Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: TRV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Travelers)
TRV latest price $82.7297 (0.21%) ($82.1693 - $82.8367) on Mon. May. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $82.7297(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TRV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TRV advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TRV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(71%)    XLI(63%)    VT(61%)    XLB(60%)    XAR(59%)
Factors Impacting TRV price   TRV will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    TLT(-23%)    GDXJ(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.63(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $81.98(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $80.99(2.15%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $20.947b

The Travelers Cos., Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the provision of commercial and personal property and casualty insurance products and services. It operates through the following business segments: Business Insurance; Bond and Specialty Insurance; and Personal Insurance. The Business Insurance segment offers a broad array of property and casualty insurance, and insurance related services to its customers. The Bond and Specialty Insurance segment includes surety, fidelity, management liability, professional liability, and other property and casualty coverage and related risk management services. The Personal Insurance segment consists of products of automobile and homeowners insurance are complemented by a broad suite of related coverages. The company was founded in 1853 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. TRV price fluctuates within 2.05% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2014	77.83	80.99	81.98	82.63			82.73(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	5	100	1.29	76%	0.13	85.9	0.65%	0	1	65	0
2	May_16_2014	77.73	80.71	81.8	82.5			82.56(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	32	-10000	8	103	2.33	76%	0.14	88.7	0.66%	0	1.1	72	0
3	May_15_2014	77.62	80.45	81.65	82.27			82.37(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	7	113	2.26	76%	0.15	85.5	0.67%	0	1.1	77	0
4	May_14_2014	77.5	80.21	81.51	82.07			82.62(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	10	125	1.33	76%	0.16	82.8	0.67%	0	1.4	76	0
5	May_13_2014	77.38	79.91	81.32	81.79			82.85(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	20	136	2.25	76%	0.17	79.5	0.67%	0	1.6	79	0

6	May_12_2014	77.25	79.58	81.12	81.25			82.08(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	9	137	2.07	74%	0.16	72.4	0.67%	0	1.4	81	0
7	May_9_2014	77.13	79.28	80.91	81			81.42(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	-10000	2	149	1.64	73%	0.14	68.1	0.68%	0	1.1	81	0
8	May_8_2014	77.02	79.01	80.66	80.94			81.37(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	3	163	1.78	73%	0.16	65.6	0.69%	0	1.2	78	0
9	May_7_2014	76.9	78.76	80.43	80.87			81.21(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	-10000	3	179	3.28	73%	0.14	68.6	0.69%	0	1.3	76	0
10	May_6_2014	76.79	78.48	80.17	80.78			80.15(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	44	-10000	-7	197	2.3	70%	0.13	68.4	0.68%	0	0.9	77	0

11	May_5_2014	76.69	78.27	79.93	80.97			80.84(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	65	-10000	7	237	1.91	75%	0.14	70.6	0.67%	0	1.3	84	0
12	May_2_2014	76.58	78.02	79.57	80.79			81.15(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	75	-10000	18	245	2.1	75%	0.18	72.9	0.67%	0	1.6	87	0
13	May_1_2014	76.44	77.74	79.18	80.31			81(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	-10000	15	232	2.75	75%	0.18	73.6	0.68%	0	1.8	88	0
14	Apr_30_2014	76.3	77.46	78.82	79.91			80.78(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	-10000	16	218	2.75	75%	0.18	75.6	0.69%	0	1.9	77	0
15	Apr_29_2014	76.16	77.18	78.4	79.47			81.06(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	72	-10000	26	210	3.65	75%	0.2	75.6	0.69%	0	2.5	82	0

16	Apr_28_2014	76.01	76.9	77.9	78.75			79.94(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	61	-10000	22	177	4.09	72%	0.18	81.1	0.67%	0	2.3	77	0
17	Apr_25_2014	75.87	76.64	77.51	78.18			78.75(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	-10000	12	146	2.26	68%	0.12	78.8	0.64%	0	1.8	71	0
18	Apr_24_2014	75.78	76.42	77.21	77.89			79(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	-10000	13	130	2.24	68%	0.16	75	0.64%	0	2.3	74	0
19	Apr_23_2014	75.66	76.19	76.95	77.56			78.59(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	-10000	16	122	2.91	68%	0.15	75.6	0.65%	0	2.3	74	0
20	Apr_22_2014	75.55	76	76.64	77.16			77.49(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	10	103	3.18	63%	0.09	75.2	0.62%	0	1.7	71	0

21	Apr_21_2014	75.48	75.86	76.47	76.92			77.05(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	8	83	2.33	63%	0.09	73.2	0.63%	0	1.4	60	0
22	Apr_17_2014	75.41	75.74	76.36	76.72			77.3(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	12	86	1.89	63%	0.09	71.3	0.63%	0	1.8	69	0
23	Apr_16_2014	75.34	75.59	76.2	76.42			77.39(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	7	78	1.83	63%	0.12	0	0.64%	0	2.1	72	0
24	Apr_15_2014	75.25	75.42	76	76.25			76.59(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	9	82	2.16	58%	0.08	0	0.63%	0	1.6	70	0
25	Apr_14_2014	75.19	75.33	75.87	76.04			76.25(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	70	3.15	58%		0	0.64%	0	1.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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