Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 9, 2005

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. Jun. 25, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $89.5400 (-0.79%) ($89.4700 - $90.0100) on Fri. Dec. 9, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $89.5400(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(68%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(14%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-33%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $89.95
5 Day Moving Average   $89.71(-0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.85(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.95(-0.46%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060109

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_9_2005	91.69		89.85				89.54(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	0	-36	0.82	39%	-0.04	40	0.58%	0	-0.8	45	0
2	Dec_8_2005	91.73	89.95	89.94	89.71			90.25(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.98	40%	-0.03	50	0.58%	0	0.6	46	0
3	Dec_7_2005	91.76	89.86	89.93	89.55			89.67(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-53	0.39	37%	-0.04	32.4	0.57%	0	-0.3	44	0
4	Dec_6_2005	91.8	89.84	90.01	89.62			90.01(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-0	-36	0.97	35%	-0.04	34.7	0.58%	0	0.3	56	0
5	Dec_5_2005	91.84	89.77	90.05	89.63			89.1(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-15	-25	0.43	32%	-0.05	23.8	0.57%	0	-0.9	56	0

6	Dec_2_2005	91.89	89.73	90.16	90.01			89.5(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.75	32%	-0.04	27.3	0.57%	0	-0.3	52	0
7	Dec_1_2005	91.93	89.68	90.27	90.21			89.47(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-10000	-5	35	1.21	31%	-0.04	24.2	0.57%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	Nov_30_2005	91.97	89.66	90.37	90.35			90(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-4	66	1.65	36%	-0.05	27.1	0.58%	0	0.4	65	0
9	Nov_29_2005	92.02	89.62	90.32	90.46			90.1(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-2	74	0.89	36%	-0.04	27.1	0.59%	0	0.6	56	0
10	Nov_28_2005	92.06	89.6	90.21	90.52			90.96(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	7	90	0.88	38%	-0.04	25	0.58%	0	1.6	67	0

11	Nov_25_2005	92.1	89.52	90.06	90.35			90.51(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	-0	93	0.42	38%	-0.08	11.4	0.58%	0	1.3	67	0
12	Nov_23_2005	92.17	89.47	89.96	90.36			90.18(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-10000	-1	109	0.77	38%	-0.04	6	0.57%	0	1	64	0
13	Nov_22_2005	92.21	89.42	89.79	90.4			90.53(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	9	113	1.03	38%	-0.02	1.2	0.57%	0	1.5	61	0
14	Nov_21_2005	92.23	89.38	89.66	90.17			90.41(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-10000	13	102	0.5	38%	-0.05	-9.5	0.57%	0	1.4	56	0
15	Nov_18_2005	92.28	89.39	89.46	89.85			90.14(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	5	65	0.73	40%	-0.06	-17	0.57%	0	0.9	51	0

16	Nov_17_2005	92.34	89.44	89.26	89.72			90.56(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	9	43	1	39%	-0.06	-14.6	0.58%	0	1.3	54	0
17	Nov_16_2005	92.4	89.44	89.03	89.5			90.34(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	16	18	1.82	41%	-0.05	-21.1	0.58%	0	1.1	53	0
18	Nov_15_2005	92.45	89.42	88.86	89.1			89.4(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	1	-19	0.84	38%	-0.09	-35.8	0.57%	0	-0	50	0
19	Nov_14_2005	92.53	89.46	88.84	89.08			88.82(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	3	-27	1.23	36%	-0.08	-43.8	0.57%	0	-0.7	41	0
20	Nov_11_2005	92.6	89.53	88.84	89			89.49(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	11	-39	0.19	42%	-0.08	-54.2	0.58%	0	-0	39	0

21	Nov_10_2005	92.67	89.56	88.84	88.72			89.44(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	9	-77	1.7	42%	-0.08	-71.1	0.58%	0	-0.1	34	0
22	Nov_9_2005	92.74	89.6	88.93	88.49			88.36(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-4	-114	1.14	39%	-0.06	-83	0.56%	0	-1.4	35	0
23	Nov_8_2005	92.8	89.72	89.03	88.49			89.28(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-30	-10000	0	-121	1.4	41%	-0.05	-82.7	0.55%	0	-0.5	41	0
24	Nov_7_2005	92.85	89.83	89.08	88.59			88.42(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-11	-134	1.12	38%	-0.06	-76.8	0.54%	0	-1.4	35	0
25	Nov_4_2005	92.91	90	89.3	88.86			88.12(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-13	-114	1.89	36%		-66.4	0.54%	0	-1.8	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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