Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TRV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 10, 2020

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $120.9800 (-3.54%) ($120.9700 - $124.6600) on Wed. Jun. 10, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.99% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $120.9800(-3.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 10.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(69%)    VYM(66%)    XLI(61%)    SDY(56%)    IVE(54%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -2.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    TLT(-24%)    VXX(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.495% (StdDev 4.99%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $123.35(-1.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $117.02(3.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.25(12.8%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   48.1%
Market Cap   $30.632b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 11.24% (three month std-dev: 4.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(70%) Average negative next day return: -2.82%(30%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 7.06%(61%) Average negative next three day return: -7.9%(39%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 9.83%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.47%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2020	111.9	107.25	117.02	123.35	124.17	123.87	120.98(-3.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	0	-5	126	3.38	50%	-0.18	65.9	4.99%	-1.7	1.1	85	0.9
2	Jun_9_2020	112.1	105.88	115.65	122.05	122.46	125.8	125.42(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	69	200	40	156	2.87	47%	0.13	63	4.98%	0.2	1.6	93	1
3	Jun_8_2020	111.96	104.31	113.44	119.17	119.61	124.47	128(2.93%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	110	300	90	168	3.16	47%	-0.12	59.4	5.05%	1.1	2.1	91	1.6
4	Jun_5_2020	112.09	102.67	110.59	115.4	115.56	119.12	124.36(5.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	97	220	78	154	3.13	45%	-0.13	57.5	5.05%	1.6	2.3	92	2
5	Jun_4_2020	112.24	101.15	108.01	111.92	111.86	114.74	118(3.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	70	180	48	134	1.62	45%	-0.19	51.8	5.02%	1.5	2	91	1.6

6	Jun_3_2020	112.45	99.85	105.76	109.84	109.65	112.01	114.47(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	150	45	129	1.77	45%	-0.2	42	5.04%	1.3	2	91	1.7
7	Jun_2_2020	112.67	98.9	103.65	108.31	108.18	108.97	111(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	28	115	1.8	46%	-0.23	35.6	5.03%	1.3	1.9	75	1.3
8	Jun_1_2020	112.93	98.13	102.07	106.78	107.25	107.3	109.15(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	12	101	1.72	46%	-0.25	27.6	5.04%	1.9	1.9	70	1
9	May_29_2020	113.21	97.42	100.2	104.97	106.23	107.39	106.98(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	110	19	85	2.97	46%	-0.27	16.9	5.07%	1	1.8	63	1.3
10	May_28_2020	113.52	97.05	98.54	103.41	104.36	107.2	107.59(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	54	220	45	79	1.97	46%	-0.26	10	5.11%	1.1	2.2	66	0.9

11	May_27_2020	113.82	96.86	96.73	101	101.77	105.07	106.82(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	64	250	63	67	1.73	45%	-0.25	0	5.11%	1	2.1	69	1.5
12	May_26_2020	114.11	96.64	95.34	98.29	98.88	101.52	103.36(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	200	51	40	2.84	44%	-0.51	-14.6	5.11%	1.4	1.5	58	1.3
13	May_22_2020	114.69	96.64	94.46	96.68	96.49	98.46	100.1(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	140	37	22	1.71	43%	-0.33	-23.8	5.02%	1.1	0.8	54	1.2
14	May_21_2020	115.07	96.54	94.08	94.72	95.31	96.24	99.17(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	90	37	10	2.99	43%	-0.15	-40.4	5.06%	1.4	0.6	54	1.1
15	May_20_2020	115.24	96.57	93.66	92.93	93.29	94.51	95.54(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	100	16	-17	1.75	43%	-0.37	-49.8	5.03%	1.4	-0.2	40	1.5

16	May_19_2020	115.67	96.86	93.42	91.79	91.69	94.37	93.27(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	200	26	-35	1.6	43%	-0.38	-56.3	5.02%	0.5	-0.8	31	0.9
17	May_18_2020	116.11	97.29	93.75	91.93	91.03	92.07	95.3(5.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	50	30	-41	1.7	43%	-0.37	-61.9	5.02%	1.6	-0.4	36	1.4
18	May_15_2020	116.54	97.6	93.86	91.97	91.11	89.02	90.31(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-190	-26	-72	3.28	41%	-0.4	-63.5	4.96%	0.1	-1.5	30	1
19	May_14_2020	117.01	98.34	94.46	93.38	92.72	89.98	90.22(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-230	-50	-77	2.65	41%	-0.24	-64.9	5%	-0.6	-1.8	35	0.8
20	May_13_2020	117.29	98.87	95.55	94.49	94.81	93.21	89.86(-4.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-40	-110	-32	-63	1.96	41%	-0.41	-69.5	5%	-1.7	-2.2	35	0.1

21	May_12_2020	117.77	99.52	97.13	95.18	95.85	95.45	93.96(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10	-13	-47	1.91	40%	-0.37	-66.9	4.98%	-1.3	-1.4	37	1.2
22	May_11_2020	118.21	100.21	98.13	95.76	95.96	96.41	95.51(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	40	-2	-37	1.01	40%	-0.36	-54.7	4.98%	-0.7	-1.2	39	2.3
23	May_8_2020	118.64	100.75	98.86	96.04	96.43	96.26	97.34(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-0	11	-29	1.1	40%	-0.34	-40.5	4.94%	1.4	-0.9	42	2
24	May_7_2020	119.04	101.35	99.21	95.78	96.1	95.51	95.8(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-30	-19	-48	1.33	40%	-0.35	-26	4.97%	-0.6	-1.3	33	1.4
25	May_6_2020	119.46	101.82	99.71	96.86	96.65	96.6	93.29(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-10	-22	-42	1.28	40%		-9.3	4.96%	-1.6	-2.1	42	0.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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