Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $106.7900 (0.08%) ($106.4400 - $107.2200) on Fri. Feb. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $106.7900(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(53%)    BNDX(46%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    XLE(-27%)    OIH(-26%)    EWP(-26%)    SPY(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.63(-0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.55(-0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $106.54(0.23%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20140307

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2014	105.05	106.54	107.55	107.63			106.79(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-8	51	7.09	43%	0.02	85.6	0.72%	0	0.2	59	0
2	Feb_6_2014	105.03	106.38	107.63	107.92			106.7(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	17	-10000	-5	84	5.71	43%	0.02	85.2	0.72%	0	0.2	61	0
3	Feb_5_2014	105.01	106.19	107.66	108.1			107.16(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	25	-10000	-4	111	10.31	41%	0.04	82	0.72%	0	0.5	67	0
4	Feb_4_2014	104.97	105.98	107.5	108.24			108.16(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	6	129	9.57	42%	0.05	81.4	0.73%	0	1.2	72	0
5	Feb_3_2014	104.92	105.71	107.25	108			109.32(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	13	132	20.78	45%	0.06	78.1	0.71%	0	1.9	76	0

6	Jan_31_2014	104.86	105.35	106.86	107.49			108.28(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	4	113	14.69	39%	0.05	73.6	0.73%	0	1.6	75	0
7	Jan_30_2014	104.81	105.04	106.54	107.33			107.56(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	4	124	5.96	39%	0.05	71.6	0.72%	0	1.4	78	0
8	Jan_29_2014	104.76	104.75	106.22	107.17			107.87(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	13	136	11.72	39%	0.05	67.3	0.72%	0	1.7	82	0
9	Jan_28_2014	104.71	104.48	105.88	106.66			106.99(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	-10000	8	126	5.67	36%	0.04	56.9	0.72%	0	1.4	77	0
10	Jan_27_2014	104.67	104.22	105.67	106.37			106.73(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	7	133	9.22	36%	0.04	52.5	0.72%	0	1.5	77	0

11	Jan_24_2014	104.63	103.98	105.43	106.12			107.48(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	46	-10000	13	145	11.51	36%	0.05	47.2	0.71%	0	2.1	85	0
12	Jan_23_2014	104.58	103.73	105	105.63			106.79(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	-10000	13	134	12.96	36%	0.03	42.8	0.71%	0	2	83	0
13	Jan_22_2014	104.55	103.56	104.58	105.14			105.3(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	5	119	4.65	35%	0.01	41.1	0.69%	0	1.3	81	0
14	Jan_21_2014	104.54	103.49	104.34	104.97			105.56(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	3	114	6.44	35%	0	42.7	0.7%	0	1.6	74	0
15	Jan_17_2014	104.54	103.34	104.05	104.85			105.48(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	-10000	6	119	7.59	38%	-0.01	44.6	0.7%	0	1.8	77	0

16	Jan_16_2014	104.55	103.19	103.72	104.63			105.04(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	10	112	7.14	42%	0	43.1	0.71%	0	1.8	71	0
17	Jan_15_2014	104.55	103.1	103.43	104.26			104.34(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-10000	9	91	7.51	42%	-0.02	33.7	0.72%	0	1.3	60	0
18	Jan_14_2014	104.57	103.01	103.18	103.91			104.45(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	9	64	10.34	40%	0	23.9	0.72%	0	1.6	53	0
19	Jan_13_2014	104.57	102.94	102.98	103.59			104.93(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	13	39	9.67	40%	0	17.1	0.72%	0	2.4	51	0
20	Jan_10_2014	104.57	102.82	102.65	103.13			104.41(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	12	-10000	12	11	13.2	40%	0.02	2.9	0.72%	0	2.3	59	0

21	Jan_9_2014	104.55	102.74	102.41	102.68			103.18(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	6	-16	6.99	37%	0.01	-14	0.7%	0	0.7	52	0
22	Jan_8_2014	104.54	102.77	102.36	102.48			102.58(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	4	-31	8.51	37%	-0.01	-22.8	0.71%	0	-0.3	45	0
23	Jan_7_2014	104.55	102.77	102.45	102.33			102.86(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	2	-32	4.43	37%	0	-29	0.71%	0	0.1	50	0
24	Jan_6_2014	104.55	102.77	102.56	102.26			102.6(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	5	-28	7.8	37%	0	-41.3	0.71%	0	-0.3	46	0
25	Jan_3_2014	104.55	102.8	102.57	102.1			102.17(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	-10000	0	-39	4.08	37%		-63.5	0.7%	0	-1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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