Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 5, 2012

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $112.9100 (0.72%) ($112.3300 - $113.0700) on Thu. Apr. 5, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $112.9100(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(23%)    IGOV(18%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
XOP(-29%)    OIH(-27%)    EWP(-27%)    EWI(-27%)    SPY(-26%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.06(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.67(0.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $112.53(0.34%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2012	117.28	112.53	112.67	112.06			112.91(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	1	-10000	-5	17	6.36	34%	-0.05	-64.4	0.97%	0	0.2	56	0
2	Apr_4_2012	117.34	112.66	112.6	112.31			112.1(1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-4	30	10.1	34%	-0.04	-54.7	0.96%	0	-0.3	55	0
3	Apr_3_2012	117.39	112.88	112.58	112.54			110.58(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-11	40	14.77	28%	-0.06	-47.4	0.95%	0	-1.1	50	0
4	Apr_2_2012	117.46	113.22	112.62	113.12			112.53(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	-0	46	8.94	30%	-0.03	-41.4	0.95%	0	-0.3	43	0
5	Mar_30_2012	117.5	113.39	112.41	113.14			112.2(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-4	16	9.47	30%	-0.03	-43.6	0.95%	0	-0.5	35	0

6	Mar_29_2012	117.54	113.63	112.34	113.34			114.13(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	8	4	7.69	32%	-0.03	-42.2	0.93%	0	0.2	40	0
7	Mar_28_2012	117.58	113.71	112.04	112.94			113.28(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10000	6	-32	7.89	38%	-0.03	-46	0.93%	0	-0.2	37	0
8	Mar_27_2012	117.61	113.9	112.04	112.64			113.44(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	11	-69	6.97	38%	-0.03	-45.8	0.96%	0	-0.2	34	0
9	Mar_26_2012	117.65	114.12	111.81	112.06			112.63(-0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	-10000	9	-108	8.12	38%	-0.03	-45	0.95%	0	-0.5	28	0
10	Mar_23_2012	117.69	114.4	112.09	111.56			113.21(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-27	-10000	7	-127	8.47	38%	-0.03	-46.5	0.96%	0	-0.4	38	0

11	Mar_22_2012	117.72	114.61	112.32	111.2			112.15(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	4	-147	8.01	38%	-0.05	-49	0.96%	0	-0.9	30	0
12	Mar_21_2012	117.78	114.84	112.65	111.01			111.79(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-10000	3	-157	10.24	38%	-0.07	-53.6	0.96%	0	-1.1	35	0
13	Mar_20_2012	117.86	115.1	113.13	110.86			110.54(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-13	-173	9.44	31%	-0.04	-59.1	0.96%	0	-1.7	26	0
14	Mar_19_2012	117.91	115.36	113.83	111.54			110.1(-1.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-55	-10000	-21	-155	14.01	31%	-0.02	-59.7	1%	0	-2.1	23	0
15	Mar_16_2012	117.93	115.71	114.47	112.71			111.43(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-45	-10000	-16	-132	13.43	33%	0.01	-54.8	1.01%	0	-2	24	0

16	Mar_15_2012	117.92	115.99	115.05	113.62			111.21(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-38	-10000	-15	-108	14.16	33%	-0.03	-47.6	1.03%	0	-2.5	30	0
17	Mar_14_2012	117.95	116.33	115.58	114.52			111.04(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-38	-10000	-20	-90	24.52	37%	-0.04	-38.4	1.02%	0	-3.3	33	0
18	Mar_13_2012	118	116.69	116.25	115.7			113.91(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-23	-10000	-13	-54	14.41	41%	0.01	-22.2	1.01%	0	-2.6	40	0
19	Mar_12_2012	117.99	116.87	116.69	116.44			115.95(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-1	-16	5.28	45%	0.02	-7	0.99%	0	-1.1	55	0
20	Mar_9_2012	117.97	116.92	116.94	116.49			115.97(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5	-10000	-4	-7	6.98	41%	0.02	-2.9	1%	0	-1.2	49	0

21	Mar_8_2012	117.95	116.91	117.1	116.73			115.74(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-1	5	7.98	41%	0.01	-13.9	1.04%	0	-1.4	48	0
22	Mar_7_2012	117.94	116.95	117.22	116.79			116.91(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-2	3	5.57	41%	0.02	-27.9	1.04%	0	-0.1	47	0
23	Mar_6_2012	117.92	116.93	117.21	116.9			117.63(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-1	-10000	-2	2	6.3	41%	0.01	-50	1.04%	0	0.9	49	0
24	Mar_5_2012	117.91	116.92	116.99	117			116.22(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-8	-6	6.92	38%	0.03	-55.7	1.04%	0	-0.9	46	0
25	Mar_2_2012	117.88	116.95	117.04	117.47			117.15(0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-1	8	6.67	38%		-49.3	1.03%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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