Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 13, 2013

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $103.2100 (0.49%) ($102.7900 - $103.3000) on Fri. Dec. 13, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $103.2100(0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(53%)    BNDX(46%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-26%)    SPY(-25%)    EWP(-25%)    EWI(-25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $103.63
5 Day Moving Average   $103.22(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.12(0.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.63(-0.41%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2013	105.07	103.63	103.12	103.22			103.21(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	2	-41	6.47	42%	-0.05	-16.5	0.71%	0	-0.5	45	0
2	Dec_12_2013	105.12	103.69	103.23	103.16			102.71(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-7	-10000	2	-34	6.21	42%	-0.05	-25	0.71%	0	-1.2	50	0
3	Dec_11_2013	105.17	103.75	103.39	103.1			103.1(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-10000	2	-26	8.19	42%	-0.06	-35.1	0.7%	0	-0.8	54	0
4	Dec_10_2013	105.23	103.78	103.53	103.03			103.9(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-7	-10000	1	-29	7.04	44%	-0.05	-47.4	0.71%	0	0.2	45	0
5	Dec_9_2013	105.28	103.74	103.56	102.99			103.16(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-1	-41	5.68	42%	-0.06	-66.2	0.71%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Dec_6_2013	105.34	103.76	103.63	103.02			102.92(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-8	-49	7.35	42%	-0.05	-81.8	0.71%	0	-1.1	40	0
7	Dec_5_2013	105.39	103.9	103.65	103.33			102.43(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-11	-48	7.45	39%	-0.06	-72.4	0.71%	0	-1.6	39	0
8	Dec_4_2013	105.45	104.04	103.71	103.73			102.72(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-17	-10000	-10	-38	8.5	39%	-0.06	-75	0.73%	0	-1.5	45	0
9	Dec_3_2013	105.51	104.15	103.9	104.1			103.71(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-3	-12	5.08	37%	-0.05	-82.5	0.72%	0	-0.5	53	0
10	Dec_2_2013	105.56	104.28	104.05	104.2			103.33(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-3	9	7.53	37%	-0.04	-78.9	0.74%	0	-1	54	0

11	Nov_29_2013	105.6	104.41	104.05	104.32			104.45(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	8	29	5.08	40%	-0.05	-81.3	0.73%	0	0	57	0
12	Nov_27_2013	105.65	104.56	104.19	104.02			104.42(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	9	6	6.06	43%	-0.03	-68.5	0.74%	0	-0.1	41	0
13	Nov_26_2013	105.68	104.69	104.14	103.69			104.6(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-5	-10000	0	-20	6.66	43%	-0.02	-70.1	0.76%	0	-0.1	47	0
14	Nov_25_2013	105.7	104.85	104.03	103.68			104.21(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-6	-33	3.76	43%	-0.02	-65.2	0.76%	0	-0.4	46	0
15	Nov_22_2013	105.72	105.02	103.92	103.91			103.91(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-4	-45	7.95	49%	-0.02	-54.2	0.77%	0	-0.6	39	0

16	Nov_21_2013	105.74	105.23	103.88	104.08			102.95(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-8	-59	8.9	44%	-0.07	-47.4	0.77%	0	-1.3	35	0
17	Nov_20_2013	105.81	105.48	104.17	104.39			102.78(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-5	-57	14.19	44%	-0.08	-40.5	0.78%	0	-1.5	29	0
18	Nov_19_2013	105.89	105.76	104.4	104.61			104.56(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	5	-62	7.25	48%	-0.06	-33.1	0.76%	0	-0.7	35	0
19	Nov_18_2013	105.95	105.92	104.44	104.4			105.36(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	12	-90	5.45	50%	-0.05	-28.7	0.76%	0	-0.3	34	0
20	Nov_15_2013	106	105.99	104.51	103.93			104.73(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	7	-124	6.34	47%	-0.05	-31.1	0.76%	0	-0.7	32	0

21	Nov_14_2013	106.05	106.11	104.63	103.67			104.52(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-44	-10000	-7	-153	8.9	47%	-0.04	-32.1	0.78%	0	-0.9	29	0
22	Nov_13_2013	106.09	106.23	104.92	103.95			103.88(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-6	-147	5.78	44%	-0.04	-24.7	0.77%	0	-1.4	28	0
23	Nov_12_2013	106.13	106.34	105.26	104.19			103.5(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-8	-144	4.84	44%	-0.06	-20.1	0.79%	0	-1.7	24	0
24	Nov_11_2013	106.19	106.42	105.71	104.5			103.02(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-10000	-16	-136	4.93	44%	-0.05	-20.4	0.79%	0	-2.2	25	0
25	Nov_8_2013	106.24	106.53	106.21	105.15			103.41(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-13	-104	16.89	44%		-15.4	0.79%	0	-2.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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