Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $94.0300 (-0.68%) ($93.8400 - $94.6900) on Wed. Nov. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.65% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $94.0300(-0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(16%)    PCY(8%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.29(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.41(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.21(1.97%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   7.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_28_2007	88.82	92.21	93.41	94.29			94.03(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	46	-10000	7	164	2.09	63%	0.1	62.2	0.65%	0	1.2	73	0
2	Nov_27_2007	88.73	92.04	93.15	94.07			94.67(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	-10000	11	164	3.1	65%	0.12	61.3	0.65%	0	1.8	80	0
3	Nov_26_2007	88.62	91.84	92.85	93.74			95.58(1.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	58	-10000	22	164	4.43	68%	0.14	61.9	0.63%	0	2.8	82	0
4	Nov_23_2007	88.5	91.57	92.4	93.1			93.73(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	43	-10000	11	138	0.44	65%	0.11	63.5	0.59%	0	2.1	76	0
5	Nov_21_2007	88.4	91.41	92.09	92.81			93.45(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	42	-10000	15	122	1.3	65%	0.1	72.3	0.59%	0	2.2	76	0

6	Nov_20_2007	88.31	91.28	91.81	92.41			92.91(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	12	105	1.37	65%	0.08	82	0.59%	0	2	79	0
7	Nov_19_2007	88.24	91.15	91.57	92.09			93.01(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	10	84	1.35	65%	0.09	97.5	0.59%	0	2.6	67	0
8	Nov_16_2007	88.16	91.01	91.36	91.82			92.41(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	-10000	8	70	1.33	65%	0.09	129.2	0.59%	0	2.4	63	0
9	Nov_15_2007	88.08	90.91	91.21	91.6			92.28(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-10000	12	64	1.31	65%	0.09	135.3	0.6%	0	2.2	65	0
10	Nov_14_2007	88	90.76	91.05	91.26			91.42(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	5	42	0.69	64%	0.09	115.8	0.59%	0	1	57	0

11	Nov_13_2007	87.92	90.62	90.91	91.12			91.32(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	5	23	1.12	64%	0.08	87	0.59%	0	0.8	52	0
12	Nov_12_2007	87.85	90.45	90.86	90.97			91.66(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	5	19	0.46	64%	0.09	69.5	0.59%	0	1.1	62	0
13	Nov_9_2007	87.77	90.26	90.77	90.83			91.33(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	2	14	0.89	64%	0.09	58.9	0.59%	0	0.9	58	0
14	Nov_8_2007	87.69	90.08	90.68	90.78			90.56(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-1	10	2.18	58%	0.08	54.1	0.58%	0	0.4	52	0
15	Nov_7_2007	87.62	89.96	90.69	90.81			90.72(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	5	30	1.46	58%	0.08	48.9	0.6%	0	0.6	66	0

16	Nov_6_2007	87.55	89.84	90.72	90.67			90.56(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	43	0.58	55%	0.08	42.3	0.6%	0	0.6	69	0
17	Nov_5_2007	87.48	89.72	90.71	90.71			91(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	1	73	1.02	55%	0.08	39	0.61%	0	1	78	0
18	Nov_2_2007	87.41	89.58	90.65	90.68			91.04(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	4	103	1.93	57%	0.09	36.8	0.61%	0	1.1	78	0
19	Nov_1_2007	87.33	89.44	90.59	90.58			90.75(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	0	125	2.56	57%	0.08	35.3	0.61%	0	1.1	78	0
20	Oct_31_2007	87.26	89.36	90.44	90.57			89.98(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	28	-10000	-8	135	2.5	57%	0.09	38.5	0.61%	0	0.5	69	0

21	Oct_30_2007	87.18	89.3	90.33	90.78			90.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	43	-10000	3	164	1.44	59%	0.09	48.5	0.6%	0	1.3	76	0
22	Oct_29_2007	87.1	89.21	90.04	90.69			90.85(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	3	158	0.88	59%	0.08	53.5	0.6%	0	1.4	77	0
23	Oct_26_2007	87.03	89.1	89.73	90.61			90.5(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	0	150	1.37	61%	0.07	58.7	0.6%	0	1.3	74	0
24	Oct_25_2007	86.97	89.01	89.45	90.6			90.71(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-10000	11	149	3.06	61%	0.07	65	0.61%	0	1.6	75	0
25	Oct_24_2007	86.91	88.89	89.18	90.29			91.02(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	-10000	17	122	2.83	61%		67.3	0.61%	0	2.2	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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