Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.0400 (-0.69%) ($89.8500 - $90.4600) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $90.0400(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-33%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $91.45
5 Day Moving Average   $90.43(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.13(-1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.45(-1.54%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2006	90.86	91.45	91.13	90.43			90.04(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-10000	-7	-93	0.62	54%	-0.04	-56.6	0.55%	0	-1.9	45	0
2	Jan_31_2006	90.9	91.54	91.37	90.6			90.67(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-25	-10000	-10	-71	0.68	56%	-0.03	-56.8	0.55%	0	-1.3	49	0
3	Jan_30_2006	90.93	91.61	91.55	90.85			90.42(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-15	-51	0.31	56%	-0.03	-43.8	0.55%	0	-1.8	38	0
4	Jan_27_2006	90.96	91.7	91.72	91.23			90.51(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-17	-10000	-15	-22	1.09	56%	-0.04	-19.4	0.55%	0	-2	40	0
5	Jan_26_2006	91	91.77	91.83	91.61			90.51(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-10	-10000	-13	-1	0.76	54%	-0.03	8.3	0.55%	0	-2.3	38	0

6	Jan_25_2006	91.03	91.88	91.9	91.93			90.9(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-7	-10000	-12	9	1.2	51%	-0.03	46	0.56%	0	-2.1	40	0
7	Jan_24_2006	91.06	91.93	91.93	92.24			91.9(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-4	26	0.3	52%	0	80.9	0.55%	0	-0.1	52	0
8	Jan_23_2006	91.06	91.9	91.92	92.34			92.35(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	11	-10000	3	34	0.72	52%	-0.03	95.8	0.55%	0	1	55	0
9	Jan_20_2006	91.09	91.81	91.86	92.28			92.38(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	7	27	0.84	54%	-0.02	93.6	0.57%	0	1.3	52	0
10	Jan_19_2006	91.11	91.73	91.8	92.1			92.14(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	9	17	0.49	54%	-0.04	91.7	0.57%	0	0.9	52	0

11	Jan_18_2006	91.15	91.67	91.78	91.85			92.41(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	6	-10000	10	-5	0.62	54%	-0.03	75.9	0.56%	0	1.4	46	0
12	Jan_17_2006	91.18	91.58	91.71	91.58			92.44(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.45	54%	-0.07	70	0.56%	0	1.6	56	0
13	Jan_13_2006	91.24	91.48	91.71	91.45			92.03(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	3	-28	0.49	54%	-0.02	62.9	0.56%	0	1	58	0
14	Jan_12_2006	91.26	91.41	91.64	91.39			91.5(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	-3	-18	0.63	51%	-0.03	62.7	0.56%	0	0.1	61	0
15	Jan_11_2006	91.29	91.33	91.68	91.46			90.89(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-8	-10000	-9	-3	0.39	49%	-0.04	62.9	0.56%	0	-0.7	55	0

16	Jan_10_2006	91.33	91.27	91.85	91.69			91.04(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-5	32	0.7	49%	-0.02	65	0.56%	0	-0.3	55	0
17	Jan_9_2006	91.35	91.2	91.94	91.83			91.78(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	57	0.41	51%	-0.02	62.4	0.55%	0	0.7	64	0
18	Jan_6_2006	91.37	91.12	91.89	91.86			91.72(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10000	-3	67	1.19	51%	-0.02	62.4	0.56%	0	0.7	67	0
19	Jan_5_2006	91.39	91.03	91.79	91.86			91.89(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	0	74	0.45	51%	-0.02	63.7	0.56%	0	0.9	65	0
20	Jan_4_2006	91.41	90.93	91.68	91.94			92(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-4	85	0.39	51%	-0.01	62.5	0.56%	0	1.1	73	0

21	Jan_3_2006	91.42	90.79	91.56	91.94			91.78(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	28	-10000	0	111	1.39	48%	-0.04	57.7	0.56%	0	1.1	74	0
22	Dec_30_2005	91.46	90.68	91.46	92.05			91.9(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	5	124	1.1	48%	0	51.4	0.58%	0	1.2	73	0
23	Dec_29_2005	91.46	90.55	91.31	91.92			92.11(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	40	-10000	12	123	0.74	48%	0	45.4	0.58%	0	1.6	65	0
24	Dec_28_2005	91.46	90.44	91.16	91.6			91.91(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	9	114	1.3	50%	0	36.6	0.58%	0	1.6	68	0
25	Dec_27_2005	91.46	90.34	90.94	91.36			92.55(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	35	-10000	13	99	0.52	51%		30.1	0.58%	0	2.6	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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