Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $48.9460 (0.4%) ($48.6020 - $49.2000) on Fri. Jan. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.89% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $48.9460(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -0.945% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.945% (StdDev 1.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.01(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.06(4.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.31(8.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   34.9%
Market Cap   $46.401b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 4.26% (three month std-dev: 1.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 2.34%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.36%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 4.82%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 4.45%(27%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(73%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_20_2017	40.6	45.31	47.06	48.01	48.21	48.99	48.95(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	70	130	41	158	21.02	57%	0.25	102.6	1.89%	0	1.9	88	INF
2	Jan_19_2017	40.5	44.95	46.69	47.4	47.66	48.27	48.75(2.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	72	110	47	148	38.66	58%	0.15	99.1	1.92%	0	2	76	INF
3	Jan_18_2017	40.44	44.53	46.34	46.84	46.84	47.42	47.67(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	90	24	129	18.84	59%	0.15	98.6	1.92%	0	1.7	73	INF
4	Jan_17_2017	40.38	44.18	45.93	46.5	46.4	47.05	47.12(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	90	29	125	23.09	59%	0	100.7	1.94%	0	1.6	76	INF
5	Jan_13_2017	40.38	43.8	45.51	46.33	46.08	46.25	47.55(3.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	10	23	126	30.46	57%	0.1	92.6	1.94%	0	1.8	82	INF

6	Jan_12_2017	40.34	43.41	45.04	45.98	45.89	45.76	45.92(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-30	-1	117	18.95	55%	0.02	89.9	1.9%	0	1.2	80	INF
7	Jan_11_2017	40.33	43.1	44.84	45.87	45.85	45.91	45.95(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	10	2	132	18.25	55%	0.02	92	1.9%	0	1.3	77	INF
8	Jan_10_2017	40.32	42.73	44.64	45.76	45.69	46.02	45.97(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	60	50	25	163	18.3	56%	0.05	92.8	1.9%	0	1.5	81	INF
9	Jan_9_2017	40.3	42.36	44.31	45.24	45.23	45.8	46.26(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	71	90	39	165	19.9	56%	0.02	89.1	1.92%	0	1.7	83	INF
10	Jan_6_2017	40.29	41.96	43.85	44.54	44.52	45.36	45.8(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	70	130	42	154	27.64	52%	0.02	86	1.94%	0	1.7	85	INF

11	Jan_5_2017	40.28	41.6	43.42	43.96	43.86	44.67	45.35(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	64	120	38	142	29.56	52%	0.02	83	1.99%	0	1.7	82	INF
12	Jan_4_2017	40.27	41.19	43.06	43.68	43.41	43.68	45.4(4.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	53	20	23	142	56.07	52%	0	82.1	2%	0	2	82	INF
13	Jan_3_2017	40.27	40.78	42.57	43.39	43.39	43.06	43.4(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	36	-50	0	144	29.62	52%	-0.15	76	1.93%	0	1.3	82	INF
14	Dec_30_2016	40.33	40.44	42.28	43.24	43.49	43.14	42.74(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-40	-6	148	23.21	53%	-0.07	61.9	2.01%	0	1	81	INF
15	Dec_29_2016	40.36	40.12	41.98	43.03	43.28	43.72	42.94(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	90	10	157	20.22	51%	-0.05	53	2.01%	0	1.2	82	INF

16	Dec_28_2016	40.38	39.86	41.67	42.75	42.86	43.83	43.95(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	75	170	43	170	18.91	53%	-0.05	50.7	2.02%	0	1.8	90	INF
17	Dec_27_2016	40.4	39.55	41.23	42.31	42.28	42.84	43.91(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	90	48	175	29.58	53%	-0.17	52	2.02%	0	2.1	92	INF
18	Dec_23_2016	40.47	39.29	40.68	41.64	41.68	41.89	42.67(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	40	21	150	23.35	51%	-0.07	56.9	1.99%	0	1.9	88	INF
19	Dec_22_2016	40.5	39.1	40.25	41.21	41.27	41.72	41.69(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	80	23	154	15.56	49%	-0.1	59.2	1.97%	0	1.6	89	INF
20	Dec_21_2016	40.54	38.93	39.93	40.77	40.87	41.48	41.54(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	65	110	34	158	26.04	49%	-0.1	61.8	1.97%	0	1.8	87	INF

21	Dec_20_2016	40.58	38.76	39.63	40.41	40.35	40.82	41.76(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	60	80	30	149	23.45	49%	-0.1	66.1	1.97%	0	2.2	71	INF
22	Dec_19_2016	40.62	38.51	39.17	39.99	40.02	40.26	40.55(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	40	26	129	17.44	47%	-0.15	67	1.93%	0	1.7	66	INF
23	Dec_16_2016	40.68	38.32	38.85	39.57	39.72	39.87	40.5(2.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	40	19	95	18.98	49%	-0.15	58.2	1.94%	0	1.9	55	INF
24	Dec_15_2016	40.74	38.18	38.44	39.16	39.35	39.78	39.52(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	90	16	55	16.1	47%	-0.15	56.3	1.94%	0	1.3	49	INF
25	Dec_14_2016	40.8	38.04	38.13	38.95	39.01	39.57	39.74(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	110	29	34	20.75	47%		46.3	1.95%	0	1.7	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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