Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Fri. Jun. 14, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $39.3300 (1.82%) ($38.7280 - $39.4474) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $39.3300(1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TSLA advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(48%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.02(3.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.58(4.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.93(3.69%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $37.285b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 2.61% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.96%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.96%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.39%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2016	41.68	37.93	37.58	38.02	38.06	38.74	39.33(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	130	33	14	11.83	41%	-0.12	-54.8	1.93%	0	1.4	55	INF
2	Nov_23_2016	41.73	37.98	37.34	37.7	37.71	38.01	38.63(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	23	60	32	-5	24.46	41%	-0.1	-48.9	1.9%	0	0.5	56	INF
3	Nov_22_2016	41.77	38.05	37.25	37.33	37.41	37.38	38.23(3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	0	11	-28	28.02	41%	-0.1	-54.4	1.9%	0	0.1	53	INF
4	Nov_21_2016	41.81	38.15	37.3	37.04	37.16	37.41	36.9(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	60	5	-40	21.81	37%	-0.14	-55	1.84%	0	-0.9	43	INF
5	Nov_18_2016	41.87	38.33	37.46	36.91	37.06	37.44	37(-1.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	80	14	-50	26.05	37%	-0.14	-52.2	1.85%	0	-0.9	37	INF

6	Nov_17_2016	41.93	38.48	37.57	37.05	36.84	36.91	37.73(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-0	10	-60	24.44	38%	-0.1	-48.4	1.84%	0	-0.5	37	INF
7	Nov_16_2016	41.97	38.58	37.55	36.92	36.85	36.69	36.79(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-40	-13	-104	17.17	35%	-0.1	-50.3	1.8%	0	-1.2	28	INF
8	Nov_15_2016	42.01	38.78	37.64	37.17	37.05	36.77	36.75(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-60	-23	-120	19.51	35%	-0.07	-46.5	1.8%	0	-1.5	31	INF
9	Nov_14_2016	42.04	38.94	37.79	37.61	37.27	37.01	36.29(-3.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-80	-31	-122	32.76	35%	-0.05	-42	1.79%	0	-2	28	INF
10	Nov_11_2016	42.06	39.08	38.11	38.08	37.79	37.33	37.71(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-110	-14	-105	19.94	38%	-0.05	-41.8	1.74%	0	-1.2	32	INF

11	Nov_10_2016	42.08	39.17	38.33	38.16	38.12	37.53	37.07(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-110	-26	-109	33.75	38%	-0.05	-41.7	1.72%	0	-1.9	32	INF
12	Nov_9_2016	42.1	39.33	38.69	38.25	38.26	38.26	38.01(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	0	-11	-93	40.87	40%	-0.14	-44.3	1.71%	0	-1.3	38	INF
13	Nov_8_2016	42.16	39.44	38.93	38.17	38.28	38.72	38.99(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	90	23	-88	16.34	42%	-0.12	-54.7	1.7%	0	-0.4	37	INF
14	Nov_7_2016	42.21	39.5	39.06	38	38.04	38.25	38.64(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	40	5	-99	19.35	42%	-0.12	-69.6	1.7%	0	-0.9	43	INF
15	Nov_4_2016	42.26	39.57	39.24	38.18	38.1	37.85	38.11(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-50	-20	-89	25.73	42%	-0.12	-77.8	1.69%	0	-1.5	49	INF

16	Nov_3_2016	42.31	39.65	39.44	38.56	38.59	37.83	37.48(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-55	-140	-47	-77	13.27	42%	-0.14	-78.7	1.7%	0	-2.3	41	INF
17	Nov_2_2016	42.37	39.79	39.7	39.22	39.27	38.34	37.6(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-60	-160	-62	-53	21.27	42%	-0.14	-62.9	1.7%	0	-2.5	38	INF
18	Nov_1_2016	42.43	40	40.03	39.79	40.17	39.35	38.16(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-38	-110	-45	-16	35.3	42%	-0.12	-45	1.69%	0	-2.1	39	INF
19	Oct_31_2016	42.48	40.2	40.22	40.25	40.56	40.19	39.55(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-22	-40	-33	11	23.46	46%	-0.09	-24	1.66%	0	-0.7	48	INF
20	Oct_28_2016	42.52	40.35	40.16	40.45	40.72	41	39.99(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	8	70	2	24	21.4	46%	-0.14	-13.7	1.68%	0	-0.4	49	INF

21	Oct_27_2016	42.58	40.39	40.1	40.46	40.7	40.93	40.8(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	60	28	36	65.47	48%	-0.16	-17.3	1.67%	0	0.5	61	INF
22	Oct_26_2016	42.65	40.36	40.02	40.26	40.29	40.44	40.45(-0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	30	-2	13	28.16	48%	-0.14	-28.9	1.66%	0	0.1	51	INF
23	Oct_25_2016	42.71	40.4	40	40.31	40.23	40.48	40.47(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	40	15	11	12.23	52%	-0.09	-25.8	1.66%	0	0.1	42	INF
24	Oct_24_2016	42.75	40.43	39.95	40.18	40.19	40.14	40.55(1.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	12	-10	20	-11	13.76	52%	-0.07	-27.7	1.72%	0	0.1	39	INF
25	Oct_21_2016	42.78	40.48	39.9	39.83	39.93	39.97	40.02(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	10	0	-56	14.72	48%		-34.8	1.72%	0	-0.5	34	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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