Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 20, 2013

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 31, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $102.7800 (-1.7%) ($102.6500 - $104.8400) on Wed. Nov. 20, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.78% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $102.7800(-1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(53%)    BNDX(46%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(26%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.39% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-28%)    OIH(-26%)    SPY(-25%)    EWP(-25%)    EWI(-25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.39% (StdDev 0.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $105.48
5 Day Moving Average   $104.39(-1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $104.17(-1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.48(-2.56%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 0.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2013	105.81	105.48	104.17	104.39			102.78(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-10000	-5	-57	14.19	44%	-0.08	-40.5	0.78%	0	-1.5	29	0
2	Nov_19_2013	105.89	105.76	104.4	104.61			104.56(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-12	-10000	5	-62	7.25	48%	-0.06	-33.1	0.76%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Nov_18_2013	105.95	105.92	104.44	104.4			105.36(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	12	-90	5.45	50%	-0.05	-28.7	0.76%	0	-0.3	34	0
4	Nov_15_2013	106	105.99	104.51	103.93			104.73(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-26	-10000	7	-124	6.34	47%	-0.05	-31.1	0.76%	0	-0.7	32	0
5	Nov_14_2013	106.05	106.11	104.63	103.67			104.52(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-44	-10000	-7	-153	8.9	47%	-0.04	-32.1	0.78%	0	-0.9	29	0

6	Nov_13_2013	106.09	106.23	104.92	103.95			103.88(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-6	-147	5.78	44%	-0.04	-24.7	0.77%	0	-1.4	28	0
7	Nov_12_2013	106.13	106.34	105.26	104.19			103.5(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-8	-144	4.84	44%	-0.06	-20.1	0.79%	0	-1.7	24	0
8	Nov_11_2013	106.19	106.42	105.71	104.5			103.02(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-10000	-16	-136	4.93	44%	-0.05	-20.4	0.79%	0	-2.2	25	0
9	Nov_8_2013	106.24	106.53	106.21	105.15			103.41(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-13	-104	16.89	44%	-0.07	-15.4	0.79%	0	-2.2	36	0
10	Nov_7_2013	106.31	106.66	106.72	105.71			105.96(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-8	-79	7.89	49%	-0.06	-5.2	0.74%	0	-0.6	45	0

11	Nov_6_2013	106.37	106.64	106.91	106.04			105.07(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-10000	-12	-62	5.64	47%	-0.08	0.9	0.73%	0	-1.3	41	0
12	Nov_5_2013	106.45	106.67	107.24	106.51			105.02(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-18	-10000	-15	-26	8.75	47%	-0.08	9.7	0.74%	0	-1.4	49	0
13	Nov_4_2013	106.54	106.67	107.55	107.12			106.29(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-8	25	4.73	50%	-0.07	26.6	0.73%	0	-0.4	64	0
14	Nov_1_2013	106.61	106.74	107.62	107.44			106.19(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-10000	-11	52	11.35	47%	-0.07	32.4	0.74%	0	-0.5	64	0
15	Oct_31_2013	106.69	106.72	107.73	107.86			107.64(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-1	83	11.45	50%	-0.05	39.3	0.77%	0	0.8	65	0

16	Oct_30_2013	106.74	106.63	107.65	107.91			107.41(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-4	95	10.2	50%	-0.07	39.6	0.77%	0	0.7	64	0
17	Oct_29_2013	106.81	106.56	107.52	108.09			108.06(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	1	110	5.27	50%	-0.04	40.9	0.77%	0	1.3	70	0
18	Oct_28_2013	106.85	106.44	107.19	108.06			107.92(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	6	103	6.47	50%	-0.06	38.5	0.77%	0	1.3	60	0
19	Oct_25_2013	106.91	106.35	106.87	107.82			108.29(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	6	85	4.43	50%	-0.07	37	0.77%	0	1.8	63	0
20	Oct_24_2013	106.98	106.25	106.58	107.57			107.89(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	5	74	7.63	47%	-0.07	41.1	0.77%	0	1.7	64	0

21	Oct_23_2013	107.05	106.16	106.34	107.35			108.31(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	12	66	9.17	47%	-0.05	46.5	0.79%	0	2.4	66	0
22	Oct_22_2013	107.1	106.08	106.02	106.86			107.89(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	16	44	9.71	47%	-0.07	48.6	0.79%	0	2.3	62	0
23	Oct_21_2013	107.17	106.02	105.83	106.19			106.7(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	10	19	6.16	44%	-0.07	49.2	0.77%	0	1	57	0
24	Oct_18_2013	107.25	105.96	105.76	105.77			107.04(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	6	-10000	8	-1	9.49	46%	-0.07	50.7	0.8%	0	1.5	53	0
25	Oct_17_2013	107.33	105.86	105.61	105.45			106.81(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	-0	-10000	6	-19	11.31	46%		45.7	0.81%	0	1.3	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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