Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $131.7560 (-0.01%) ($131.4063 - $132.5817) on Fri. Dec. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $131.7560(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(73%)    VYM(72%)    IWD(67%)    SDY(67%)    IVE(66%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    GDXJ(-11%)    XHB(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $131.18(0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.2(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.75(0.77%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $33.361b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 0.65% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2017	124.43	130.75	131.2	131.18			131.76(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	5	44	0.83	74%	0.06	83.1	0.8%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Dec_28_2017	124.36	130.7	130.92	130.95			131.78(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	2	32	0.7	74%	0.06	107.9	0.8%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Dec_27_2017	124.29	130.61	130.71	130.87			130.91(-0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	-10000	-3	23	0.95	74%	0.06	135	0.8%	0	0.4	50	0
4	Dec_26_2017	124.21	130.5	130.67	131.02			130.92(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-2	27	0.56	74%	0.06	137.1	0.8%	0	0.5	50	0
5	Dec_22_2017	124.14	130.28	130.52	131.1			130.54(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-2	18	0.88	74%	0.05	80.2	0.8%	0	0.2	43	0

6	Dec_21_2017	124.08	130.05	130.47	131.2			130.59(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	7	16	0.94	74%	0.06	78.3	0.8%	0	0.3	44	0
7	Dec_20_2017	124.01	129.82	130.38	130.84			131.39(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	6	-3	1.07	76%	0.06	55.4	0.79%	0	0.8	51	0
8	Dec_19_2017	123.94	129.57	130.3	130.51			131.66(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	5	-9	1.39	76%	0.07	41.4	0.8%	0	1	58	0
9	Dec_18_2017	123.85	129.26	130.19	130.28			131.34(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	8	-4	1.69	76%	0.07	29.5	0.8%	0	1	63	0
10	Dec_15_2017	123.76	128.98	130.2	129.88			131.03(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6	-10000	4	11	3.17	76%	0.09	12.7	0.8%	0	0.9	70	0

11	Dec_14_2017	123.65	128.75	130.23	129.66			128.78(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-3	33	1.28	67%	0.06	2.9	0.78%	0	0	68	0
12	Dec_13_2017	123.58	128.76	130.46	129.83			129.74(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	14	-10000	-4	68	1.33	67%	0.06	5.2	0.79%	0	0.4	71	0
13	Dec_12_2017	123.5	128.73	130.5	130.04			130.5(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	24	-10000	-1	97	1.41	67%	0.07	8.1	0.8%	0	0.8	70	0
14	Dec_11_2017	123.41	128.64	130.32	130.09			129.35(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-9	116	1.07	70%	0.07	8.8	0.79%	0	0.3	71	0
15	Dec_8_2017	123.32	128.7	130.05	130.57			129.92(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-6	133	1.09	76%	0.09	18.9	0.83%	0	0.5	73	0

16	Dec_7_2017	123.21	128.69	129.65	130.91			129.67(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	28	-10000	-4	123	1.08	70%	0.06	22.9	0.96%	0	0.4	66	0
17	Dec_6_2017	123.13	128.65	129.28	131.17			130.78(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	2	119	1.04	73%	0.08	26.4	0.97%	0	1	54	0
18	Dec_5_2017	123.03	128.55	128.83	131.01			130.74(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	7	102	1.46	63%	0.08	27.6	1%	0	1	53	0
19	Dec_4_2017	122.93	128.45	128.3	130.56			131.74(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	16	74	2.19	63%	0.09	24.7	1.11%	0	1.5	59	0
20	Dec_1_2017	122.82	128.28	127.66	129.43			131.6(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	17	28	2.55	61%	0.09	15.5	1.11%	0	1.7	48	0

21	Nov_30_2017	122.71	128.18	127.1	128.19			130.98(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	-10000	15	-16	2.19	59%	0.09	4.7	1.12%	0	1.5	50	0
22	Nov_29_2017	122.6	128.05	126.85	127.12			129.98(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	10	-42	1.77	59%	0.08	-7.8	1.13%	0	1.1	51	0
23	Nov_28_2017	122.5	127.94	126.73	126.37			128.51(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	9	-61	1.82	53%	0.07	-21.9	1.12%	0	0.3	46	0
24	Nov_27_2017	122.42	127.92	126.71	125.74			126.06(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	2	-79	1.35	50%	0.03	-36.8	1.15%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Nov_24_2017	122.38	127.97	127.17	125.63			125.44(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-3	-76	0.31	49%		-44.8	1.15%	0	-1.5	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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