Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $96.1400 (2.48%) ($93.9900 - $96.2500) on Tue. Nov. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $96.1400(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(35%)    GLD(21%)    PCY(16%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-34%)    SPY(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    XOP(-32%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $92.43(-3.86%)
Resistance Level   $98.63
5 Day Moving Average   $95.69(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.88(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.63(-2.52%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2010	101.85	98.63	96.88	95.69			96.14(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-1	-112	19.91	43%	-0.03	-65.2	1.18%	0	-1.1	41	0
2	Nov_15_2010	101.88	98.91	97.34	95.72			93.81(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-41	-10000	-16	-115	14.98	40%	-0.06	-70.5	1.18%	0	-2.3	29	0
3	Nov_12_2010	101.94	99.29	97.94	96.64			95.81(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-8	-98	11.74	44%	-0.03	-77.4	1.16%	0	-1.8	29	0
4	Nov_11_2010	101.97	99.53	98.41	97.07			96.33(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-12	-93	3.37	46%	-0.02	-87.5	1.16%	0	-1.8	32	0
5	Nov_10_2010	101.99	99.8	98.74	97.74			96.38(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-9	-79	18.54	46%	-0.03	-88.3	1.17%	0	-2	36	0

6	Nov_9_2010	102.02	100.14	99.05	98.25			96.25(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10000	-16	-82	15.06	46%	-0.01	-91.4	1.17%	0	-2.4	32	0
7	Nov_8_2010	102.03	100.49	99.46	99.2			98.42(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-4	-60	6.8	48%	0.01	-83.2	1.14%	0	-1.3	38	0
8	Nov_5_2010	102.02	100.78	99.78	99.45			97.98(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-9	-53	12.43	50%	0	-77.3	1.15%	0	-1.7	39	0
9	Nov_4_2010	102.02	101.09	100.12	99.94			99.69(0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	1	-31	13.25	52%	0.03	-70.3	1.13%	0	-0.8	49	0
10	Nov_3_2010	101.99	101.33	100.22	99.9			98.92(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-1	-38	25.54	52%	0.02	-66.1	1.13%	0	-1.3	41	0

11	Nov_2_2010	101.97	101.65	100.52	99.96			100.98(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	3	-41	6.54	52%	0.04	-67.2	1.11%	0	-0.4	40	0
12	Nov_1_2010	101.93	101.81	100.58	99.78			99.67(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-58	5.92	51%	0.02	-70.9	1.11%	0	-1.1	34	0
13	Oct_29_2010	101.91	102.07	100.73	100.18			100.42(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-60	6.75	53%	0.05	-67.6	1.13%	0	-0.9	32	0
14	Oct_28_2010	101.86	102.27	100.72	100.37			99.49(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-4	-75	8.05	53%	0.01	-60.5	1.12%	0	-1.4	27	0
15	Oct_27_2010	101.85	102.58	100.93	100.61			99.22(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-28	-10000	-9	-86	9.25	53%	0.01	-57.3	1.12%	0	-1.7	24	0

16	Oct_26_2010	101.84	102.9	101.31	101.15			100.1(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-25	-10000	-6	-83	8.43	53%	0.02	-49.7	1.12%	0	-1.5	24	0
17	Oct_25_2010	101.82	103.2	101.62	101.47			101.67(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-78	5.63	55%	0.04	-41.8	1.11%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	Oct_22_2010	101.78	103.38	101.85	101.35			101.38(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	4	-84	4.77	53%	0.06	-37.6	1.11%	0	-1.1	34	0
19	Oct_21_2010	101.72	103.49	102.12	101.13			100.7(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-3	-97	6.84	55%	0.05	-37.9	1.12%	0	-1.6	32	0
20	Oct_20_2010	101.67	103.71	102.51	101.29			101.91(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-97	5.52	57%	0.05	-28.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	32	0

21	Oct_19_2010	101.62	103.86	102.85	101.52			101.69(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-5	-93	8.02	57%	0	-19.2	1.13%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Oct_18_2010	101.62	103.97	103.11	101.82			101.08(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-11	-96	5.59	57%	0.05	-14.3	1.13%	0	-1.9	25	0
23	Oct_15_2010	101.57	104.06	103.5	102.46			100.27(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-14	-83	12.69	57%	0.04	-4.9	1.13%	0	-2.5	26	0
24	Oct_14_2010	101.53	104.16	103.97	103.25			101.51(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-11	-57	10.95	59%	0.03	8.3	1.12%	0	-1.9	44	0
25	Oct_13_2010	101.5	104.18	104.38	103.88			103.05(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-37	8.17	61%		17.3	1.11%	0	-0.9	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.