Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TRV: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 21, 2015

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $102.1794 (1.61%) ($101.0625 - $103.2685) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $102.1794(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(71%)    VYM(70%)    IWD(66%)    SDY(66%)    IVE(65%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-10%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $99.1(3.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.3(5.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.93(7.64%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $25.872b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2015	93.59	94.93	97.3	99.1			102.18(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	62	-10000	25	174	3.12	58%	0.12	60.6	1.22%	0	2.4	88	0
2	Oct_20_2015	93.48	94.37	96.48	97.64			100.56(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	49	-10000	18	143	3.14	56%	0.1	50.7	1.22%	0	2.4	79	0
3	Oct_19_2015	93.39	93.88	95.73	96.6			98.14(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	8	122	2.4	53%	0.06	44.2	1.19%	0	1.9	75	0
4	Oct_16_2015	93.33	93.6	95.31	96.12			97.75(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	10	124	1.87	53%	0.04	44.8	1.19%	0	2.1	76	0
5	Oct_15_2015	93.29	93.29	94.76	95.57			96.88(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	6	110	1.66	53%	0.04	43.2	1.19%	0	2.1	68	0

6	Oct_14_2015	93.25	93.11	94.16	95.23			94.86(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	2	101	1.94	50%	0.02	49.7	1.16%	0	1.1	67	0
7	Oct_13_2015	93.23	93.06	93.88	95.11			95.36(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	7	105	1.29	51%	0.02	59.4	1.15%	0	1.5	68	0
8	Oct_12_2015	93.21	92.93	93.52	94.7			95.74(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	6	94	0.98	51%	0.02	58.2	1.16%	0	2	70	0
9	Oct_9_2015	93.19	92.72	93.09	94.36			95.02(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	1.29	53%	0.01	65.2	1.17%	0	1.8	58	0
10	Oct_8_2015	93.18	92.55	92.79	93.82			95.16(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	-10000	16	68	1.21	51%	0.01	61.4	1.18%	0	2.2	62	0

11	Oct_7_2015	93.17	92.35	92.39	92.94			94.31(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	9	26	1.34	53%	0	47.4	1.18%	0	1.8	50	0
12	Oct_6_2015	93.17	92.18	92.09	92.46			93.29(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	6	-3	1.33	53%	-0.01	45.7	1.18%	0	1.1	45	0
13	Oct_5_2015	93.18	92.11	91.88	92.16			94.02(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	2	-10000	9	-19	1.85	53%	0.01	41.3	1.18%	0	2	52	0
14	Oct_2_2015	93.17	91.89	91.72	91.65			92.33(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	0	-34	2.41	50%	-0.02	14.8	1.17%	0	0.4	53	0
15	Oct_1_2015	93.19	91.84	91.68	91.63			90.77(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-2	-36	2.98	52%	-0.02	6.4	1.15%	0	-1.1	47	0

16	Sep_30_2015	93.21	91.85	91.98	91.72			91.87(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-19	2.56	54%	-0.01	4.6	1.19%	0	0	53	0
17	Sep_29_2015	93.22	91.74	92.18	91.64			91.81(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	2	-7	2.13	51%	-0.01	0.8	1.19%	0	0.1	56	0
18	Sep_28_2015	93.23	91.71	92.3	91.55			91.45(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-5	-7	2.89	51%	-0.03	1.6	1.21%	0	-0.2	48	0
19	Sep_25_2015	93.26	91.75	92.34	91.81			92.22(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-10000	1	13	1.94	51%	-0.02	-0.8	1.2%	0	0.4	62	0
20	Sep_24_2015	93.28	91.78	92.31	91.77			91.25(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-9	11	2.39	49%	-0.01	-17.5	1.2%	0	-0.5	52	0

21	Sep_23_2015	93.29	91.8	92.35	92.28			91.45(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-9	31	1.92	49%	-0.02	-30.2	1.21%	0	-0.3	54	0
22	Sep_22_2015	93.31	91.73	92.32	92.81			91.36(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	10	-10000	-6	56	2.33	49%	-0.02	-50.4	1.21%	0	-0.3	59	0
23	Sep_21_2015	93.33	91.7	92.4	93.15			92.78(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	4	76	2.1	51%	0	-71.5	1.2%	0	0.9	55	0
24	Sep_18_2015	93.33	91.76	92.11	92.93			91.99(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	15	-10000	1	56	5	51%	0	-84.7	1.22%	0	0.2	49	0
25	Sep_17_2015	93.33	91.98	92.03	92.89			93.84(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	8	51	1.78	53%		-68.7	1.21%	0	1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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