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     Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 16, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $138.9300 (0.15%) ($138.9300 - $138.9300) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Downtrend
Trend Narrative  Downtrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $3.71 (2.58% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.8% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  -0.3% (StdDev 0.8%)
Daily Moving Force  -0.3%
Rebound Strength  None(0%)
Hourly Trend Strength  -0.34%
Trend   -0.38%
Trend Strength  -2.2%
Trend Clarity  -0.12(-0.3/3.71/143.58)
RSI   29
Momentum  3.2
Latest Price  $138.9300(0.15%)
Forecasted Low Price  137.82(-0.8%)
Forecasted High Price  139.21(0.2%)
Direction of Next Movement  Lower(-1%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Rebound  1.2% ((140.64))
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.5%
Hourly Trend   -0.2% [$138.82(-0.32), $139.56(-0.49)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Complacency  2
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT decline at-0.2% a week (86% probability)
  BND(89%)    LQD(83%)    TIP(82%)    VCIT(72%)    BNDX(66%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will decline at least -0.2% in a week (61% probabilities).
  TBT(-99%)    XLF(-37%)    VXX(-33%)    VIXM(-33%)    VYM(-29%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.9 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.7% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV   -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $138.9(-0.02%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $134.25(-3.37%)
Resistance Level  $143.58
5 Day Moving Average  $139.82(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average  $140.49(-1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average  $143.58(-3.24%)
To recent high  -12.5%
To recent low  0.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 0.8%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20210405

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
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Weekly
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Force
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Force
Hourly
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RSIMomentumTrend
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CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Mar_5_2021143.58 (-0.4%)140.49 (-0.4%)139.82 (-0.6%) 139.56 138.82(0%)138.93(0.15%)138.93-138.93-1.3(-1.3)-0.4 -0.3%-0.3%0%-0.34%-0.38%-2.2%293.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.6%)2-1.2-0.3Downtrend 136.64(-1.65%)135.34-139.6518.31   -12.5%-0.3
2Mar_4_2021144.1 (-0.4%)140.92 (-0.4%)140.64 (0%) 140.05 139.14(0%)138.72(-0.6%)138.72-138.72-1.3(-1.4)-1 -0.6%-0.4%0%-0.38%-0.38%-2.2%263.2 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.7%)2-0.50.3The Bottom 137.9(-0.59%)133.62-141.4118.92   -12.6%-0.1
3Mar_3_2021144.65 (-0.4%)141.55 (-0.4%)140.61 (-0.2%) 141.12 140.3(0%)139.56(-1.05%)139.56-139.56-1.3(-1.4)-0.6 -0.2%-0.4%0%-0.25%-0.44%-2.1%253 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)2-0.80.1Downtrend 137.2(-1.69%)135.85-140.3516.89   -12.1%-0.7
4Mar_2_2021145.22 (-0.4%)142.16 (-0.4%)140.87 (-0.1%) 140.88 140.96(0%)141.04(0.11%)141.04-141.05-1.4(-1.1)0.6 -0.4%-0.3%0%0.06%-0.46%-2.1%313 Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Lower(-0.7%)2-10.5Downtrend 138.52(-1.79%)137.12-141.7511.86   -11.2%-1.8% 
5Mar_1_2021145.76 (-0.4%)142.54 (-0.6%)141.04 (-0.2%) 140.84 141.95(0%)140.89(-1.48%)140.89-140.89-1.5(-1.3)0.9 0.3%-0.4%0%0.48%-0.48%-2.2%313.1 Rebound  Higher(0.6%)1-1.30.3Bottom 141.03(0.1%)138.78-142.5420.09   -11.3%-1.7% 
 
6Feb_26_2021146.31 (-0.4%)143.14 (-0.6%)141.27 (-0%) 141.08 140.79(0%)143(3.19%)143-143.07-1.7(-0.9)2.6 0.4%-0.4%0%-0.17%-0.48%-2.2%363.1 Rebound  Range(0%)0-0.40.4Downtrend 140.17(-1.98%)138.72-143.5636.57   -10.7%-3.2% 
7Feb_25_2021146.79 (-0.4%)143.68 (-0.6%)141.33 (-0.9%) 140.84 139.73(0%)138.57(-1.64%)138.57-138.57-1.9(-2.1)-1.1 -1%-0.7%0%-0.61%-0.48%-2.1%173.7 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.9%)1-1.40.5Bottom 138.94(0.27%)135.86-14145.2   -13.5%-0
8Feb_24_2021147.57 (-0.4%)144.8 (-0.4%)142.66 (-0.7%) 142.01 141.37(0%)140.89(-0.68%)140.89-140.89-1.9(-1.8)-0.8 -0.6%-0.5%0%-0.54%-0.4%-1.9%193.6 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.8%)2-1.61.1Downtrend 138.11(-1.97%)136.46-141.9515.02   -12%-0
9Feb_23_2021148.2 (-0.2%)145.61 (-0.4%)143.64 (-0.4%) 143.1 141.96(0%)141.86(-0.14%)141.86-141.86-1.9(-1.8)-0.8 -0.5%-0.5%0%-0.48%-0.36%-1.8%183.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.9%)2-1.41.5Downtrend 139.56(-1.62%)138.13-142.8811.71   -11.7%-0
10Feb_22_2021148.79 (-0.2%)146.31 (-0.4%)144.25 (-0.7%) 144.09 142.66(0%)142.06(-0.83%)142.06-142.06-2(-2)-1.7 -0.8%-0.4%0.5%-0.63%-0.36%-1.7%173.2 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)2-1.41.7Downtrend 139.9(-1.52%)138.53-143.110.84   -11.6%-0
 
11Feb_19_2021149.31 (-0.2%)146.95 (-0.4%)145.26 (-0.8%) 144.8 144.25(0%)143.26(-1.36%)143.26-143.26-1.9(-2)-1.8 -0.8%-0.4%0%-0.44%-0.34%-1.6%192.8 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.5%)2-1.71.9Bottom 143.8(0.38%)141.82-145.1410.78   -11.3%-0
12Feb_18_2021149.74 (-0.2%)147.58 (-0.4%)146.4 (-0.6%) 145.76 145.53(0%)145.24(-0.4%)145.24-145.24-1.8(-1.7)-0.6 -0.3%-0.3%0%-0.06%-0.3%-1.4%192.5 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.4%)2-1.51.9Bottom 145.63(0.27%)144.07-146.6610.07   -10.1%-0.3
13Feb_17_2021150.11 (-0.2%)148.03 (-0.4%)147.3 (-0.4%) 146.69 145.35(0%)145.82(0.65%)145.82-145.82-1.7(-1.7)-0.1 -0.5%-0.3%0%-0.47%-0.28%-1.4%192.4 Downtrend Pop  Lower(-0.8%)2-1.62.1Relative Oversold 145.62(-0.14%)142.91-147.8210.63   -9.7%-0.7% 
14Feb_16_2021150.45 (-0.2%)148.55 (-0.4%)147.9 (-0.5%) 147.67 145.99(0%)144.88(-1.52%)144.88-144.88-1.7(-2.4)-1.3 -1%-0.4%0%-0.96%-0.26%-1.3%162.2 Breakdown  Lower(-0.6%)2-22Growing Downtrend 144(-0.61%)143.1-145.8314.97   -10.3%-0
15Feb_12_2021150.82 (-0.2%)149.27 (-0.2%)148.65 (-0.1%) 148.65 148.03(0%)147.11(-1.25%)147.11-147.11-1.5(-1.9)-1.9 -0.6%-0.3%0%-0.45%-0.24%-1%191.9 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)2-22.1Downtrend 146.43(-0.46%)145.89-147.7211.63   -8.9%-0
 
16Feb_11_2021151.05 (-0.2%)149.75 (-0.2%)148.86 (-0.1%) 149.04 149.35(0%)148.96(-0.52%)148.96-148.96-1.5(-1.2)-1 0.1%-0.2%0%0.03%-0.22%-0.9%371.6 Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)2-1.62.2Downtrend 148.35(-0.41%)147.95-149.39.8   -7.8%-0.5
17Feb_10_2021151.24 (-0.2%)150.13 (-0.2%)148.94 (0%) 148.83 149.28(0%)149.74(0.62%)149.74-149.74-1.7(-0.9)2.2 0.2%-0.2%0%0.1%-0.2%-0.7%431.6 Rebound  Range(0%)1-1.52.2Downtrend 149.19(-0.37%)148.84-149.996.32   -7.3%-1.1% 
18Feb_9_2021151.31 (-0.2%)150.5 (-0.2%)148.92 (-0.3%) 148.73 148.73(0%)148.81(0.11%)148.81-148.81-2(-1.5)0.2 %-0.2%0.2%0.11%-0.22%-0.5%331.6 Downtrend  Range(0%)1-1.92Relative Oversold 148.77(-0.03%)147.25-150.014.9   -7.9%-0.4
19Feb_8_2021151.44 (-0.2%)150.95 (-0.2%)149.35 (-0.4%) 148.94 148.39(0%)148.65(0.33%)148.65-148.65-2(-1.8)0.1 -0.3%-0.3%0.2%-0.18%-0.2%-0.3%331.4 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.4%)2-2.31.8Relative Oversold 148.77(0.08%)147.42-149.886.59   -8%-0.3
20Feb_5_2021151.59 (-0.2%)151.44 (-0.2%)150.01 (-0.5%) 149.52 148.73(0%)148.16(-0.78%)148.07-148.16-1.9(-2.5)-2 -0.5%-0.2%0%-0.3%-0.16%-0.1%341.2 Breakdown  Range(-0.3%)3-2.31.7Growing Downtrend 147.88(-0.19%)147.49-148.768.5   -8.3%-0
 
21Feb_4_2021151.8 (-0.2%)151.84 (-0%)150.77 (-0.5%) 150.47 149.48(0%)149.32(-0.23%)149.32-149.32-1.5(-2.2)-1.5 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.42%-0.12%0%431 Breakdown  Lower(-0.5%)3-1.81.5Downtrend 149.14(-0.12%)148.88-149.766.54   -7.5%-0
22Feb_3_2021152 (-0.2%)152.08 (-0%)151.49 (-0.5%) 151.12 150.31(0%)149.67(-0.86%)149.59-149.67-1(-2.4)-1.3 -0.7%-0.2%0%-0.42%-0.08%0.1%370.8 Breakdown  Lower(-0.5%)3-1.31.7Downtrend 149.58(-0.06%)149.38-150.049.11   -7.3%-0
23Feb_2_2021152.33 (-0.2%)152.38 (0%)152.3 (-0.3%) 151.94 151.46(0%)150.97(-0.65%)150.97-150.97-0.5(-1.1)-1.2 -0.4%-0.1%0%-0.2%-0.02%0%521 Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)4-0.91.4N/A 151.26(0.19%)150.69-151.717.34   -6.5%-0
24Feb_1_2021152.63 (-0.2%)152.38 (0%)152.78 (-0.2%) 152.63 151.94(0%)151.95(0.02%)151.95-151.95-0.2(-0.4)-0.6 -0.3%-0.1%0%-0.2%0.02%-0.1%561.3 Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.4%)501.1Growing Downtrend 151.92(-0.02%)151.87-152.037.23   -5.9%-0.6
25Jan_29_2021152.9 (-0.2%)152.53 (0.2%)153.08 (0%) 152.99 152.42(0%)151.93(-0.65%)151.93-151.93-0.2(-0.6)-1 -0.4%-0%0%-0.47%0.04%-0.2%541.3 Downtrend Reversal  Range(-0.1%)50.40.2N/A 152.33(0.26%)152.05-152.5411.64   -5.9%-0.6
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
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CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
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