Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $64.9620 (0.53%) ($64.3060 - $65.4000) on Fri. May. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.43% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $64.9620(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(45%)    XLK(45%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    GDXJ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.215% (StdDev 2.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.06(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.21(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $62.35(4.19%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $61.584b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 2.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 41 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(59%) Average negative next day return: -1.86%(41%) Sample size 41 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.31%(56%) Sample size 41 Average positive next weekly return: 1.73%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.48%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2017	53.68	62.35	63.21	64.06	64.29	64.77	64.96(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	60	22	49	20.61	59%	0.47	47.8	2.43%	0	1.5	60	0
2	May_11_2017	53.43	62.14	62.97	63.4	63.52	64.56	64.62(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	120	42	48	23.77	59%	0.45	42.4	2.45%	0	1.5	60	0
3	May_10_2017	53.19	61.87	62.67	62.3	62.52	63.8	65.04(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	43	150	47	31	28.71	59%	0.45	24.8	2.47%	0	2	63	0
4	May_9_2017	52.95	61.69	62.35	61.73	61.41	62.49	64.25(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	110	27	14	48.38	60%	0.47	20.2	2.46%	0	1.8	59	0
5	May_8_2017	52.7	61.58	62.17	61.64	61.39	61.24	61.44(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-30	3	12	35.03	58%	0.42	29.6	2.42%	0	-0.1	56	0

6	May_5_2017	52.48	61.54	62.21	62.26	62.01	60.33	61.67(4.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-200	-39	15	40.89	59%	0.44	58.9	2.41%	0	0.1	56	0
7	May_4_2017	52.25	61.45	62.17	62.49	62.86	61.55	59.09(-5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-41	-130	-59	15	70.76	57%	0.38	75.9	2.37%	0	-1.7	46	0
8	May_3_2017	52.05	61.48	62.36	63.02	63.43	63.69	62.2(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	50	-7	55	35.67	61%	0.44	99.1	2.29%	0	0.5	64	0
9	May_2_2017	51.82	61.4	62.27	62.98	63.18	64.17	63.78(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	120	32	70	26.91	63%	0.52	116.5	2.26%	0	1.7	57	0
10	May_1_2017	51.55	61.19	61.9	62.78	62.67	63.16	64.57(2.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	50	36	58	44.15	63%	0.53	141	2.25%	0	2.5	56	0

11	Apr_28_2017	51.28	60.76	61.45	62.19	62.19	62.19	62.81(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	0	8	33	22.53	61%	0.49	119	2.21%	0	1.3	58	0
12	Apr_27_2017	51.03	60.41	61.24	61.85	62.03	62.17	61.73(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	20	8	29	17.34	61%	0.47	108.5	2.22%	0	0.7	58	0
13	Apr_26_2017	50.79	60.11	61.01	61.6	61.7	62.19	62.03(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	60	14	27	23.48	61%	0.51	103.4	2.22%	0	0.9	62	0
14	Apr_25_2017	50.53	59.8	60.96	61.42	61.35	61.89	62.76(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	60	28	33	33.69	61%	0.54	106.3	2.22%	0	1.3	56	0
15	Apr_24_2017	50.26	59.37	60.9	60.88	61.04	61.21	61.61(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	30	19	28	25.42	63%	0.52	95.4	2.21%	0	0.9	57	0

16	Apr_21_2017	50	58.95	60.79	60.61	60.6	60.82	61.12(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	20	1	34	22.55	63%	0.52	82.9	2.21%	0	0.8	68	0
17	Apr_20_2017	49.74	58.47	60.65	60.55	60.51	60.88	60.5(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	40	17	57	30.75	63%	0.46	70.1	2.23%	0	0.6	67	0
18	Apr_19_2017	49.51	58.02	60.52	60.32	60.32	60.39	61.1(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	10	5	62	19.49	64%	0.51	62.3	2.22%	0	0.9	69	0
19	Apr_18_2017	49.26	57.49	60.48	60.45	60.21	60.14	60.05(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-17	80	15.18	64%	0.43	57.5	2.22%	0	0.7	67	0
20	Apr_17_2017	49.05	57.12	60.45	60.94	60.74	60.26	60.29(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-70	-7	124	20.69	64%	0.45	64.5	2.22%	0	0.8	72	0

21	Apr_13_2017	48.83	56.72	60.04	60.98	61.2	60.28	60.8(2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-90	-18	138	46.42	66%	0.47	69.4	2.23%	0	1	76	0
22	Apr_12_2017	48.6	56.3	59.55	60.77	61.16	61.23	59.37(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	30	-16	158	30.25	64%	0.45	72.7	2.25%	0	0.8	78	0
23	Apr_11_2017	48.38	55.89	59.2	60.69	60.96	62.13	61.74(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	150	34	207	28.62	68%	0.54	75.1	2.18%	0	1.5	86	0
24	Apr_10_2017	48.12	55.37	58.58	60.49	60.4	61.1	62.48(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	95	80	46	240	38.32	68%	0.56	77.5	2.17%	0	1.8	90	0
25	Apr_7_2017	47.85	54.7	57.73	59.94	59.84	59.79	60.51(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	76	-10	23	235	22.9	66%		76.5	2.13%	0	1.6	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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