Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ TLT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $82.9800 (0.4%) ($82.6500 - $83.2300) on Mon. May. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.51% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $82.9800(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(44%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-35%)    EWP(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWG(-33%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.255% (StdDev 0.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $82.27(-0.86%)
Resistance Level   $83.79
5 Day Moving Average   $83.26(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.33(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $83.79(-0.97%)
To recent high   -9.2%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2006	88.46	83.79	83.33	83.26			82.98(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-7	-48	1.43	29%	-0.1	-63.8	0.51%	0	-1.2	35	0
2	May_12_2006	88.55	83.88	83.35	83.4			82.65(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-23	-10000	-9	-65	1.8	29%	-0.1	-63.6	0.5%	0	-1.9	23	0
3	May_11_2006	88.64	83.97	83.51	83.59			83.34(-0.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-13	-10000	2	-56	1.19	30%	-0.08	-71.8	0.49%	0	-1	33	0
4	May_10_2006	88.71	84.05	83.58	83.54			83.75(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	5	-62	1.32	30%	-0.09	-83.8	0.49%	0	-0.5	43	0
5	May_9_2006	88.79	84.14	83.6	83.44			83.6(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-18	-10000	2	-77	0.34	30%	-0.08	-85.4	0.5%	0	-0.8	41	0

6	May_8_2006	88.86	84.22	83.64	83.4			83.65(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-20	-10000	4	-90	0.67	30%	-0.08	-94	0.5%	0	-0.8	36	0
7	May_5_2006	88.93	84.29	83.78	83.31			83.6(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-6	-98	1.69	30%	-0.08	-108.2	0.5%	0	-1	38	0
8	May_4_2006	89	84.4	83.89	83.43			83.1(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-10	-90	0.98	27%	-0.09	-102.2	0.49%	0	-1.7	37	0
9	May_3_2006	89.08	84.58	84.02	83.63			83.24(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-7	-84	1.11	30%	-0.08	-93	0.49%	0	-1.6	33	0
10	May_2_2006	89.15	84.74	84.14	83.78			83.42(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-7	-85	1.1	30%	-0.07	-93.3	0.51%	0	-1.5	31	0

11	May_1_2006	89.21	84.89	84.29	83.92			83.2(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-10000	-18	-85	1.8	29%	-0.08	-99.1	0.51%	0	-1.9	33	0
12	Apr_28_2006	89.28	85.07	84.45	84.31			84.17(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-6	-58	0.81	31%	-0.07	-99.1	0.49%	0	-1	41	0
13	Apr_27_2006	89.34	85.21	84.48	84.43			84.1(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-2	-67	1.86	31%	-0.07	-98.2	0.49%	0	-1.2	33	0
14	Apr_26_2006	89.4	85.37	84.58	84.47			83.99(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-4	-86	1.54	31%	-0.07	-95	0.49%	0	-1.3	28	0
15	Apr_25_2006	89.46	85.57	84.73	84.55			84.13(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-8	-95	2.07	29%	-0.06	-90	0.49%	0	-1.3	30	0

16	Apr_24_2006	89.51	85.79	84.85	84.71			85.14(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-10000	4	-96	0.99	31%	-0.06	-78.1	0.49%	0	-0.5	34	0
17	Apr_21_2006	89.56	85.97	84.84	84.63			84.8(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	3	-130	1.3	31%	-0.06	-70.9	0.48%	0	-0.8	29	0
18	Apr_20_2006	89.61	86.15	84.94	84.56			84.31(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-44	-10000	-7	-155	1.38	29%	-0.07	-71.5	0.48%	0	-1.2	22	0
19	Apr_19_2006	89.67	86.37	85.16	84.7			84.38(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	-10000	-12	-160	1.83	29%	-0.07	-67.8	0.48%	0	-1.3	19	0
20	Apr_18_2006	89.73	86.58	85.37	84.94			84.9(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-10000	-3	-160	2.68	30%	-0.07	-65.7	0.48%	0	-1.1	19	0

21	Apr_17_2006	89.79	86.78	85.53	85.01			84.75(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-10000	-3	-185	1.47	30%	-0.07	-61.5	0.48%	0	-1.3	14	0
22	Apr_13_2006	89.85	86.99	85.74	85.08			84.44(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-65	-10000	-15	-216	3.22	32%	-0.07	-59.2	0.48%	0	-1.7	9	0
23	Apr_12_2006	89.91	87.23	85.99	85.38			85.04(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-65	-10000	-15	-216	1.9	36%	-0.07	-57.5	0.48%	0	-1.6	21	0
24	Apr_11_2006	89.97	87.4	86.24	85.69			85.56(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-58	-10000	-9	-204	1.24	38%	-0.06	-55.3	0.49%	0	-1.4	22	0
25	Apr_10_2006	90.02	87.56	86.46	85.88			85.26(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-10000	-13	-206	1.53	36%		-54.2	0.48%	0	-1.8	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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