Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 28, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $88.6400 (0.35%) ($88.4800 - $88.7200) on Fri. Feb. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $88.6400(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    XLU(-14%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.94(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.88(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.58(1.21%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.59% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2007	88.93	87.58	87.88	87.94			88.64(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	11	71	1.48	39%	-0.01	-1.7	0.43%	0	2	71	0
2	Feb_15_2007	88.94	87.54	87.73	87.74			88.33(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	2	54	0.89	39%	-0.01	-17.9	0.44%	0	1.6	65	0
3	Feb_14_2007	88.95	87.53	87.61	87.74			88.07(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	0	53	2.26	39%	-0.02	-27.8	0.44%	0	1.1	62	0
4	Feb_13_2007	88.97	87.52	87.55	87.7			87.24(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-6	53	1.31	35%	-0.04	-41.8	0.42%	0	-0.6	45	0
5	Feb_12_2007	89.01	87.57	87.52	87.81			87.43(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	-10000	1	56	0.47	35%	-0.02	-44.6	0.42%	0	-0.3	47	0

6	Feb_9_2007	89.03	87.59	87.46	87.79			87.63(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	5	35	0.88	35%	-0.02	-57.1	0.42%	0	0.1	42	0
7	Feb_8_2007	89.05	87.63	87.39	87.7			88.13(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	11	14	0.98	36%	0	-68.3	0.42%	0	0.9	49	0
8	Feb_7_2007	89.05	87.66	87.27	87.49			88.06(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.84	39%	0	-73.1	0.42%	0	0.7	45	0
9	Feb_6_2007	89.05	87.72	87.21	87.39			87.8(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	10	-39	0.77	39%	0	-60	0.42%	0	0.1	47	0
10	Feb_5_2007	89.05	87.79	87.18	87.2			87.32(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	7	-67	0.4	36%	0	-56.2	0.42%	0	-0.6	38	0

11	Feb_2_2007	89.05	87.88	87.26	87.08			87.2(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	3	-75	0.81	32%	0	-55.3	0.45%	0	-0.8	40	0
12	Feb_1_2007	89.05	87.99	87.33	87.02			87.09(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-88	0.99	32%	-0.01	-54	0.45%	0	-1	34	0
13	Jan_31_2007	89.06	88.09	87.44	87			87.55(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-0	-101	2.08	37%	0	-57	0.45%	0	-0.6	32	0
14	Jan_30_2007	89.06	88.14	87.47	87.01			86.82(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-126	1.29	33%	0	-65.3	0.45%	0	-1.5	19	0
15	Jan_29_2007	89.06	88.23	87.61	87.17			86.72(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-10000	-15	-133	1.01	33%	-0.01	-69.1	0.45%	0	-1.8	17	0

16	Jan_26_2007	89.07	88.33	87.75	87.46			86.91(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-10000	-11	-124	1.74	39%	0	-72.4	0.45%	0	-1.8	22	0
17	Jan_25_2007	89.07	88.47	87.91	87.68			86.98(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-40	-10000	-12	-122	1.4	42%	-0.01	-73.1	0.46%	0	-2.2	20	0
18	Jan_24_2007	89.08	88.6	88.11	87.93			87.61(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-3	-102	0.46	44%	0.01	-76.5	0.46%	0	-1.6	34	0
19	Jan_23_2007	89.07	88.72	88.28	88			87.62(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-6	-87	1.1	43%	-0.02	-69.6	0.46%	0	-1.8	44	0
20	Jan_22_2007	89.09	88.82	88.45	88.12			88.2(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-65	0.43	45%	0.01	-73.4	0.46%	0	-1.1	48	0

21	Jan_19_2007	89.08	88.89	88.55	88.09			87.99(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-64	0.88	45%	0	-84.4	0.46%	0	-1.6	43	0
22	Jan_18_2007	89.08	88.98	88.71	88.18			88.23(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-59	0.92	45%	0	-80	0.46%	0	-1.2	36	0
23	Jan_17_2007	89.08	89.06	88.8	88.33			87.95(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-14	-56	0.72	45%	0	-80.9	0.45%	0	-1.8	37	0
24	Jan_16_2007	89.08	89.15	88.86	88.61			88.23(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-12	-55	0.7	47%	0.03	-80	0.45%	0	-1.6	33	0
25	Jan_12_2007	89.05	89.24	88.9	88.84			88.04(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-12	-52	0.88	45%		-82.3	0.46%	0	-2.2	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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