Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $83.5600 (-0.29%) ($83.2600 - $83.8900) on Mon. Jun. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   14
Latest Price   $83.5600(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(16%)    XLU(-14%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $82.42(-1.36%)
Resistance Level   $86.15
5 Day Moving Average   $84.41(-1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.23(-1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.15(-3.01%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2007	88.02	86.15	85.23	84.41			83.56(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-72	-10000	-28	-205	2.04	36%	-0.06	-79.9	0.42%	0	-2	14	0
2	Jun_8_2007	88.07	86.38	85.52	84.9			83.8(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-55	-10000	-19	-162	5.31	32%	-0.05	-77.5	0.44%	0	-2.2	20	0
3	Jun_7_2007	88.11	86.62	85.81	85.26			83.87(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-57	-10000	-26	-149	5.01	32%	-0.05	-74.8	0.44%	0	-2.5	17	0
4	Jun_6_2007	88.15	86.85	86.09	85.76			85.4(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	-10000	-14	-136	1.13	39%	-0.03	-74.3	0.39%	0	-1.5	21	0
5	Jun_5_2007	88.18	87.01	86.22	85.99			85.44(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-42	-10000	-11	-135	1.15	39%	-0.03	-67	0.39%	0	-1.7	21	0

6	Jun_4_2007	88.21	87.18	86.4	86.17			85.98(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-130	0.88	41%	-0.02	-62.4	0.39%	0	-1.3	23	0
7	Jun_1_2007	88.23	87.32	86.49	86.25			85.59(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-45	-10000	-11	-146	1.69	42%	-0.03	-56.9	0.39%	0	-1.8	14	0
8	May_31_2007	88.26	87.45	86.69	86.44			86.38(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	-10000	-2	-150	1.73	43%	-0.03	-54.5	0.37%	0	-1.2	16	0
9	May_30_2007	88.29	87.56	86.83	86.47			86.54(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-3	-158	0.61	46%	-0.03	-56.7	0.37%	0	-1.2	22	0
10	May_29_2007	88.32	87.66	86.96	86.51			86.36(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-10000	-9	-166	1.06	46%	-0.05	-57.3	0.38%	0	-1.5	16	0

11	May_25_2007	88.36	87.78	87.12	86.67			86.37(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-10000	-6	-151	0.75	56%	-0.03	-55.1	0.42%	0	-1.8	15	0
12	May_24_2007	88.39	87.86	87.3	86.78			86.57(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-10000	-10	-151	1.6	56%	-0.03	-59.3	0.42%	0	-1.8	23	0
13	May_23_2007	88.42	87.93	87.49	86.97			86.49(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-15	-133	0.91	59%	-0.02	-60	0.43%	0	-2.2	30	0
14	May_22_2007	88.44	88.04	87.68	87.25			86.74(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10000	-12	-108	0.92	56%	-0.01	-55.2	0.44%	0	-2.2	30	0
15	May_21_2007	88.45	88.15	87.87	87.49			87.19(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-10000	-8	-86	0.83	59%	-0.02	-44.8	0.44%	0	-1.9	32	0

16	May_18_2007	88.47	88.21	88.03	87.64			86.93(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-29	-10000	-13	-78	0.86	59%	-0.01	-32.7	0.43%	0	-2.8	25	0
17	May_17_2007	88.48	88.28	88.21	87.89			87.51(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-11	-45	0.4	63%	-0.02	-10	0.43%	0	-2.2	49	0
18	May_16_2007	88.5	88.33	88.29	88.09			87.87(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-4	-20	0.6	63%	-0.01	20	0.43%	0	-1.5	53	0
19	May_15_2007	88.51	88.37	88.35	88.17			87.93(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-8	-16	0.38	63%	-0.01	47.1	0.43%	0	-1.5	44	0
20	May_14_2007	88.52	88.38	88.41	88.32			87.96(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-9	-8	0.31	66%	-0.02	64.9	0.43%	0	-1.3	41	0

21	May_11_2007	88.54	88.37	88.49	88.49			88.19(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-4	13	1.24	66%	-0.02	69.6	0.44%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	May_10_2007	88.56	88.32	88.47	88.57			88.5(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	3	19	0.52	66%	-0.01	62.7	0.44%	0	0.4	54	0
23	May_9_2007	88.57	88.27	88.41	88.52			88.29(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	6	0.63	63%	-0.01	48.2	0.45%	0	0	49	0
24	May_8_2007	88.58	88.23	88.43	88.55			88.64(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	8	0.49	63%	-0.01	42.4	0.45%	0	0.8	51	0
25	May_7_2007	88.59	88.17	88.44	88.52			88.84(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	1	16	0.21	63%		33.9	0.45%	0	1.2	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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