Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $87.9600 (-0.26%) ($87.9600 - $88.2800) on Mon. May. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $87.9600(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(41%)    GLD(16%)    XLU(-14%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $88.38
5 Day Moving Average   $88.32(-0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.41(-0.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.38(-0.48%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070614

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_14_2007	88.52	88.38	88.41	88.32			87.96(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-9	-8	0.31	66%	-0.02	64.9	0.43%	0	-1.3	41	0
2	May_11_2007	88.54	88.37	88.49	88.49			88.19(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-4	13	1.24	66%	-0.02	69.6	0.44%	0	-0.4	47	0
3	May_10_2007	88.56	88.32	88.47	88.57			88.5(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	3	19	0.52	66%	-0.01	62.7	0.44%	0	0.4	54	0
4	May_9_2007	88.57	88.27	88.41	88.52			88.29(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	6	0.63	63%	-0.01	48.2	0.45%	0	0	49	0
5	May_8_2007	88.58	88.23	88.43	88.55			88.64(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	1	8	0.49	63%	-0.01	42.4	0.45%	0	0.8	51	0

6	May_7_2007	88.59	88.17	88.44	88.52			88.84(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	1	16	0.21	63%	-0.01	33.9	0.45%	0	1.2	58	0
7	May_4_2007	88.6	88.08	88.4	88.5			88.6(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	8	30	0.26	65%	-0.01	25	0.45%	0	1	61	0
8	May_3_2007	88.61	88.04	88.35	88.35			88.24(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	4	30	0.43	65%	-0.02	11.9	0.45%	0	0.4	64	0
9	May_2_2007	88.63	88.03	88.35	88.27			88.44(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	-0	36	0.44	65%	-0.03	3.4	0.45%	0	0.8	62	0
10	May_1_2007	88.66	88.01	88.37	88.28			88.49(-0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	11	-10000	-3	52	0.49	62%	-0.02	-3.4	0.45%	0	0.9	62	0

11	Apr_30_2007	88.68	87.98	88.33	88.34			88.75(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	3	69	0.49	64%	-0.02	-7	0.46%	0	1.5	64	0
12	Apr_27_2007	88.7	87.95	88.22	88.29			87.83(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	16	-10000	-3	72	0.43	61%	-0.03	-15.1	0.44%	0	-0.3	60	0
13	Apr_26_2007	88.73	87.98	88.17	88.35			87.85(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	14	-10000	-5	70	2.05	61%	-0.03	-18.2	0.44%	0	-0.3	52	0
14	Apr_25_2007	88.76	87.98	88.13	88.46			88.49(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	-0	75	0.57	61%	-0.03	-21.1	0.43%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Apr_24_2007	88.79	87.98	88.02	88.47			88.8(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	8	70	0.88	61%	-0.03	-29.3	0.44%	0	1.5	58	0

16	Apr_23_2007	88.82	88.02	87.88	88.32			88.47(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	9	50	0.42	58%	-0.03	-44.1	0.44%	0	0.9	53	0
17	Apr_20_2007	88.85	88.03	87.75	88.15			88.15(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	11	21	0.66	58%	-0.04	-60.7	0.44%	0	0.2	47	0
18	Apr_19_2007	88.89	88.07	87.7	87.94			88.38(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	10	-7	1.31	58%	-0.02	-72.7	0.45%	0	0.5	46	0
19	Apr_18_2007	88.91	88.12	87.66	87.75			88.53(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	12	-30	0.45	58%	-0.03	-71.4	0.45%	0	0.6	46	0
20	Apr_17_2007	88.94	88.17	87.59	87.51			88.09(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	7	-64	1.25	57%	-0.03	-76.7	0.44%	0	-0.1	37	0

21	Apr_16_2007	88.97	88.24	87.58	87.38			87.6(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	-10000	4	-90	0.83	55%	-0.03	-76.3	0.44%	0	-0.8	26	0
22	Apr_13_2007	89	88.35	87.64	87.3			87.12(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-110	0.56	52%	-0.02	-73.5	0.44%	0	-1.4	18	0
23	Apr_12_2007	89.02	88.49	87.78	87.42			87.39(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-7	-111	0.5	50%	-0.03	-73.5	0.44%	0	-1.3	18	0
24	Apr_11_2007	89.05	88.61	87.89	87.56			87.37(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-34	-10000	-6	-117	0.48	48%	-0.04	-71.7	0.44%	0	-1.4	13	0
25	Apr_10_2007	89.09	88.76	88.03	87.68			87.43(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-7	-119	0.67	46%		-66	0.45%	0	-1.5	14	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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