Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2011

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $103.5200 (-5.04%) ($103.2000 - $107.8100) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $103.5200(-5.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(33%)    GLD(22%)    PCY(16%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-34%)    XOP(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    SPY(-32%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $105.26(-1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $103.31(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.73(3.8%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2011	95.55	99.73	103.31	105.26			103.52(-5.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	50	-10000	-5	213	37.79	58%	0.12	55.2	1.35%	0	0.9	67	0
2	Aug_10_2011	95.44	99.35	102.63	105.62			109.02(2.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	86	-10000	23	275	46.22	64%	0.17	61.8	1.19%	0	2.3	81	0
3	Aug_9_2011	95.28	98.72	101.28	104.17			105.87(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	73	-10000	15	245	39.88	62%	0.14	65.6	1.14%	0	2	75	0
4	Aug_8_2011	95.15	98.25	100.25	103.3			105.55(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	73	-10000	24	221	38.27	62%	0.14	71.1	1.14%	0	2.3	69	0
5	Aug_5_2011	95.02	97.78	99.18	101.91			102.32(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	59	-10000	16	189	41.68	59%	0.09	74	1.08%	0	1.7	69	0

6	Aug_4_2011	94.93	97.41	98.54	101.03			105.36(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	74	-10000	37	183	34.08	64%	0.13	70.7	1.01%	0	3	74	0
7	Aug_3_2011	94.81	96.82	97.48	99.16			101.74(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	-10000	27	124	21.18	60%	0.1	68.3	0.92%	0	2.5	69	0
8	Aug_2_2011	94.72	96.43	96.87	97.94			101.54(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	37	-10000	26	70	20.85	60%	0.11	58	0.92%	0	3	61	0
9	Aug_1_2011	94.62	96.03	96.38	96.77			98.58(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	20	-10000	18	26	14.35	56%	0.07	47.2	0.85%	0	2.1	54	0
10	Jul_29_2011	94.55	95.78	96.03	96.05			97.92(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	2	-10000	9	-18	19.58	56%	0.06	19.7	0.85%	0	1.8	53	0

11	Jul_28_2011	94.49	95.59	96.03	95.68			96.02(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	4	-31	7.08	53%	0.06	-1.7	0.82%	0	0.4	54	0
12	Jul_27_2011	94.43	95.5	95.83	95.54			95.66(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-2	-26	11.23	51%	0.06	-15.1	0.82%	0	0.1	59	0
13	Jul_26_2011	94.37	95.5	95.99	95.62			95.65(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-8	-5	7.68	53%	0.05	-20.2	0.83%	0	0.2	57	0
14	Jul_25_2011	94.32	95.46	96.13	95.93			95(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-1	33	10.87	53%	0.05	-17.6	0.84%	0	-0.4	57	0
15	Jul_22_2011	94.27	95.55	96.32	95.98			96.05(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-1	58	4.97	55%	0.06	-16	0.83%	0	0.4	63	0

16	Jul_21_2011	94.21	95.61	96.26	96.01			95.33(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-3	69	11.1	55%	0.04	-14.5	0.83%	0	-0.2	57	0
17	Jul_20_2011	94.17	95.67	96.17	96.14			96.07(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-7	74	9.67	55%	0.04	-12.8	0.82%	0	0.3	60	0
18	Jul_19_2011	94.13	95.69	96.01	96.41			97.22(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	0	87	15.25	57%	0.05	-2.2	0.81%	0	1.2	61	0
19	Jul_18_2011	94.08	95.66	95.68	96.39			95.24(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	13	-10000	-8	77	8.21	53%	0.03	-0.8	0.77%	0	-0.3	47	0
20	Jul_15_2011	94.05	95.74	95.54	96.7			96.17(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	4	74	7.09	58%	0.04	4.4	0.76%	0	0.3	44	0

21	Jul_14_2011	94.01	95.79	95.34	96.54			96.01(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	11	45	11.47	58%	0.05	4.3	0.78%	0	0.2	41	0
22	Jul_13_2011	93.96	95.83	95.16	96.15			97.4(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	17	12	13.12	62%	0.07	-3.5	0.75%	0	1.2	51	0
23	Jul_12_2011	93.89	95.71	94.89	95.53			97.13(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	18	-28	9.09	64%	0.03	-18.8	0.76%	0	1.1	50	0
24	Jul_11_2011	93.86	95.71	94.7	94.87			96.8(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-5	-10000	17	-70	9.76	64%	0.09	-30.1	0.77%	0	0.9	46	0
25	Jul_8_2011	93.78	95.68	94.67	94.24			95.37(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-21	-10000	7	-106	12.13	61%		-40.6	0.75%	0	-0.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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