Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $113.8400 (-2.53%) ($113.8200 - $116.2700) on Tue. May. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $113.8400(-2.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(26%)    IGOV(20%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-27%)    OIH(-25%)    SPY(-24%)    EWP(-24%)    EWI(-24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $118.71
5 Day Moving Average   $116.24(-2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $116.72(-2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.71(-4.1%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.23% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2013	118.69	118.71	116.72	116.24			113.84(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-12	-97	13.57	42%	-0.03	-61.4	0.86%	0	-1.8	28	0
2	May_24_2013	118.73	119.17	117.15	116.86			116.8(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-1	-93	5.36	49%	-0.01	-56.6	0.82%	0	-0.9	33	0
3	May_23_2013	118.74	119.49	117.33	116.91			116.64(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-10000	-8	-107	9.21	49%	-0.03	-56	0.83%	0	-1.1	31	0
4	May_22_2013	118.77	119.78	117.65	117.29			116.09(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-10000	-5	-115	18.36	49%	-0.03	-54.4	0.83%	0	-1.4	21	0
5	May_21_2013	118.8	120.12	118.07	117.54			117.84(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	5	-128	7.78	52%	-0.03	-54.4	0.81%	0	-0.9	23	0

6	May_20_2013	118.84	120.35	118.29	117.29			116.92(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-10000	-4	-158	5.84	52%	-0.05	-57.4	0.81%	0	-1.4	25	0
7	May_17_2013	118.9	120.66	118.65	117.47			117.06(-1.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-48	-10000	-7	-171	7.44	52%	-0.05	-58.5	0.8%	0	-1.5	26	0
8	May_16_2013	118.96	120.96	119.04	117.81			118.56(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-49	-10000	-6	-178	8.46	55%	-0.03	-56.5	0.79%	0	-1.1	28	0
9	May_15_2013	119	121.19	119.53	118.11			117.34(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-51	-10000	-13	-165	14.61	53%	-0.01	-48.3	0.79%	0	-1.8	30	0
10	May_14_2013	119.01	121.48	120.18	118.71			116.56(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-47	-10000	-15	-143	9.24	55%	-0.05	-39.3	0.78%	0	-2.5	24	0

11	May_13_2013	119.07	121.78	120.84	119.43			117.84(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-10000	-12	-116	8.05	55%	-0.04	-34.8	0.78%	0	-2.4	29	0
12	May_10_2013	119.12	122.05	121.37	119.99			118.75(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-10000	-9	-98	11.69	55%	-0.02	-26.5	0.77%	0	-2.4	30	0
13	May_9_2013	119.14	122.23	121.85	120.42			120.04(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-17	-86	7.53	58%	-0.01	-23.8	0.76%	0	-1.8	35	0
14	May_8_2013	119.15	122.23	122.09	121.18			120.35(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-16	-63	5.73	58%	0	-7.8	0.77%	0	-1.5	35	0
15	May_7_2013	119.15	122.26	122.35	121.92			120.16(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-12	-37	5.05	58%	-0.02	12.4	0.77%	0	-1.8	36	0

16	May_6_2013	119.17	122.35	122.61	122.49			120.63(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-11	-10000	-10	-13	5.12	59%	-0.03	42.9	0.77%	0	-1.5	45	0
17	May_3_2013	119.2	122.42	122.86	122.95			120.93(-2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-7	-10000	-10	2	11.28	59%	-0.02	73.3	0.78%	0	-1.4	41	0
18	May_2_2013	119.22	122.52	123.07	123.44			123.85(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	7	34	4.17	65%	0.02	105.6	0.73%	0	1.2	63	0
19	May_1_2013	119.2	122.35	122.99	123.12			124.01(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	5	40	10.72	61%	0	92.2	0.73%	0	1.3	72	0
20	Apr_30_2013	119.2	122.11	122.86	122.88			123.01(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	46	4.48	60%	-0.02	80.2	0.75%	0	0.6	70	0

21	Apr_29_2013	119.22	121.87	122.86	122.78			122.94(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	0	45	4.92	60%	-0.02	73.9	0.75%	0	0.7	57	0
22	Apr_26_2013	119.24	121.66	122.76	122.77			123.39(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	2	54	4.9	60%	-0.02	77	0.75%	0	1.1	57	0
23	Apr_25_2013	119.26	121.38	122.61	122.66			122.27(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-4	43	4.3	55%	-0.03	71.4	0.75%	0	0.5	47	0
24	Apr_24_2013	119.29	121.2	122.43	122.83			122.8(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	0	49	3.67	55%	-0.03	76.1	0.77%	0	0.9	61	0
25	Apr_23_2013	119.32	120.93	122.16	122.82			122.49(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	56	8.04	55%		72.7	0.77%	0	0.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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