24	70.08	69.48	70.12(1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-70	-12	12	21.2	47%	0.15	-22.4	2.4%	0	-0.2	49	INF
4	Sep_6_2017	67.7	70.45	70.1	70.34	70.44	69.78	68.91(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-16	-60	-23	4	20.46	47%	0.13	3.9	2.4%	0	-1.1	37	INF
5	Sep_5_2017	67.61	70.66	70.07	70.46	70.65	70.69	69.92(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	10	-2	1	19.24	47%	0.13	33.5	2.41%	0	-0.5	40	INF

6	Sep_1_2017	67.52	70.71	69.86	70.3	70.27	71.09	71.08(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	80	20	-10	15.25	47%	0.16	51.5	2.39%	0	0.3	42	INF
7	Aug_31_2017	67.41	70.72	69.69	70.01	69.73	70.6	71.18(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	80	28	-20	20.36	47%	0.18	59.3	2.39%	0	0.3	48	INF
8	Aug_30_2017	67.29	70.64	69.59	69.89	69.54	69.45	70.64(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-20	11	-32	17.06	49%	0.13	51.1	2.4%	0	0	48	INF
9	Aug_29_2017	67.2	70.4	69.74	69.87	69.65	68.87	69.47(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-90	-14	-43	20.37	49%	0.1	34.6	2.42%	0	-0.4	38	INF
10	Aug_28_2017	67.13	70.16	70.01	69.63	69.76	69.63	69.13(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10	-10	-48	18.82	49%	0.13	21.8	2.44%	0	-0.4	36	INF

11	Aug_25_2017	67.04	69.97	70.36	69.32	69.53	70.43	69.61(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	100	18	-38	17.42	51%	0.15	11.7	2.46%	0	-0.1	47	INF
12	Aug_24_2017	66.94	69.86	70.56	69.29	68.99	69.89	70.59(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	13	80	28	-34	22.92	51%	0.18	13.7	2.46%	0	0.3	48	INF
13	Aug_23_2017	66.82	69.68	70.6	69.25	68.84	68.64	70.55(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-40	-0	-42	24.77	51%	0.15	15	2.47%	0	0.3	55	INF
14	Aug_22_2017	66.72	69.68	70.8	69.66	69.4	68.09	68.27(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-140	-43	-30	21.61	49%	0.14	25.6	2.46%	0	-0.5	63	INF
15	Aug_21_2017	66.63	69.59	71.29	70.5	70.56	69.04	67.57(-2.76%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-43	-150	-60	8	32.48	49%	0.18	38.2	2.45%	0	-0.7	65	INF

16	Aug_18_2017	66.51	69.65	71.68	71.54	71.69	70.7	69.49(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-17	-90	-42	58	27.04	51%	0.21	55.6	2.43%	0	-0.1	67	INF
17	Aug_17_2017	66.37	69.48	71.9	71.95	72.43	72.07	70.38(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10	-14	94	25.14	49%	0.23	58.8	2.43%	0	0.3	60	INF
18	Aug_16_2017	66.22	69.28	71.85	72.09	72.45	72.68	72.58(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	40	0	113	17.07	50%	0.27	60.8	2.44%	0	1.1	67	INF
19	Aug_15_2017	66.04	68.9	71.16	72.12	72.24	72.78	72.47(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	60	10	109	15.43	49%	0.27	60.9	2.44%	0	1.2	59	INF
20	Aug_14_2017	65.86	68.56	70.36	72.23	72.25	72.21	72.76(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-0	16	103	22.6	49%	0.32	62.7	2.47%	0	1.4	62	INF

21	Aug_11_2017	65.65	68.11	69.58	71.89	72.13	71.7	71.57(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-11	75	21.83	49%	0.32	63.8	2.46%	0	1.2	58	INF
22	Aug_10_2017	65.44	67.8	69.12	71.85	72.07	72.29	71.08(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	30	3	86	35.46	49%	0.31	70.2	2.47%	0	1.2	64	INF
23	Aug_9_2017	65.24	67.48	68.7	71.52	71.64	72.56	72.71(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	90	43	102	34.46	52%	0.35	74.6	2.45%	0	1.9	66	INF
24	Aug_8_2017	65.01	67.11	68.25	70.01	70.79	71.84	73.04(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	140	68	93	37.25	52%	0.34	66.5	2.51%	0	2.4	69	INF
25	Aug_7_2017	64.79	66.71	67.68	68.19	68.72	70.73	71.03(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	57	230	56	60	31.62	50%		41.1	2.49%	0	1.9	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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