Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 31, 2011

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $91.2200 (-0.76%) ($91.0500 - $91.9800) on Mon. Jan. 31, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.14% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $91.2200(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(54%)    SHY(34%)    GLD(21%)    PCY(16%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-34%)    SPY(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-33%)    XOP(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.57% (StdDev 1.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $91.92
5 Day Moving Average   $91.61(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.54(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.92(-0.76%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 1.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_31_2011	97.34	91.92	91.54	91.61			91.22(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-1	-16	8.65	29%	-0.12	-53.2	1.14%	0	-1	41	0
2	Jan_28_2011	97.46	92.06	91.6	91.68			91.92(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	2	-16	11.99	29%	-0.11	-36.7	1.15%	0	-0.2	47	0
3	Jan_27_2011	97.57	92.12	91.64	91.6			91.44(0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	2	-16	10.87	29%	-0.13	-38.7	1.14%	0	-0.8	48	0
4	Jan_26_2011	97.7	92.2	91.66	91.47			91.03(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-4	-22	13.32	28%	-0.15	-45.7	1.15%	0	-1.3	49	0
5	Jan_25_2011	97.85	92.24	91.79	91.68			92.43(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	4	-19	13.44	29%	-0.06	-49.5	1.15%	0	0.2	43	0

6	Jan_24_2011	97.91	92.3	91.82	91.47			91.56(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-30	7.7	29%	-0.12	-50	1.14%	0	-0.8	40	0
7	Jan_21_2011	98.03	92.37	91.89	91.53			91.52(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-4	-39	9.09	28%	-0.14	-42.3	1.14%	0	-0.9	36	0
8	Jan_20_2011	98.17	92.45	91.93	91.71			90.8(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-3	-41	14.2	28%	-0.16	-27.1	1.14%	0	-1.9	40	0
9	Jan_19_2011	98.33	92.6	92.02	91.87			92.07(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-44	8.89	29%	-0.17	-14.9	1.14%	0	-0.7	44	0
10	Jan_18_2011	98.5	92.66	92.15	91.92			91.41(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-5	-35	10.66	29%	-0.23	-14.3	1.13%	0	-1.5	51	0

11	Jan_14_2011	98.73	92.66	92.35	92.21			91.84(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-2	-27	8.96	27%	-0.17	-4.8	1.14%	0	-1.2	42	0
12	Jan_13_2011	98.9	92.75	92.56	92.31			92.43(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	14.5	27%	-0.15	-14	1.15%	0	-0.4	48	0
13	Jan_12_2011	99.05	92.69	92.63	92.2			91.61(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-5	-10000	1	-22	9.52	27%	-0.17	-27.1	1.14%	0	-1.2	44	0
14	Jan_11_2011	99.22	92.72	92.79	92.17			92.33(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-28	9.5	27%	-0.14	-39.4	1.14%	0	-0.4	44	0
15	Jan_10_2011	99.36	92.78	92.73	92.41			92.85(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-28	8.3	27%	-0.13	-46.3	1.14%	0	0.1	49	0

16	Jan_7_2011	99.49	92.79	92.81	92.52			92.35(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-7	-24	12.69	27%	-0.14	-51.6	1.14%	0	-0.5	47	0
17	Jan_6_2011	99.63	92.86	92.88	92.87			91.86(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-5	-6	9.32	29%	-0.13	-49.5	1.14%	0	-1.1	53	0
18	Jan_5_2011	99.76	92.93	93.01	93.12			91.46(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-2	-10000	-6	12	17.57	29%	-0.13	-57.4	1.15%	0	-1.7	55	0
19	Jan_4_2011	99.89	93.07	93.26	93.46			93.52(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	7	38	10.47	31%	-0.12	-72.2	1.12%	0	0.5	56	0
20	Jan_3_2011	100.01	93.19	93.22	93.08			93.41(-0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	5	-10000	-1	21	13.8	31%	-0.09	-72.6	1.12%	0	0.2	49	0

21	Dec_31_2010	100.1	93.25	93.2	93.15			94.12(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	5	27	8.52	31%	-0.07	-75.6	1.13%	0	0.8	53	0
22	Dec_30_2010	100.17	93.31	92.95	92.91			93.09(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	-0	6	7.03	31%	-0.08	-76.1	1.12%	0	-0.2	47	0
23	Dec_29_2010	100.25	93.44	92.75	92.92			93.16(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-2	-6	13.12	31%	-0.07	-75.3	1.12%	0	-0.2	49	0
24	Dec_28_2010	100.32	93.68	92.65	93.04			91.61(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-6	-14	13.98	28%	-0.09	-54.6	1.1%	0	-1.2	39	0
25	Dec_27_2010	100.41	93.98	92.84	93.35			93.76(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	5.29	33%		-43.7	1.07%	0	-0.1	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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