Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x ETF)
TNA latest price $34.0200 (3.25%) ($33.0800 - $34.1000) on Tue. Dec. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.38% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $34.0200(3.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TNA advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TNA advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(91%)    IWO(89%)    VT(89%)    IWN(88%)    VYM(85%)
Factors Impacting TNA price   TNA will decline at least -1.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.69% (StdDev 3.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.15(2.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.46(4.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.27(2.25%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   20.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TNA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TNA price fluctuates within 6.22% (three month std-dev: 3.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_29_2015	34.45	33.27	32.46	33.15			34.02(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	10	32	7.25	61%	-0.23	-43.6	3.38%	0	0.4	49	0
2	Dec_28_2015	34.53	33.42	32.1	32.59			32.95(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	9	-6	5.87	56%	-0.38	-43	3.37%	0	-0.2	43	0
3	Dec_24_2015	34.66	33.65	31.9	32.11			33.45(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-10000	5	-46	3.66	54%	-0.26	-39.7	3.54%	0	-0.1	40	0
4	Dec_23_2015	34.75	33.84	31.84	31.82			33.29(3.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	1	-66	7.85	54%	-0.26	-37.1	3.54%	0	-0.2	43	0
5	Dec_22_2015	34.84	34	31.77	31.77			32.06(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-10000	2	-87	9.23	50%	-0.29	-32	3.51%	0	-0.7	34	0

6	Dec_21_2015	34.94	34.2	31.95	31.68			31.22(2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-10000	3	-107	7.75	50%	-0.34	-30.2	3.54%	0	-1.1	29	0
7	Dec_18_2015	35.06	34.42	32.27	31.51			30.53(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-2	-127	12.02	48%	-0.34	-29.3	3.53%	0	-1.5	29	0
8	Dec_17_2015	35.18	34.66	32.83	31.61			32(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-4	-134	12.3	50%	-0.28	-29.1	3.52%	0	-1.1	31	0
9	Dec_16_2015	35.28	34.83	33.13	31.85			33.06(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-34	-10000	1	-138	15.26	50%	-0.23	-28.9	3.5%	0	-0.8	35	0
10	Dec_15_2015	35.36	34.87	33.5	31.81			31.6(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-43	-10000	-9	-144	11.34	48%	-0.25	-36	3.47%	0	-1.4	33	0

11	Dec_14_2015	35.45	35.01	34.14	32.31			30.37(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-10000	-15	-126	18.66	46%	-0.34	-37.3	3.45%	0	-2.2	32	0
12	Dec_11_2015	35.57	35.19	34.87	33.15			31(-6.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-38	-10000	-18	-98	17.75	46%	-0.36	-41.1	3.45%	0	-2.2	36	0
13	Dec_10_2015	35.7	35.36	35.59	34.2			33.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-7	-56	7.82	49%	-0.34	-38.7	3.35%	0	-1.3	47	0
14	Dec_9_2015	35.82	35.5	36.04	34.6			32.9(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-14	-38	12.76	49%	-0.31	-37.3	3.35%	0	-1.6	43	0
15	Dec_8_2015	35.93	35.7	36.45	35.43			34.09(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-11	-10000	-14	-2	10.04	54%	-0.33	-25.6	3.35%	0	-1.1	56	0

16	Dec_7_2015	36.05	35.83	36.67	36.26			34.58(-4.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	1	-10000	-9	32	12.22	54%	-0.3	-11.2	3.45%	0	-0.8	56	0
17	Dec_4_2015	36.16	35.99	36.79	36.85			36.23(2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-5	62	11.07	57%	-0.3	9.6	3.42%	0	0.2	67	0
18	Dec_3_2015	36.27	36.02	36.67	37.2			35.18(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	14	-10000	-7	77	13.36	57%	-0.3	22.8	3.42%	0	-0.5	59	0
19	Dec_2_2015	36.38	36.11	36.71	37.68			37.07(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	1	95	10.14	62%	-0.25	35	3.35%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Dec_1_2015	36.47	36.1	36.38	37.61			38.23(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	7	82	9.86	57%	-0.22	45.7	3.37%	0	1.4	54	0

21	Nov_30_2015	36.55	36	35.95	37.15			37.53(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	7	56	7.7	57%	-0.19	46.6	3.5%	0	1	53	0
22	Nov_27_2015	36.62	35.84	35.51	36.73			37.98(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	10	26	4.22	59%	-0.27	37.3	3.51%	0	1.5	48	0
23	Nov_25_2015	36.72	35.67	35.07	36.08			37.59(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	7	-7	7.47	62%	-0.19	29.7	3.66%	0	1.4	50	0
24	Nov_24_2015	36.79	35.58	34.86	35.61			36.71(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	10	-23	10.44	57%	-0.19	29	3.66%	0	0.8	48	0
25	Nov_23_2015	36.86	35.41	34.83	34.97			35.94(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	-10000	6	-39	6.76	57%		11.6	3.93%	0	0.4	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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