Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $84.0500 (-0.17%) ($83.8800 - $84.1900) on Tue. Jun. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $84.0500(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-0%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWI(-35%)    EWP(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWG(-33%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $84.69
5 Day Moving Average   $84.41(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.95(-1.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.69(-0.76%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.74% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2006	86.7	84.69	84.95	84.41			84.05(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-16	-16	0.61	31%	-0.07	12.2	0.52%	0	-1	59	0
2	Jun_19_2006	86.76	84.72	85.06	84.77			84.19(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-15	24	1.23	31%	-0.08	41.7	0.52%	0	-0.9	53	0
3	Jun_16_2006	86.83	84.72	85.12	85.09			84.31(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	4	-10000	-13	56	1.18	35%	-0.07	70.4	0.52%	0	-0.7	53	0
4	Jun_15_2006	86.89	84.73	85.18	85.37			84.5(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	16	-10000	-7	84	1.73	34%	-0.07	90.3	0.54%	0	-0.4	55	0
5	Jun_14_2006	86.95	84.67	85.13	85.52			84.99(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	22	-10000	-1	90	1.44	37%	-0.09	80.7	0.54%	0	0.5	55	0

6	Jun_13_2006	87.03	84.61	85.01	85.55			85.85(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	7	88	1.45	39%	-0.07	80.2	0.53%	0	1.7	67	0
7	Jun_12_2006	87.09	84.46	84.84	85.39			85.79(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	10	73	0.53	39%	-0.08	68.5	0.53%	0	1.8	65	0
8	Jun_9_2006	87.16	84.31	84.68	85.17			85.72(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	8	54	0.66	39%	-0.07	52.7	0.53%	0	1.8	67	0
9	Jun_8_2006	87.22	84.19	84.52	84.98			85.27(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	14	45	3.5	37%	-0.09	51.7	0.53%	0	1.5	65	0
10	Jun_7_2006	87.3	84.11	84.44	84.67			85.1(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	12	40	1.32	37%	-0.08	46.9	0.53%	0	1.5	75	0

11	Jun_6_2006	87.37	84.03	84.38	84.39			85.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	9	30	2.19	35%	-0.03	39	0.53%	0	1.6	65	0
12	Jun_5_2006	87.4	83.95	84.32	84.2			84.68(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	4	34	1.1	35%	-0.08	36.6	0.53%	0	1.2	68	0
13	Jun_2_2006	87.47	83.89	84.29	84.11			84.79(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	4	48	2.04	33%	-0.08	29	0.54%	0	1.6	72	0
14	Jun_1_2006	87.54	83.81	84.23	84.01			83.71(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-8	51	1.56	27%	-0.08	17.9	0.51%	0	-0.2	55	0
15	May_31_2006	87.61	83.79	84.18	84.18			83.67(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-8	57	0.88	30%	-0.09	20.3	0.52%	0	-0.2	50	0

16	May_30_2006	87.69	83.78	84.19	84.36			84.17(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-4	73	0.48	30%	-0.14	23.2	0.52%	0	0.7	56	0
17	May_26_2006	87.81	83.73	84.08	84.45			84.21(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	74	0.4	30%	-0.09	13	0.52%	0	0.8	56	0
18	May_25_2006	87.89	83.72	83.94	84.49			84.27(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	17	-10000	0	67	0.68	30%	-0.09	10.3	0.53%	0	1	57	0
19	May_24_2006	87.97	83.71	83.85	84.48			84.6(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	14	76	1.23	30%	-0.08	8.8	0.53%	0	1.6	65	0
20	May_23_2006	88.04	83.67	83.75	84.18			84.56(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	9	59	1.39	30%	-0.05	-10.8	0.53%	0	1.6	62	0

21	May_22_2006	88.08	83.64	83.65	83.99			84.61(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	15	50	2.65	32%	-0.08	-23.9	0.53%	0	1.6	60	0
22	May_19_2006	88.15	83.64	83.54	83.66			84.43(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	16	31	2.62	32%	-0.09	-35.6	0.54%	0	1.3	61	0
23	May_18_2006	88.23	83.64	83.44	83.3			84.21(1.36%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	4	-10000	7	-5	2.18	32%	-0.09	-50	0.54%	0	0.9	48	0
24	May_17_2006	88.31	83.66	83.33	83.13			83.08(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-6	-38	1.44	30%	-0.11	-63	0.51%	0	-1	39	0
25	May_16_2006	88.41	83.73	83.35	83.26			83.6(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	0	-35	1.68	31%		-64.5	0.52%	0	-0.2	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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