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     Fri. Jul. 31, 2020



Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Oct. 28, 2020)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $171.0050 (-0.07%) ($169.9400 - $171.4550) on Fri. Jul. 31, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0.6% a week (75% probability)
  BND(78%)    BNDX(69%)    TIP(57%)    VIXM(42%)    SHY(41%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 0.2% in a week (68% probabilities).
  XLF(-54%)    JETS(-54%)    XLI(-53%)    SDY(-52%)    IWN(-52%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.2
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   1.5
Hourly Trend   0.3% [$170.96(0.52), $170.45(0.37)]
Last Hour Trend   0.22% [$171.13, $170.76]


TLT Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  67%
Bullish Price Move  0.9%
Bearish Probability  33%
Bearish Price Move  -0.9%
Recommended Position Size  38%
Latest Price  $171.0050
Next Day Open Price  $171.76(0.44%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $171.57(0.33%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $172.92(1.12%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $170.35 - $172.09
Inflection Point  Yes
Support Level  $167.8
5 Day Moving Average  $170.29(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average  $169.39(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average  $167.8(1.91%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  9.5%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.86%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200831

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Jul_31_2020-0.1%-9.5% 0.9%,0.7(0)1%,0.8(0)0.2%,0.10.60.22%0.9%1.51.50.21.50.7%1.78.89   171.01(-0.07%)169.94-171.46Uptrend 171.57(0.33%)170.36-172.173
2Jul_30_20200%-9.6% 0.9%,0.7(0)1%,0.8(0.1)0.2%,0.10.60.01%0.9%1.71.80.91.50.73%1.79.22   171.13(0.69%)170.75-171.26Uptrend 171.61(0.28%)170.41-172.1276
3Jul_29_2020-0.2%-8.9% 0.9%,0.7(-0)0.9%,0.7(0)0.3%,0.20.30.02%0.9%1.41-0.21.50.71%1.96.73   169.96(-0.19%)168.98-170.39Uptrend 170.47(0.3%)169.36-170.9465
4Jul_28_20200%-9.1% 0.9%,0.7(0)0.9%,0.7(0.1)0.4%,0.300.02%0.9%1.710.91.50.81%1.88.4   170.28(0.7%)169.43-170.34Uptrend 170.76(0.28%)169.58-171.2576
5Jul_27_2020-0.4%-8.3% 0.9%,0.7(-0)0.8%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,0.20.6-0.2%0.9%1.30.3-0.11.40.79%1.86.15   169.09(-0.37%)168.99-170.3Uptrend 169.5(0.24%)168.59-169.8969
 
6Jul_24_2020-0.6%-8.7% 0.9%,0.8(0)0.9%,0.8(0)0.4%,0.31.5-0.02%0.8%1.91.70.41.30.84%1.57.52   169.73(-0.01%)168.87-169.92Overbought 168.36(-0.81%)166.85-170.5978
7Jul_23_2020-0.6%-8.7% 0.8%,0.8(0)0.9%,0.9(-0)0.3%,0.31.20.12%0.8%2.22.801.20.69%1.410.47   169.74(1.16%)168.48-169.88Overbought 168.21(-0.9%)166.66-170.5573
8Jul_22_2020-1.7%-7.5% 0.8%,0.8(0)1%,1(0)0.2%,0.20.6-0.1%0.9%1.41.4-1.31.10.75%1.76.59   167.8(0.3%)167.69-168.46Uptrend 168.19(0.23%)167.35-168.5470
9Jul_21_2020-2.2%-7.2% 0.8%,0.8(-0)0.9%,0.8(-0)0%,00.30%0.9%1.1-0.2-1.21.20.67%1.78.45   167.29(0.1%)167.08-167.72Uptrend 167.67(0.23%)166.88-168.0165
10Jul_20_2020-2.3%-7.1% 0.8%,0.7(0)1%,0.9(0.1)0%,00.30.01%0.9%1.20.1-1.11.20.77%2.16.91   167.13(0.22%)166.8-167.62Growing Uptrend 167.63(0.3%)166.67-167.8660
 
11Jul_17_2020-2.6%-6.8% 0.8%,0.7(0)0.8%,0.8(0)0.1%,00.3-0.05%0.8%1.10.1-0.71.20.64%27.95   166.77(-0.21%)166.47-167.4Uptrend 167.09(0.19%)166.36-167.4156
12Jul_16_2020-2.3%-7.1% 0.8%,0.7(0)0.8%,0.7(-0)-0%,-0-0-0.01%0.7%1.40.3-0.41.20.58%1.89.11   167.12(0.49%)167.04-167.77Uptrend 167.42(0.18%)166.61-167.7764
13Jul_15_2020-2.8%-6.5% 0.8%,0.7(0)0.9%,0.7(-0)0.2%,0.20.3-0.04%0.7%1.1-0.3-0.91.20.65%1.87.84   166.31(-0.48%)165.83-166.95Uptrend 166.66(0.21%)165.88-166.9863
14Jul_14_2020-2.3%-7.1% 0.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.9%,0.7(-0)0.2%,0.20.3-0.12%0.8%1.60.8-0.11.20.62%1.311.32   167.12(0.13%)166.98-168.14Uptrend 167.42(0.18%)166.44-167.8572
15Jul_13_2020-2.5%-6.9% 0.9%,0.7(-0)0.9%,0.8(0.1)0.5%,0.40.90.08%0.8%1.71.20.61.20.84%18.03   166.89(0.35%)165.23-166.96Uptrend 167.24(0.21%)166.26-167.6765
 
16Jul_10_2020-2.8%-6.5% 0.9%,0.9(-0.1)0.8%,0.8(0.1)0.3%,0.32.1-0.11%0.8%1.60.7-0.11.10.69%1.38.48   166.32(-0.5%)166.18-168.21Uptrend 166.67(0.21%)165.78-167.0464
17Jul_9_2020-2.3%-7.1% 1%,1(0.1)0.7%,0.7(0.1)0.5%,0.51.80.11%0.7%2.42.10.710.86%113.37   167.16(1.58%)164.6-167.45Uptrend 167.39(0.14%)166.36-167.8368
18Jul_8_2020-3.8%-5.4% 0.9%,1(0.1)0.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.1%,0.11.5-0.01%0.6%1.11.9-0.20.90.72%1.17.25   164.56(-0.39%)163.83-164.92Uptrend 164.77(0.13%)164.23-16567
19Jul_7_2020-3.5%-5.8% 0.8%,0.8(0.2)0.7%,0.6(0)0.1%,0.10.30.18%0.6%1.520.310.8%113.08   165.2(1.42%)163.2-165.34Uptrend 165.4(0.12%)164.69-165.7172
20Jul_6_2020-4.8%-4.3% 0.7%,0.5(0.1)0.6%,0.5(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.2-0.60.11%0.7%0.3-0.6-0.71.30.72%1.17.97   162.88(-0.42%)161.75-163.02Uptrend Consolidation 162.73(-0.09%)162.57-163.2252
 
21Jul_2_2020-4.4%-4.8% 0.6%,0.4(0.1)0.8%,0.5(0)0%,0-0.60.06%0.9%0.600.21.60.7%1.27.6   163.58(0.11%)162.24-163.73Uptrend 164.02(0.27%)163.26-164.3555
22Jul_1_2020-4.5%-4.7% 0.4%,0.3(0.1)0.8%,0.5(0)0.1%,0-0.6-0.03%1%0.7-10.41.60.78%0.913.18   163.4(-0.32%)162.15-163.56Uptrend 163.74(0.21%)163.01-164.0447
23Jun_30_2020-4.2%-5% 0.3%,0.2(0.1)0.7%,0.5(0.1)0.3%,0.200.04%0.9%10.30.81.60.76%0.414.78   163.93(-0.47%)163.48-165.29Uptrend 164.23(0.18%)163.42-164.5760
24Jun_29_2020-3.8%-5.5% 0.2%,0.1(0.1)0.6%,0.4(-0.1)0.3%,0.20.90.02%0.8%1.41.31.41.50.86%0.47.25   164.7(-0.31%)164.38-165.27Uptrend Consolidation 163.74(-0.58%)163.32-165.0368
25Jun_26_2020-3.5%-5.8% 0%,0(0.1)0.8%,0.6(-0.1)0.4%,0.21.50.03%0.7%1.71.721.40.83%0.112.11   165.21(1.05%)164.18-165.32N/A 164.65(-0.34%)162.82-166.1373
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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