Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $100.1000 (-1.54%) ($100.0500 - $101.0600) on Tue. Oct. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $100.1000(-1.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(71%)    LQD(55%)    SHY(35%)    GLD(21%)    PCY(16%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWI(-34%)    EWP(-33%)    XOP(-32%)    SPY(-32%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $98.21(-1.89%)
Resistance Level   $102.9
5 Day Moving Average   $101.15(-1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.31(-1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $102.9(-2.72%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_26_2010	101.84	102.9	101.31	101.15			100.1(-1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-25	-10000	-6	-83	8.43	53%	0.02	-49.7	1.12%	0	-1.5	24	0
2	Oct_25_2010	101.82	103.2	101.62	101.47			101.67(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-78	5.63	55%	0.04	-41.8	1.11%	0	-0.8	38	0
3	Oct_22_2010	101.78	103.38	101.85	101.35			101.38(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-18	-10000	4	-84	4.77	53%	0.06	-37.6	1.11%	0	-1.1	34	0
4	Oct_21_2010	101.72	103.49	102.12	101.13			100.7(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-3	-97	6.84	55%	0.05	-37.9	1.12%	0	-1.6	32	0
5	Oct_20_2010	101.67	103.71	102.51	101.29			101.91(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-97	5.52	57%	0.05	-28.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	32	0

6	Oct_19_2010	101.62	103.86	102.85	101.52			101.69(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-5	-93	8.02	57%	0	-19.2	1.13%	0	-1.4	30	0
7	Oct_18_2010	101.62	103.97	103.11	101.82			101.08(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-11	-96	5.59	57%	0.05	-14.3	1.13%	0	-1.9	25	0
8	Oct_15_2010	101.57	104.06	103.5	102.46			100.27(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-14	-83	12.69	57%	0.04	-4.9	1.13%	0	-2.5	26	0
9	Oct_14_2010	101.53	104.16	103.97	103.25			101.51(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-11	-57	10.95	59%	0.03	8.3	1.12%	0	-1.9	44	0
10	Oct_13_2010	101.5	104.18	104.38	103.88			103.05(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-9	-37	8.17	61%	0.05	17.3	1.11%	0	-0.9	42	0

11	Oct_12_2010	101.45	104.16	104.64	104.38			103.21(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-4	-16	6.12	61%	0.05	20	1.12%	0	-0.7	45	0
12	Oct_11_2010	101.4	104.19	104.92	104.59			104.24(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-2	1	1.47	61%	0.06	17.3	1.11%	0	0	54	0
13	Oct_8_2010	101.34	104.13	105.04	104.72			104.22(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-1	20	6.13	61%	0.06	17.4	1.11%	0	0.1	61	0
14	Oct_7_2010	101.28	104.04	104.99	104.8			104.68(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-3	30	5.78	59%	0.09	10.4	1.11%	0	0.5	65	0
15	Oct_6_2010	101.19	103.95	105.02	104.96			105.56(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	-0	54	6.48	59%	0.1	3.7	1.12%	0	1.2	71	0

16	Oct_5_2010	101.09	103.9	104.92	104.97			104.25(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-6	65	8.49	58%	0.09	-8.1	1.11%	0	0.2	60	0
17	Oct_4_2010	101	103.96	104.88	105.32			104.88(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-10000	-1	77	4.42	58%	0.11	-6.5	1.12%	0	0.6	54	0
18	Oct_1_2010	100.89	103.96	104.65	105.4			104.61(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	23	-10000	4	81	9.37	58%	0.11	-10.2	1.12%	0	0.5	57	0
19	Sep_30_2010	100.78	103.89	104.38	105.18			105.51(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	73	10.62	58%	0.13	-26.1	1.12%	0	1.1	63	0
20	Sep_29_2010	100.65	103.9	103.97	105.06			105.58(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	3	64	5.51	59%	0.13	-32.6	1.12%	0	1.2	60	0

21	Sep_28_2010	100.52	104.01	103.64	104.87			106.02(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	8	49	8.26	59%	0.12	-28.6	1.13%	0	1.1	52	0
22	Sep_27_2010	100.4	104.05	103.38	104.4			105.3(1.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	10	28	7.06	59%	0.1	-30.9	1.13%	0	0.7	46	0
23	Sep_24_2010	100.3	104.04	103.12	103.79			103.5(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	6	6	8.94	57%	0.07	-42.1	1.11%	0	-0.3	50	0
24	Sep_23_2010	100.23	104.27	103	103.43			104.91(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	-10000	13	-14	7.41	59%	0.11	-38.2	1.1%	0	0.3	49	0
25	Sep_22_2010	100.12	104.37	102.77	102.7			104.61(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	8	-53	8.23	61%		-40.4	1.1%	0	0.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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