Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $88.3300 (0.3%) ($88.3300 - $88.5800) on Thu. Feb. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $88.3300(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    XLU(-14%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.74(0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.73(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.54(0.9%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2007	88.94	87.54	87.73	87.74			88.33(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	2	54	0.89	39%	-0.01	-17.9	0.44%	0	1.6	65	0
2	Feb_14_2007	88.95	87.53	87.61	87.74			88.07(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	0	53	2.26	39%	-0.02	-27.8	0.44%	0	1.1	62	0
3	Feb_13_2007	88.97	87.52	87.55	87.7			87.24(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-6	53	1.31	35%	-0.04	-41.8	0.42%	0	-0.6	45	0
4	Feb_12_2007	89.01	87.57	87.52	87.81			87.43(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	15	-10000	1	56	0.47	35%	-0.02	-44.6	0.42%	0	-0.3	47	0
5	Feb_9_2007	89.03	87.59	87.46	87.79			87.63(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	5	35	0.88	35%	-0.02	-57.1	0.42%	0	0.1	42	0

6	Feb_8_2007	89.05	87.63	87.39	87.7			88.13(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	11	14	0.98	36%	0	-68.3	0.42%	0	0.9	49	0
7	Feb_7_2007	89.05	87.66	87.27	87.49			88.06(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.84	39%	0	-73.1	0.42%	0	0.7	45	0
8	Feb_6_2007	89.05	87.72	87.21	87.39			87.8(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	10	-39	0.77	39%	0	-60	0.42%	0	0.1	47	0
9	Feb_5_2007	89.05	87.79	87.18	87.2			87.32(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	7	-67	0.4	36%	0	-56.2	0.42%	0	-0.6	38	0
10	Feb_2_2007	89.05	87.88	87.26	87.08			87.2(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	3	-75	0.81	32%	0	-55.3	0.45%	0	-0.8	40	0

11	Feb_1_2007	89.05	87.99	87.33	87.02			87.09(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	1	-88	0.99	32%	-0.01	-54	0.45%	0	-1	34	0
12	Jan_31_2007	89.06	88.09	87.44	87			87.55(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-0	-101	2.08	37%	0	-57	0.45%	0	-0.6	32	0
13	Jan_30_2007	89.06	88.14	87.47	87.01			86.82(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-8	-126	1.29	33%	0	-65.3	0.45%	0	-1.5	19	0
14	Jan_29_2007	89.06	88.23	87.61	87.17			86.72(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-10000	-15	-133	1.01	33%	-0.01	-69.1	0.45%	0	-1.8	17	0
15	Jan_26_2007	89.07	88.33	87.75	87.46			86.91(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-10000	-11	-124	1.74	39%	0	-72.4	0.45%	0	-1.8	22	0

16	Jan_25_2007	89.07	88.47	87.91	87.68			86.98(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-40	-10000	-12	-122	1.4	42%	-0.01	-73.1	0.46%	0	-2.2	20	0
17	Jan_24_2007	89.08	88.6	88.11	87.93			87.61(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-3	-102	0.46	44%	0.01	-76.5	0.46%	0	-1.6	34	0
18	Jan_23_2007	89.07	88.72	88.28	88			87.62(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-6	-87	1.1	43%	-0.02	-69.6	0.46%	0	-1.8	44	0
19	Jan_22_2007	89.09	88.82	88.45	88.12			88.2(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10000	1	-65	0.43	45%	0.01	-73.4	0.46%	0	-1.1	48	0
20	Jan_19_2007	89.08	88.89	88.55	88.09			87.99(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-4	-64	0.88	45%	0	-84.4	0.46%	0	-1.6	43	0

21	Jan_18_2007	89.08	88.98	88.71	88.18			88.23(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-7	-59	0.92	45%	0	-80	0.46%	0	-1.2	36	0
22	Jan_17_2007	89.08	89.06	88.8	88.33			87.95(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-14	-56	0.72	45%	0	-80.9	0.45%	0	-1.8	37	0
23	Jan_16_2007	89.08	89.15	88.86	88.61			88.23(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-12	-55	0.7	47%	0.03	-80	0.45%	0	-1.6	33	0
24	Jan_12_2007	89.05	89.24	88.9	88.84			88.04(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-12	-52	0.88	45%	0.01	-82.3	0.46%	0	-2.2	37	0
25	Jan_11_2007	89.04	89.38	88.97	89.08			88.45(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-12	-46	1.3	46%		-81.8	0.45%	0	-1.9	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.