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     Tue. Jul. 28, 2020

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Mar. 3, 2021)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)

TLT latest price $170.2750 (0.7%) ($169.4300 - $170.3400) on Tue. Jul. 28, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Trend Pattern  Growing Uptrend
Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Average Daily Price Swing  $2.11 (1.27% one month average)
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.87% (three month average)
Weekly Trend Force  0.2% (StdDev 0.87%)
Daily Moving Force  0.2%
Correction Force  Weak (0%)
Trend   0.18%
Trend Strength  0.9%
RSI   76
Momentum  1.5
Latest Price  $170.2750(0.7%)
Forecasted Low Price  169.93(-0.2%)
Forecasted High Price  171.3(0.6%)
Direction of Next Movement  Higher(0.5%)
% Change Needed to Confirm Correction  0.8% (168.94)
% Change Needed for Trend Reversal  1.6%
Hourly Trend   0.2% [$169.72(0.26), $169.62(0.54)]
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Complacency  9
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  TLT advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  TLT advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (82% probability)
  BND(89%)    LQD(75%)    BNDX(71%)    VCIT(67%)    TIP(66%)  
Factors Impacting TLT price  TLT will advance at least 0.1% in a week (65% probabilities).
  XLF(-51%)    VYM(-42%)    SDY(-42%)    OIH(-42%)    IWN(-42%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   0.9
 
Relative Volatility   0.5 (options are expensive)
 
Market Trend Strength  0.3% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV   2.1 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


Next Day Open Price  $170.34(0.04%)
Support Level  $166.74
5 Day Moving Average  $169.33(0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average  $168.2(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average  $166.74(2.12%)
To recent high  0%
To recent low  9.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.27% (three month std-dev: 0.87%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. TLT price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200828

iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
1Jul_28_2020166.74 (0.2%)168.2 (0.2%)169.33 (0.4%) 169.62 169.72(0%)170.28(0.7%)169.43-170.341.7(1.7)2.1 0.2%0.2%0%0.18%0.9%761.5 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)90.91.8Uptrend 170.76(0.28%)169.63-171.258.4   0%-9.1% 
2Jul_27_2020166.45 (0.2%)167.87 (0.2%)168.73 (0.2%) 169.08 169.46(0%)169.09(-0.37%)168.99-170.31.6(1.3)0.6 0.1%0.1%0%0.16%0.9%691.4 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)9-0.11.8After Top 169.07(-0.01%)167.59-170.296.15   -0.4%-8.3% 
3Jul_24_2020166.24 (0.2%)167.64 (0.2%)168.34 (0.4%) 168.58 169.51(0%)169.73(-0.01%)168.87-169.921.6(1.9)2.8 0.4%0.2%0%0.18%0.8%781.3 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)90.41.5Overbought 168.58(-0.68%)167.23-170.597.52   -0.6%-8.7% 
4Jul_23_2020165.92 (0.2%)167.29 (0.2%)167.74 (0.3%) 167.98 168.7(0%)169.74(1.16%)168.48-169.881.4(2.2)4.2 0.5%0.2%0%0.18%0.8%731.2 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)901.4Overbought 168.33(-0.83%)166.84-170.5510.47   -0.6%-8.7% 
5Jul_22_2020165.58 (0.2%)167 (0.2%)167.22 (0.2%) 167.33 167.64(0%)167.8(0.3%)167.69-168.461.2(1.4)1.7 0.2%0.2%0%0.18%0.9%701.1 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)9-1.31.7Uptrend 168.2(0.24%)167.43-168.546.59   -1.7%-7.5% 
 
6Jul_21_2020165.27 (0.2%)166.69 (0.2%)166.92 (0%) 167.16 167.26(0%)167.29(0.1%)167.08-167.721.2(1.1)-0.4 0.1%0.1%0%0.18%0.9%651.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)9-1.21.7Uptrend 167.69(0.24%)166.93-168.018.45   -2.2%-7.2% 
7Jul_20_2020165.02 (0.2%)166.49 (0.2%)166.89 (0%) 166.91 167.01(0%)167.13(0.22%)166.8-167.621.2(1.2)0.2 %0.2%0%0.18%0.9%601.2 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.2%)9-1.12.1Growing Uptrend 167.65(0.31%)166.76-167.866.91   -2.3%-7.1% 
8Jul_17_2020164.79 (0.2%)166.09 (0.2%)166.84 (0.1%) 166.95 167.06(0%)166.77(-0.21%)166.47-167.41.3(1.1)0.2 0.1%0.2%0%0.16%0.8%561.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)8-0.72Uptrend 167.12(0.21%)166.45-167.417.95   -2.6%-6.8% 
9Jul_16_2020164.56 (0.2%)165.79 (0.2%)166.75 (-0%) 166.86 166.8(0%)167.12(0.49%)167.04-167.771.4(1.4)0.3 %0.2%0%0.16%0.7%641.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)7-0.41.8Uptrend 167.44(0.19%)166.66-167.779.11   -2.3%-7.1% 
10Jul_15_2020164.24 (0.2%)165.42 (0.2%)166.76 (0.2%) 166.73 166.84(0%)166.31(-0.48%)165.83-166.951.6(1.1)-0.5 %0.2%0%0.16%0.7%631.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-0.91.8After Top 166.41(0.06%)165.3-167.327.84   -2.8%-6.5% 
 
11Jul_14_2020163.93 (0.2%)165.19 (0.2%)166.41 (0.2%) 166.79 166.92(0%)167.12(0.13%)166.98-168.141.7(1.6)1.4 0.3%0.2%0%0.18%0.8%721.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)7-0.11.3The Top 166.95(-0.1%)165.4-168.2111.32   -2.3%-7.1% 
12Jul_13_2020163.69 (0.2%)164.93 (0.2%)166.02 (0.5%) 166.08 166.62(0%)166.89(0.35%)165.23-166.961.7(1.7)2.8 0.2%0.1%0%0.18%0.8%651.2 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.3%)70.61Uptrend 167.26(0.22%)166.31-167.678.03   -2.5%-6.9% 
13Jul_10_2020163.45 (0.2%)164.73 (0.2%)165.22 (0.3%) 165.52 166.71(0%)166.32(-0.5%)166.18-168.211.5(1.6)0.9 0.6%0.1%0%0.18%0.8%641.1 Uptrend Dip  Higher(1%)7-0.11.3Uptrend 166.67(0.21%)165.78-167.048.48   -2.8%-6.5% 
14Jul_9_2020163.3 (0.2%)164.44 (0.2%)164.67 (0.5%) 164.42 165.47(0%)167.16(1.58%)164.6-167.451.3(2.4)2.6 0.6%0.2%0%0.16%0.7%681 Breakout  Higher(0.8%)70.71Uptrend 167.41(0.15%)166.45-167.8313.37   -2.3%-7.1% 
15Jul_8_2020162.98 (0.2%)164.01 (0.2%)163.92 (0.1%) 163.64 164.37(0%)164.56(-0.39%)163.83-164.920.9(1.1)1.6 0.4%0.2%0%0.14%0.6%670.9 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.8%)6-0.21.1Uptrend 164.79(0.14%)164.3-1657.25   -3.8%-5.4% 
 
16Jul_7_2020162.69 (0.2%)163.7 (0.2%)163.8 (0.1%) 163.29 163.39(0%)165.2(1.42%)163.2-165.340.8(1.5)2 0.2%0.2%0%0.14%0.6%721 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)60.31Uptrend 165.43(0.14%)164.77-165.7113.08   -3.5%-5.8% 
17Jul_6_2020162.27 (0.2%)163.42 (0.2%)163.7 (-0.3%) 163.27 162.92(0%)162.88(-0.42%)161.75-163.020.7(0.3)-1.2 -0.2%0.1%0%0.12%0.7%521.3 Downtrend Reversal  Range(0.1%)6-0.71.1Uptrend 163.21(0.2%)162.78-163.397.97   -4.8%-4.3% 
18Jul_2_2020161.96 (0.2%)163.38 (0.2%)164.16 (0%) 163.83 163.2(0%)163.58(0.11%)162.24-163.731(0.6)0 -0.2%0.1%0%0.14%0.9%551.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0.1%)70.21.2Uptrend 164.02(0.27%)163.26-164.357.6   -4.4%-4.8% 
19Jul_1_2020161.66 (0%)163.26 (0.2%)164.15 (0.1%) 164.26 163.63(0%)163.4(-0.32%)162.15-163.561.1(0.7)-1.1 -0.3%0.1%0%0.12%1%471.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(-0%)70.40.9Uptrend 163.76(0.22%)163.08-164.0413.18   -4.5%-4.7% 
20Jun_30_2020161.47 (0%)163 (0.2%)164.07 (0.3%) 164.44 164.47(0%)163.93(-0.47%)163.48-165.291.2(1)0.6 %0.2%0%0.12%0.9%601.6 Uptrend Consolidation  Range(0.4%)70.80.4Uptrend 164.24(0.19%)163.48-164.5714.78   -4.2%-5% 
 
21Jun_29_2020161.34 (0%)162.62 (0.2%)163.55 (0.3%) 164.09 164.9(0%)164.7(-0.31%)164.38-165.271.1(1.4)3 0.3%0.1%0%0.1%0.8%681.5 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.6%)61.40.4Uptrend 164.86(0.1%)164.07-165.27.25   -3.8%-5.5% 
22Jun_26_2020161.19 (0%)162.37 (0.2%)163.09 (0.4%) 163.28 164.42(0%)165.21(1.05%)164.18-165.321(1.7)2.1 0.5%0.2%0%0.12%0.7%731.4 Growing Uptrend  Higher(0.7%)620.1N/A 164.73(-0.29%)163.01-166.1312.11   -3.5%-5.8% 
23Jun_25_2020161.07 (-0%)162.37 (0.2%)162.52 (0.2%) 162.67 163.29(0%)163.49(0.27%)163.4-164.350.7(1.1)0.6 0.5%0%0%0.14%0.6%721.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.5%)60.60.2N/A 163.28(-0.13%)161.96-164.3410.95   -4.5%-4.7% 
24Jun_24_2020161 (-0%)162.05 (0.2%)162.28 (0.3%) 162.2 162.13(0%)163.05(1.08%)161.52-163.090.5(0.9)2 0.1%0.1%0%0.18%0.7%661.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.2%)610N/A 163.08(0.02%)161.87-164.0611.43   -4.7%-4.4% 
25Jun_23_2020160.98 (-0%)161.82 (0.2%)161.77 (0.2%) 162.03 162.05(0%)161.31(-0.67%)161.12-162.060.3(0.1)-0.6 %0.1%0%0.16%0.5%551.3 Growing Uptrend  Range(0.4%)7-0.40.1Uptrend Reversal 162.02(0.44%)161.42-162.439.09   -5.7%-3.3% 
iDateema20(Trend)ema10(Trend) ema5(Trend) Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
CloseActualPriceRangeBBVHourly
BBV
Daily
Moving
Force
Weekly
Trend
Force
Reversal
Force
TrendTrend
Strength
RSIMomentumTrend
Pattern
Next
Direction
CRVVIXCDTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeVolume
millions
To High-Low
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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