Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x ETF)
TNA latest price $27.3000 (4.48%) ($25.6500 - $27.6700) on Thu. Mar. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.35% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $27.3000(4.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TNA advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TNA advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(91%)    IWO(89%)    VT(89%)    IWN(88%)    IWC(86%)
Factors Impacting TNA price   TNA will decline at least -2.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.175% (StdDev 4.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.59(2.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.47(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.13(8.64%)
To recent high   -19.8%
To recent low   48.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. TNA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. TNA price fluctuates within 7.8% (three month std-dev: 4.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2016	28.59	25.13	26.47	26.59			27.3(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	6	49	13.22	41%	-0.31	81.3	4.35%	0	1.1	67	0
2	Mar_16_2016	28.68	24.84	26.37	26.23			26.13(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	53	13	41%	-0.24	81.9	4.32%	0	0.7	66	0
3	Mar_15_2016	28.75	24.63	26.32	26.22			25.62(-4.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	-0	69	12.43	43%	-0.31	84.8	4.36%	0	0.5	67	0
4	Mar_14_2016	28.84	24.41	26.27	26.23			26.86(-0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	19	-10000	-3	86	10.63	44%	-0.28	88.4	4.35%	0	1.2	75	0
5	Mar_11_2016	28.92	24.05	25.94	26.4			27.06(6.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	100	14.6	42%	-0.24	83.6	4.36%	0	1.3	71	0

6	Mar_10_2016	28.99	23.63	25.6	26.35			25.46(-2.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-3	111	16.42	40%	-0.28	70.2	4.36%	0	0.7	70	0
7	Mar_9_2016	29.07	23.32	25.4	26.53			26.08(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	2	133	13.07	39%	-0.31	63.6	4.35%	0	1.1	75	0
8	Mar_8_2016	29.16	22.97	25.06	26.43			25.67(-7.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	3	140	17.62	39%	-0.34	56.5	4.36%	0	1	71	0
9	Mar_7_2016	29.26	22.66	24.71	26.27			27.71(3.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	-10000	16	153	14.33	40%	-0.24	47.1	4.27%	0	1.9	85	0
10	Mar_4_2016	29.33	22.28	24.18	25.39			26.81(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	45	-10000	12	144	18.35	40%	-0.27	34.8	4.28%	0	1.9	87	0

11	Mar_3_2016	29.41	22.02	23.67	24.75			26.38(3.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	12	146	11.97	38%	-0.2	31.7	4.29%	0	2	88	0
12	Mar_2_2016	29.47	21.78	23.17	24.11			25.6(3.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	12	142	11.96	38%	-0.27	27.4	4.31%	0	2	81	0
13	Mar_1_2016	29.55	21.57	22.77	23.51			24.83(6.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	45	-10000	12	142	16.95	38%	-0.37	19.2	4.3%	0	1.9	80	0
14	Feb_29_2016	29.66	21.57	22.37	22.93			23.32(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	3	134	13.35	36%	-0.4	16.2	4.18%	0	1.2	73	0
15	Feb_26_2016	29.78	21.47	22	22.78			23.61(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	-10000	7	129	15.53	36%	-0.4	16.1	4.18%	0	1.3	65	0

16	Feb_25_2016	29.9	21.35	21.5	22.43			23.19(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	8	93	14.06	36%	-0.37	11.4	4.2%	0	1.2	52	0
17	Feb_24_2016	30.01	21.27	21.09	22.08			22.59(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	3	60	18.38	36%	-0.33	5.9	4.2%	0	0.9	52	0
18	Feb_23_2016	30.11	21.25	20.73	21.93			21.94(-2.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	5	38	15.47	36%	-0.36	7.2	4.19%	0	0.5	49	0
19	Feb_22_2016	30.22	21.22	20.47	21.72			22.58(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	14	8	13.35	36%	-0.26	1.2	4.19%	0	0.9	44	0
20	Feb_19_2016	30.3	21.21	20.47	21.1			21.83(1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	16	-36	12.68	36%	-0.26	-11.7	4.17%	0	0.4	40	0

21	Feb_18_2016	30.38	21.21	20.23	20.42			21.47(-1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	12	-61	14.1	38%	-0.3	-27.4	4.16%	0	0.2	50	0
22	Feb_17_2016	30.47	21.18	20.25	19.93			21.82(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	-10000	14	-76	16.68	38%	-0.2	-45.8	4.22%	0	0.4	51	0
23	Feb_16_2016	30.53	21.15	20.23	19.37			20.88(7.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-20	-10000	8	-104	18.49	36%	-0.29	-65.7	4.17%	0	-0.2	43	0
24	Feb_12_2016	30.62	21.2	20.45	19.07			19.48(5.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-5	-112	21.77	32%	-0.46	-78.5	4.04%	0	-1.2	44	0
25	Feb_11_2016	30.76	21.39	20.85	19.26			18.43(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-19	-108	32.89	29%		-84.1	4%	0	-2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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