Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 6, 2008

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.7600 (1.29%) ($90.2100 - $91.0900) on Fri. Jun. 6, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.82% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $90.7600(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(67%)    LQD(43%)    SHY(40%)    GLD(17%)    PCY(8%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.41% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    EWP(-34%)    EWG(-34%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.41% (StdDev 0.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $91.2
5 Day Moving Average   $90.35(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.48(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.2(-0.48%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 0.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080706

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_6_2008	93.21	91.2	90.48	90.35			90.76(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	3	-63	3.86	50%	-0.06	-34.3	0.82%	0	-0.5	43	0
2	Jun_5_2008	93.27	91.26	90.53	90.25			89.6(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-0	-77	2.63	44%	-0.05	-39.8	0.81%	0	-1.8	32	0
3	Jun_4_2008	93.32	91.36	90.81	90.27			90.14(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-1	-69	2.81	44%	-0.06	-53.8	0.82%	0	-1.4	43	0
4	Jun_3_2008	93.38	91.41	91.03	90.31			90.95(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-16	-10000	-1	-61	2.45	46%	-0.04	-62.9	0.82%	0	-0.6	47	0
5	Jun_2_2008	93.42	91.45	91.12	90.35			90.3(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-8	-66	3.08	46%	-0.04	-66.7	0.82%	0	-1.4	36	0

6	May_30_2008	93.46	91.52	91.28	90.65			90.28(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-6	-59	2.51	46%	-0.03	-61.4	0.82%	0	-1.6	35	0
7	May_29_2008	93.49	91.64	91.48	90.86			89.69(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-25	-10000	-15	-53	3.3	50%	-0.05	-52.4	0.82%	0	-2.6	34	0
8	May_28_2008	93.54	91.82	91.67	91.42			90.34(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-11	-27	3.25	53%	-0.05	-37.5	0.84%	0	-2.2	45	0
9	May_27_2008	93.59	91.93	91.79	91.84			91.15(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-3	1.99	56%	-0.04	-30.2	0.87%	0	-1.3	54	0
10	May_23_2008	93.63	91.98	91.92	92			91.77(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	-0	10	1.8	53%	-0.02	-32.2	0.86%	0	-0.4	52	0

11	May_22_2008	93.65	91.99	91.99	92.01			91.37(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	1	-10000	-4	16	2.86	53%	-0.03	-40.7	0.86%	0	-1.1	49	0
12	May_21_2008	93.68	92.04	92.07	92.18			92.46(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	5	23	1.76	58%	-0.02	-33.9	0.85%	0	0.7	46	0
13	May_20_2008	93.7	92.06	91.96	91.97			92.44(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	6	2	1.47	58%	0	-38.6	0.86%	0	0.6	43	0
14	May_19_2008	93.7	92.11	91.82	91.75			91.96(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-20	1.35	56%	-0.01	-49.3	0.87%	0	-0.2	46	0
15	May_16_2008	93.71	92.16	91.78	91.83			91.84(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-3	-21	1.9	56%	0.01	-59.5	0.88%	0	-0.5	48	0

16	May_15_2008	93.7	92.21	91.76	91.96			92.22(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	0	-16	2.16	56%	0.02	-72	0.88%	0	0	53	0
17	May_14_2008	93.68	92.23	91.8	91.95			91.39(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	0	-14	2.6	51%	-0.03	-85.7	0.88%	0	-1.2	43	0
18	May_13_2008	93.71	92.32	91.96	91.94			91.35(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-2	-10000	2	-14	2.12	49%	0	-95.1	0.9%	0	-1.3	38	0
19	May_12_2008	93.71	92.44	92.08	91.86			92.36(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	4	-23	1.95	51%	0.01	-84.7	0.9%	0	-0.1	40	0
20	May_9_2008	93.7	92.57	92.05	91.71			92.5(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	4	-36	2.06	51%	0	-71.9	0.9%	0	-0.1	44	0

21	May_8_2008	93.7	92.71	91.98	91.53			92.16(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-54	2.83	53%	-0.02	-68.2	0.9%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	May_7_2008	93.72	92.85	91.99	91.66			91.34(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-8	-55	3.88	47%	0	-59.6	0.91%	0	-1.2	39	0
23	May_6_2008	93.72	93.04	92.17	92.01			90.95(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-7	-39	4.04	47%	-0.01	-49.6	0.94%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	May_5_2008	93.73	93.22	92.42	92.31			91.61(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-9	-10000	-2	-29	1.31	47%	0.01	-45	0.94%	0	-1.3	31	0
25	May_2_2008	93.72	93.38	92.58	92.41			91.61(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-1	-37	2.73	45%		-47.3	0.95%	0	-1.5	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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