Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: TNA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Small Cap Bull 3x ETF)
TNA latest price $49.3500 (0.59%) ($48.7200 - $49.4900) on Tue. Jun. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.25% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $49.3500(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   TNA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TNA advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TNA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(91%)    VT(89%)    VYM(85%)    XAR(85%)    XLI(84%)
Factors Impacting TNA price   TNA will decline at least -1.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.125% (StdDev 2.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.2(2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.23(4.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.06(7.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. TNA is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. TNA price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 2.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2015	44.03	46.06	47.23	48.2			49.35(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	11	99	5.04	45%	0.3	59.4	2.25%	0	2	64	0
2	Jun_22_2015	43.9	45.75	46.74	47.63			49.06(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	-10000	13	83	6.47	45%	0.3	49.8	2.25%	0	2.3	68	0
3	Jun_19_2015	43.77	45.51	46.31	46.95			48.06(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	8	62	4.57	45%	0.21	46	2.26%	0	2.1	67	0
4	Jun_18_2015	43.68	45.35	46.04	46.54			48.19(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	7	58	9.2	45%	0.28	47.5	2.26%	0	2.6	69	0
5	Jun_17_2015	43.56	45.18	45.67	46.18			46.33(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	1	46	9.52	41%	0.16	63.7	2.22%	0	1.3	58	0

6	Jun_16_2015	43.49	45.11	45.61	46.12			46.52(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	8	53	9.44	41%	0.16	79.1	2.22%	0	1.7	58	0
7	Jun_15_2015	43.42	45.04	45.42	45.7			45.63(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	3	45	11.52	41%	0.16	85.6	2.22%	0	0.8	63	0
8	Jun_12_2015	43.35	44.94	45.3	45.55			46.01(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	2	40	8.07	45%	0.16	83	2.22%	0	1.4	56	0
9	Jun_11_2015	43.28	44.83	45.1	45.45			46.41(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	7	32	7.16	45%	0.25	93.7	2.29%	0	2	55	0
10	Jun_10_2015	43.17	44.64	44.92	45.09			46.05(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5	-10000	1	16	10.73	43%	0.21	82.4	2.3%	0	1.7	53	0

11	Jun_9_2015	43.08	44.47	44.79	45.06			44.39(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-1	13	9.98	39%	0.02	87.4	2.3%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Jun_8_2015	43.07	44.4	44.69	45.1			44.91(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	2	6	9.32	39%	0.19	84.1	2.3%	0	0.5	49	0
13	Jun_5_2015	42.99	44.3	44.66	44.99			45.49(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	6	8	12.31	37%	0.23	79.8	2.35%	0	1.2	59	0
14	Jun_4_2015	42.89	44.12	44.6	44.67			44.59(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-10000	-1	2	12.85	37%	0.19	67.9	2.34%	0	0.4	55	0
15	Jun_3_2015	42.81	43.96	44.66	44.71			45.91(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	4	19	10.76	39%	0.19	51.1	2.31%	0	1.6	68	0

16	Jun_2_2015	42.73	43.72	44.56	44.5			44.61(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	5	27	9.05	36%	0.16	28.1	2.29%	0	0.7	64	0
17	Jun_1_2015	42.66	43.61	44.61	44.23			44.35(1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-1	28	12.25	36%	0.14	14.9	2.31%	0	0.6	62	0
18	May_29_2015	42.6	43.5	44.61	44.27			43.91(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-5	34	10.18	36%	0.09	1	2.33%	0	0.3	60	0
19	May_28_2015	42.56	43.38	44.56	44.51			44.78(-0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-2	55	8.57	36%	0.19	-11.4	2.33%	0	1	71	0
20	May_27_2015	42.48	43.34	44.36	44.61			44.87(3.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-1	67	8.35	36%	0.21	-16.5	2.35%	0	1.1	74	0

21	May_26_2015	42.39	43.35	44.14	44.64			43.26(-2.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-7	78	11.01	32%	0.19	-17	2.31%	0	-0.1	71	0
22	May_22_2015	42.31	43.42	44.12	45.02			44.53(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	3	103	6.9	33%	0.05	-12.4	2.23%	0	0.7	63	0
23	May_21_2015	42.29	43.49	43.94	44.87			45.12(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	5	104	7.95	33%	0.12	-10.2	2.24%	0	1	69	0
24	May_20_2015	42.24	43.55	43.61	44.61			45.25(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	11	101	8.53	33%	0.09	-15.1	2.26%	0	1	73	0
25	May_19_2015	42.2	43.57	43.22	44.07			45.05(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	10	67	7.43	33%		-25.9	2.26%	0	0.8	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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