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     Tue. Nov. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jan. 15, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $158.8250 (0.66%) ($158.5900 - $159.1600) on Tue. Nov. 17, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Uptrend Reversal
Trend Narrative  Rebound
Average Daily Price Swing  $1.63 (1.03% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.79% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0% (StdDev 0.79%)
Daily Moving Force  0.4%
Trend   -0.08%
Latest Price  $158.8250(0.66%)
Forecasted Low Price  158.51(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  159.78(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.7%)
Hourly Trend   0.2% [$158.36(0.33), $158.22(0.82)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  7
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.3% a week (84% probability)
  BND(91%)    BNDX(75%)    LQD(75%)    VCIT(70%)    TIP(65%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least -0% in a week (67% probabilities).
  XLF(-55%)    IWN(-50%)    VYM(-48%)    SDY(-48%)    OIH(-47%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.2
 
Relative Volatility   -0.5 (options are faily valued)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.3% (StdDev 0.79%)
Hourly BBV   4.5 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $158.86(0.02%)
5 Day Moving Average  $157.78(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average  $158.17(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average  $158.45(0.24%)
To recent high  -4.4%
To recent low  2.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.03% (three month std-dev: 0.79%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20201217

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Nov_17_2020158.45 (-0.5%)158.17 (-0.3%)157.78 (0.5%) 158.22 158.36(0%)158.83(0.66%)158.59-159.160.2(0.2)4.5 0.4%0%0%-0.08% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.4%)7441.3-1.21.8Rebound 158.64(-0.12%)158.58-158.677.44   -4.4%-2.3% 
2Nov_16_2020158.47 (-0.7%)158.05 (-0.7%)157.06 (0.2%) 157.4 158.03(0%)157.79(-0.24%)157.61-158.28-0.3(-0.4)3.3 0.2%-0.1%0%-0.14% Downtrend Consolidation Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)6421.4-1.71.9Downtrend 157.41(-0.24%)157.2-157.926.31   -5.1%-1.6% 
3Nov_13_2020158.61 (-0.7%)158.12 (-0.8%)156.73 (-0.2%) 156.75 158.08(0%)158.17(-0.14%)157.91-158.5-0.2(-0.2)0.9 0.5%-0%0%-0.18% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.6%)5471.4-1.51.1Downtrend 157.62(-0.35%)157.37-158.217.37   -4.8%-1.9% 
4Nov_12_2020158.76 (-0.6%)158.07 (-0.7%)156.99 (-0.4%) 156.14 156.78(0%)158.38(1.7%)156.71-158.4-0.1(-0.2)0.6 0.3%-0.1%0%-0.16% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)4521.5-1.10.7Downtrend Pop 158.25(-0.08%)158.38-157.9516   -4.7%-2% 
5Nov_11_2020158.92 (-0.4%)158.14 (-0.4%)157.59 (-0.7%) 156.52 155.43(0%)155.74(0.33%)154.97-155.94-1.3(-1.6)-8.2 -0.4%-0.3%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.7%)4491.6-21.3Relative Oversold 156.08(0.22%)154.71-157.225.89   -6.8%-0.3
 
6Nov_10_2020159.24 (-0.2%)158.64 (-0%)158.65 (-0.3%) 157.93 155.51(0%)155.24(-0.56%)154.78-155.81-1.8(-2.1)-1.6 -1%-0.3%0%-0.02% Oversold  Lower(-1%)5431.5-2.20.7Oversold 156.28(0.67%)155.15-156.5612.72   -8.2%-0
7Nov_9_2020159.58 (-0.1%)159.19 (0.2%)159.14 (-0.3%) 159.42 157.6(0%)156.11(-2.11%)154.63-156.15-1.9(-2)-1.2 -1%-0.2%0%0.02% Oversold  Range(-0.1%)6431.4-2.4-0.4Oversold 157.11(0.64%)156.11-157.3623.23   -7.7%-0
8Nov_6_2020159.82 (-0%)159.56 (0.3%)159.63 (0.2%) 159.88 160.36(0%)159.47(-1.18%)158.94-159.92-0.3(-0.2)-0.6 -0.2%0.1%0%0.04% N/A  Higher(0.5%)7461.3-1.41.9Uptrend Reversal 159.95(0.3%)159.55-160.2212.41   -6.7%-1.6% 
9Nov_5_2020159.85 (-0.2%)159.43 (-0%)159.25 (0.3%) 159.68 161.24(0%)161.37(0.18%)160.58-161.740.8(1)0.9 0.8%0.2%0%-0.02% Confirmed Rebound  Higher(1%)6481.3-0.90.9Rebound 160.74(-0.39%)161.37-160.4618.53   -5.6%-2.8% 
10Nov_4_2020159.78 (-0.4%)158.99 (-0.5%)158.8 (0%) 158.87 159.4(0%)161.08(2.17%)160.54-162.170.8(0.9)1.1 0.5%0.1%0%-0.08% Confirmed Rebound  Higher(0.6%)5461.200.5After Bottom 160.53(-0.34%)160.41-160.6421.6   -6.1%-2.6% 
 
11Nov_3_2020159.68 (-0.5%)158.74 (-0.8%)158.73 (-0.4%) 158.41 158.12(0%)157.66(-0.56%)157.04-157.98-1.3(-1.4)-2.2 -0.3%-0.1%0%-0.12% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.1%)4331.30-1.6Downtrend 157.36(-0.19%)157.09-158.0217.72   -8.1%-0.4
12Nov_2_2020159.83 (-0.6%)158.91 (-0.8%)159.31 (-0.1%) 159.21 158.34(0%)158.55(0.62%)158.33-159.19-0.8(-0.9)-1 -0.2%-0.1%0%-0.12% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)4371.21-2.5Downtrend 158.28(-0.17%)158.07-158.7510.81   -7.6%-1% 
13Oct_30_2020159.89 (-0.7%)159.12 (-0.6%)159.49 (-0.1%) 159.65 158.71(0%)157.58(-0.98%)157.57-159.35-1.4(-1.6)-1.3 -0.5%-0.2%0%-0.12% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.2%)4401.31.1-2.2Downtrend 157.34(-0.15%)157.07-157.9813.07   -8.2%-0.4
14Oct_29_2020160.15 (-0.7%)159.5 (-0.5%)159.58 (0.3%) 160.02 160.08(0%)159.15(-0.97%)158.47-160.83-0.6(-0.7)-0.4 %-0.1%0%-0.12% Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Higher(0.4%)4471.40.9-2.4Downtrend 158.9(-0.16%)158.7-159.3411.91   -7.2%-1.4% 
15Oct_28_2020160.35 (-0.8%)159.75 (-0.6%)159.14 (0.3%) 159.61 160.6(0%)160.71(0.09%)160.2-161.460.3(0.2)3.2 0.4%-0.1%0%-0.12% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.3%)4521.51.7-2.4Downtrend 160.29(-0.26%)160.14-160.6311.76   -6.3%-2.4% 
 
16Oct_27_2020160.46 (-0.8%)159.86 (-0.5%)158.75 (0.2%) 158.76 159.96(0%)160.56(0.68%)159.9-160.70.1(0.1)1.8 0.5%-0.1%0%-0.14% Uptrend Reversal  Higher(0.4%)4561.70.3-0.6Downtrend 160.03(-0.33%)159.82-160.516.05   -6.4%-2.3% 
17Oct_26_2020160.65 (-0.8%)159.95 (-0.5%)158.49 (-0.2%) 158.35 158.62(0%)159.47(0.93%)159.01-160.02-0.5(-0.6)0 0.3%-0.1%0%-0.14% Uptrend Reversal  Range(0.2%)4461.8-0.1-0.2Growing Downtrend 158.96(-0.32%)158.56-159.677.23   -7.1%-1.6% 
18Oct_23_2020160.89 (-0.7%)160.06 (-0.3%)158.76 (-0.4%) 158.33 157.56(0%)158(0.65%)156.75-158.21-1.2(-1.3)-2.1 -0.4%-0.2%0%-0.12% Downtrend Pop  Lower(-0.6%)4452-1.10.8Downtrend 157.46(-0.34%)157.03-158.498.83   -7.9%-0.6
19Oct_22_2020161.25 (-0.6%)160.3 (-0.3%)159.44 (-0.6%) 159.06 158.09(0%)156.98(-1.1%)156.97-158.63-1.8(-1.9)-4.1 -0.6%-0.2%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend  Range(-0.3%)5292-1.30.6Oversold 158.11(0.72%)156.55-158.512.16   -8.5%-0
20Oct_21_2020161.66 (-0.5%)160.66 (-0.2%)160.42 (-0.4%) 160.1 159.09(0%)158.73(-0.35%)158.37-159.37-1.3(-1.4)-2.4 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.06% Growing Downtrend  Lower(-0.4%)5311.9-10.1Downtrend 158.52(-0.13%)158.22-159.2410.45   -7.5%-0
 
21Oct_20_2020161.95 (-0.4%)160.75 (-0.2%)161.1 (-0.3%) 160.94 160.02(0%)159.28(-0.95%)158.95-160.01-1.3(-1.3)-2.7 -0.5%-0.1%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.1%)5331.8-10.2Downtrend 159.15(-0.08%)158.89-159.7711.19   -7.2%-0
22Oct_19_2020162.2 (-0.3%)160.88 (-0.2%)161.59 (0%) 161.65 161.12(0%)160.8(-0.4%)160.05-160.98-0.7(-0.7)-0.6 -0.3%0%0%-0.06% N/A  Range(-0.1%)5321.8-0.61.2Rebound 161.49(0.43%)160.42-161.959.29   -6.3%-1% 
23Oct_16_2020162.38 (-0.3%)160.77 (-0.5%)161.55 (0.2%) 161.89 161.86(0%)161.44(-0.27%)161.1-162.32-0.4(-0.5)-0.6 %-0.1%0%-0.1% Growing Downtrend Downtrend Pop Range(0%)5341.8-1.10.9Downtrend 161.08(-0.22%)160.87-161.588.86   -5.9%-1.4% 
24Oct_15_2020162.49 (-0.4%)160.87 (-0.7%)161.28 (0.2%) 161.62 162.19(0%)161.87(-0.14%)161.64-163.19-0.2(-0.3)2.3 0.2%-0.1%0%-0.14% Uptrend Reversal Downtrend Pop Range(0.2%)5341.8-1.10.7Downtrend Consolidation 161.58(-0.18%)162.06-161.429.46   -5.7%-1.6% 
25Oct_14_2020162.6 (-0.4%)160.98 (-0.9%)160.93 (0.4%) 161.04 161.93(0%)162.11(0.22%)161.97-162.75-0.3(-0.3)1.7 0.4%-0%0%-0.18% Uptrend Reversal Downtrend Pop Higher(0.4%)4341.8-1.20.9Downtrend Consolidation 161.75(-0.22%)162.4-161.536.95   -5.5%-1.8% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRSIScaleRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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