Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: TSLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 13, 2016 - Thu. Jun. 27, 2024)

(Tesla Motors, Inc.)
TSLA latest price $49.4740 (-2.56%) ($48.2502 - $50.8740) on Tue. Apr. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.21% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $49.4740(-2.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   TSLA advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TSLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(51%)    ARKK(49%)    VUG(47%)    IWF(44%)    LIT(44%)
Factors Impacting TSLA price   TSLA will decline at least -1.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.605% (StdDev 3.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.49(-2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.62(-2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.86(1.26%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   72.2%
Market Cap   $46.901b

Tesla, Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of fully electric vehicles, energy generation and storage systems. It also provides vehicle service centers, supercharger station, and self-driving capability. The company operates through Automotive, and Energy Generation and Storage segments. The Automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacture and sale of electric vehicles. The Energy Generation and Storage segment includes the design, manufacture, installation, sale, and lease of stationary energy storage products and solar energy systems, and sale of electricity generated by its solar energy systems to customers. It develops energy storage products for use in homes, commercial facilities and utility sites. The company was founded by Jeffrey B. Straubel, Elon Reeve Musk, Martin Eberhard, and Marc Tarpenning on July 1, 2003 and is headquartered in Palo Alto, CA.

$. TSLA price fluctuates within 4.99% (three month std-dev: 3.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.72%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.29%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.11%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.7%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2016	41.19	48.86	50.62	50.49	50.43	50.3	49.47(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-20	-7	42	31.79	54%	0.32	51.7	3.21%	0	0.3	67	0
2	Apr_18_2016	41.06	48.77	50.79	50.5	50.55	50.64	50.78(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	20	6	67	21.36	54%	0.37	61.4	3.18%	0	0.8	68	0
3	Apr_15_2016	40.91	48.56	50.67	50.35	50.26	50.56	50.9(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	40	4	76	18.76	54%	0.37	70.3	3.21%	0	1	69	0
4	Apr_14_2016	40.76	48.28	50.36	50.17	50.21	50.47	50.37(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	4	81	20.66	56%	0.39	76.5	3.21%	0	0.8	69	0
5	Apr_13_2016	40.6	47.99	49.96	50.38	50.29	49.97	50.91(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-50	-10	88	24.63	56%	0.4	82.8	3.22%	0	1.1	74	0

6	Apr_12_2016	40.44	47.63	49.44	50.82	50.81	49.95	49.56(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-120	-20	92	28.82	56%	0.37	93.2	3.23%	0	0.7	59	0
7	Apr_11_2016	40.29	47.32	49.11	51.12	51.41	50.62	49.98(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-90	-13	97	45.81	56%	0.4	96.9	3.26%	0	1	57	0
8	Apr_8_2016	40.13	46.91	48.74	51.01	51.25	51.67	50.01(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	70	1	101	36.82	56%	0.43	93	3.28%	0	1.1	60	0
9	Apr_7_2016	39.96	46.47	48.3	50.51	50.91	52.2	51.44(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	200	44	111	44.28	56%	0.5	87.2	3.28%	0	1.6	68	0
10	Apr_6_2016	39.76	45.98	47.61	49.41	49.86	50.83	53.08(3.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	160	52	92	58.53	56%	0.58	86.2	3.28%	0	2.4	75	0

11	Apr_5_2016	39.53	45.33	46.92	47.87	48.37	49.61	51.09(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	210	32	62	49.74	54%	0.53	84.9	3.28%	0	2.1	74	0
12	Apr_4_2016	39.32	44.82	46.52	46.85	47.51	48.89	49.4(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	250	44	62	67.38	52%	0.46	86.3	3.28%	0	1.9	73	0
13	Apr_1_2016	39.14	44.36	46.2	46.19	46.59	47.13	47.52(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	110	25	60	79.99	50%	0.41	85.9	3.28%	0	1.3	74	0
14	Mar_31_2016	38.98	43.95	45.97	45.79	46.06	46.14	45.95(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	9	61	40.06	48%	0.33	81.3	3.28%	0	0.8	73	0
15	Mar_30_2016	38.85	43.55	45.83	45.5	45.64	46.04	45.38(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	70	-2	61	20.16	48%	0.34	74.1	3.31%	0	0.7	67	0

16	Mar_29_2016	38.72	43.17	45.68	45.8	45.48	45.99	46.03(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	60	4	84	20.07	48%	0.36	74.5	3.33%	0	0.9	73	0
17	Mar_28_2016	38.58	42.79	45.41	46.13	45.8	45.23	46.05(1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-110	-1	99	19.63	48%	0.39	81.6	3.37%	0	1	70	0
18	Mar_24_2016	38.43	42.4	44.98	46.23	46.13	44.98	45.55(2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-180	-24	100	24.8	48%	0.37	87.6	3.4%	0	1	71	0
19	Mar_23_2016	38.29	42	44.56	46.17	46.6	46.37	44.52(-4.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-10	-11	115	24.74	48%	0.34	90.5	3.42%	0	0.7	72	0
20	Mar_22_2016	38.16	41.58	44.31	46.14	46.4	47.29	46.85(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	150	22	150	21.58	51%	0.5	90.4	3.37%	0	1.5	86	0

21	Mar_21_2016	37.97	41.01	43.68	45.51	45.61	46.82	47.66(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	71	190	41	159	26.54	51%	0.56	93.8	3.39%	0	1.9	90	0
22	Mar_18_2016	37.76	40.39	42.99	44.58	44.54	45.52	46.55(2.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	150	37	149	23.56	51%	0.51	95.9	3.42%	0	1.8	80	0
23	Mar_17_2016	37.57	39.73	42.34	43.57	43.68	44.4	45.28(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	120	31	134	18.91	51%	0.48	94.6	3.43%	0	1.6	79	0
24	Mar_16_2016	37.39	39.13	41.72	42.72	42.85	43.57	44.39(1.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	130	21	118	17.58	51%	0.43	97.4	3.46%	0	1.6	79	0
25	Mar_15_2016	37.23	38.59	41.06	42.2	42.22	42.96	43.67(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	48	120	25	117	15.9	51%		96.4	3.5%	0	1.5	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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