Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $106.0453 (1.89%) ($104.6362 - $106.0733) on Fri. Mar. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $106.0453(1.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(71%)    VYM(70%)    IWD(66%)    SDY(66%)    IVE(65%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    GDXJ(-10%)    IPO(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $103.98(1.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.94(3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.83(4.14%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $26.851b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2016	102.28	101.83	102.94	103.98			106.05(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	-10000	11	79	1.98	47%	0.02	95.6	1.28%	0	2.6	68	0
2	Mar_10_2016	102.26	101.35	102.39	103.26			104.08(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	7	63	1.68	45%	0.02	70	1.26%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Mar_9_2016	102.24	101.05	102.11	102.83			103.89(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	5	53	1.45	44%	0.04	60.8	1.26%	0	1.6	62	0
4	Mar_8_2016	102.2	100.77	101.78	102.5			103.44(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	4	43	1.89	44%	0.05	56.9	1.27%	0	1.6	58	0
5	Mar_7_2016	102.15	100.49	101.44	102.26			102.46(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	8	41	1.23	44%	0.05	51.2	1.27%	0	1.2	62	0

6	Mar_4_2016	102.1	100.3	101.33	101.72			102.45(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	6	34	1.37	47%	0.06	41.1	1.27%	0	1.3	62	0
7	Mar_3_2016	102.04	100.15	101.11	101.36			101.9(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	2	39	1.82	44%	0.07	45.5	1.31%	0	1.1	71	0
8	Mar_2_2016	101.97	100.01	101.01	101.26			102.27(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	5	49	1.52	44%	0.08	55.3	1.36%	0	1.5	63	0
9	Mar_1_2016	101.89	99.82	100.9	100.94			102.2(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	-10000	6	55	1.65	44%	0.06	60.8	1.36%	0	1.7	62	0
10	Feb_29_2016	101.83	99.66	100.64	100.53			99.78(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-5	50	2.92	41%	0.05	73.5	1.32%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Feb_26_2016	101.78	99.64	100.66	100.87			100.65(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	1	67	1.81	41%	0.06	94.7	1.32%	0	0.8	58	0
12	Feb_25_2016	101.72	99.46	100.26	100.8			101.4(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	1	52	1.39	41%	0.07	93	1.33%	0	1.4	55	0
13	Feb_24_2016	101.65	99.19	99.94	100.72			100.67(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-10000	-2	46	1.52	41%	0.08	84.4	1.32%	0	1	55	0
14	Feb_23_2016	101.57	98.96	99.71	100.85			100.14(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	2	52	1.52	41%	0.07	74.9	1.32%	0	0.7	57	0
15	Feb_22_2016	101.5	98.7	99.5	100.75			101.48(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	46	2.28	42%	0.09	59.4	1.31%	0	1.5	57	0

16	Feb_19_2016	101.41	98.41	99.2	100.41			100.31(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	12	38	1.68	42%	0.1	46.2	1.31%	0	1	53	0
17	Feb_18_2016	101.31	98.16	99.13	99.61			101.01(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	9	29	1.68	44%	0.1	25.5	1.3%	0	1.5	65	0
18	Feb_17_2016	101.21	97.92	98.92	99.02			101.32(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	9	27	1.91	44%	0.09	8.2	1.32%	0	1.9	69	0
19	Feb_16_2016	101.12	97.73	98.6	98.42			99.64(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	5	22	2.32	42%	0.18	-4.2	1.3%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Feb_12_2016	100.94	97.62	98.55	98.09			99.75(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	10	-10000	3	32	2.1	40%	0.09	-12.6	1.3%	0	1.4	69	0

21	Feb_11_2016	100.85	97.57	98.49	97.87			96.3(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-11	40	2.54	35%	0.05	-15.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	55	0
22	Feb_10_2016	100.8	97.68	98.6	98.56			98.11(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-4	72	1.58	36%	0.07	-11.7	1.21%	0	0.3	65	0
23	Feb_9_2016	100.73	97.77	98.4	98.78			98.3(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	20	-10000	-0	79	1.98	36%	0.05	-13.4	1.22%	0	0.3	60	0
24	Feb_8_2016	100.68	97.8	98.18	98.8			98(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-4	70	3.41	36%	0.07	-21.1	1.22%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Feb_5_2016	100.61	97.82	97.89	99.06			98.64(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-2	67	2.76	36%		-34.1	1.22%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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