Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 12, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $89.8100 (0.77%) ($89.1400 - $89.8700) on Tue. Oct. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $89.8100(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    XLU(-13%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    XOP(-34%)    IWM(-34%)    EWP(-34%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.83(1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.2(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.13(1.91%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2006	86.59	88.13	88.2	88.83			89.81(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	53	-10000	28	127	0.96	68%	0.05	-10.6	0.42%	0	2	74	0
2	Oct_30_2006	86.55	88.09	87.96	88.31			89.12(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	-10000	21	77	0.9	67%	0.05	-34.4	0.42%	0	1.3	64	0
3	Oct_27_2006	86.51	88.08	87.8	87.92			88.87(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	14	26	1.6	68%	0.03	-52.7	0.42%	0	1	51	0
4	Oct_26_2006	86.48	88.1	87.62	87.66			88.46(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	9	-16	1.56	67%	0.05	-61.1	0.42%	0	0.4	50	0
5	Oct_25_2006	86.44	88.14	87.52	87.5			87.89(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-14	-10000	1	-60	0.56	65%	0.02	-61.4	0.41%	0	-0.3	33	0

6	Oct_24_2006	86.42	88.22	87.49	87.48			87.2(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-29	-10000	-5	-101	0.24	63%	0.03	-53.2	0.4%	0	-1.1	20	0
7	Oct_23_2006	86.39	88.36	87.55	87.56			87.2(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-4	-116	1.2	63%	0.02	-41.2	0.4%	0	-1.1	31	0
8	Oct_20_2006	86.37	88.51	87.67	87.63			87.55(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-27	-10000	5	-121	0.28	65%	0.05	-27.7	0.4%	0	-1	32	0
9	Oct_19_2006	86.33	88.61	87.74	87.63			87.64(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-10000	0	-150	0.8	68%	0.05	-21.1	0.4%	0	-1	32	0
10	Oct_18_2006	86.29	88.7	87.88	87.55			87.8(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-35	-10000	3	-149	0.5	63%	0.05	-14.2	0.42%	0	-1	32	0

11	Oct_17_2006	86.25	88.74	88.07	87.5			87.62(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-10000	-2	-151	0.73	63%	0.01	-12.5	0.43%	0	-1.2	29	0
12	Oct_16_2006	86.24	88.78	88.22	87.54			87.55(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-49	-10000	-10	-164	0.9	63%	0.05	-8.5	0.43%	0	-1.3	26	0
13	Oct_13_2006	86.2	88.79	88.39	87.73			87.16(-0.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-51	-10000	-12	-167	1.41	62%	0.03	-1.9	0.43%	0	-1.7	18	0
14	Oct_12_2006	86.17	88.82	88.62	87.95			87.6(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-52	-10000	-17	-155	0.59	65%	0.03	5.9	0.43%	0	-1.3	32	0
15	Oct_11_2006	86.14	88.83	88.82	88.27			87.58(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10000	-24	-130	1.52	65%	0.03	17.6	0.43%	0	-1.4	37	0

16	Oct_10_2006	86.11	88.85	89.03	88.72			87.81(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-10000	-14	-73	1.4	65%	0.03	34.7	0.43%	0	-1.2	48	0
17	Oct_9_2006	86.08	88.86	89.25	89			88.51(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-9	-26	0.83	69%	0.05	44.3	0.41%	0	-0.4	55	0
18	Oct_6_2006	86.04	88.8	89.43	89.16			88.27(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-12	29	2.47	72%	0.05	45.5	0.42%	0	-0.5	61	0
19	Oct_5_2006	86	88.77	89.58	89.38			89.2(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-4	90	1.24	73%	0.08	45.7	0.4%	0	0.4	69	0
20	Oct_4_2006	85.93	88.67	89.59	89.44			89.83(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	2	127	1.16	78%	0.07	43.8	0.4%	0	1.1	75	0

21	Oct_3_2006	85.87	88.54	89.46	89.4			89.18(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-9	133	0.85	76%	0.07	41.7	0.4%	0	0.6	68	0
22	Oct_2_2006	85.81	88.44	89.38	89.55			89.3(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	-12	159	1.21	76%	0.08	44.6	0.4%	0	0.8	70	0
23	Sep_29_2006	85.74	88.36	89.21	89.76			89.39(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	43	-10000	-2	179	1.4	78%	0.07	51.7	0.42%	0	1	75	0
24	Sep_28_2006	85.68	88.29	89.04	89.8			89.52(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	50	-10000	3	191	1.8	75%	0.07	58.1	0.42%	0	1.2	75	0
25	Sep_27_2006	85.62	88.21	88.85	89.74			89.63(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	60	-10000	13	199	1.17	75%		63.4	0.42%	0	1.4	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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