Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2005

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $91.7400 (0.23%) ($91.2100 - $91.8400) on Thu. May. 5, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $91.7400(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(42%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.03(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.95(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.28(0.5%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.23% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2005	90.17	91.28	91.95	92.03			91.74(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-6	35	1.76	40%	0.02	63.4	0.63%	0	0.4	56	0
2	May_4_2005	90.15	91.13	91.86	92.2			91.53(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-3	54	2.21	44%	0.02	63.3	0.64%	0	0.3	64	0
3	May_3_2005	90.13	91.03	91.88	92.28			92.34(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	5	77	1.89	45%	0.04	65.2	0.65%	0	1.1	69	0
4	May_2_2005	90.09	90.87	91.83	92.13			92.09(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	2	84	1.36	45%	0.03	65.9	0.65%	0	1	65	0
5	Apr_29_2005	90.06	90.73	91.73	92.06			92.44(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	6	98	1.45	45%	0.04	69.9	0.65%	0	1.4	73	0

6	Apr_28_2005	90.02	90.57	91.59	91.87			92.6(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	13	112	1.06	48%	0.03	73.8	0.65%	0	1.7	76	0
7	Apr_27_2005	89.99	90.4	91.33	91.49			91.92(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	2	99	0.68	46%	0.04	72.8	0.66%	0	1.3	75	0
8	Apr_26_2005	89.95	90.23	91.14	91.44			91.6(-0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-10000	-2	103	0.55	46%	0.04	75.6	0.66%	0	1.2	66	0
9	Apr_25_2005	89.91	90.07	91.01	91.5			91.74(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	5	123	0.82	44%	0.06	73.7	0.66%	0	1.4	68	0
10	Apr_22_2005	89.86	89.87	90.79	91.35			91.47(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	2	118	0.98	44%	0.06	70.3	0.66%	0	1.4	65	0

11	Apr_21_2005	89.81	89.71	90.55	91.28			90.71(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	33	-10000	5	115	1.39	42%	0.06	66.7	0.66%	0	0.9	61	0
12	Apr_20_2005	89.76	89.58	90.35	91.12			91.67(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	11	105	1.62	44%	0.06	59.4	0.65%	0	1.8	70	0
13	Apr_19_2005	89.71	89.38	90.12	90.79			91.9(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	-10000	11	95	1.84	44%	0.04	50.8	0.65%	0	2.3	75	0
14	Apr_18_2005	89.67	89.19	89.82	90.46			91.02(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	11	87	3.51	41%	0.03	46.7	0.64%	0	1.9	75	0
15	Apr_15_2005	89.64	89.07	89.63	90.14			91.09(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	33	-10000	15	86	2.96	41%	0.02	44.2	0.64%	0	2.4	78	0

16	Apr_14_2005	89.62	88.96	89.44	89.72			89.9(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	9	72	1.46	37%	0.01	37.5	0.62%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Apr_13_2005	89.61	88.91	89.38	89.46			90.04(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	-10000	5	69	1	40%	0.01	32	0.62%	0	1.7	68	0
18	Apr_12_2005	89.6	88.82	89.24	89.33			90.26(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	9	72	1.93	40%	0.02	17.1	0.63%	0	2.3	73	0
19	Apr_11_2005	89.58	88.75	89.04	89.09			89.43(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	1	56	1.46	39%	0.01	-8.3	0.62%	0	1.3	58	0
20	Apr_8_2005	89.57	88.69	88.88	89.06			88.95(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	45	0.44	39%	0	-29.3	0.61%	0	0.5	52	0

21	Apr_7_2005	89.57	88.7	88.81	89.13			88.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-5	40	0.97	39%	0	-29.8	0.62%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	Apr_6_2005	89.57	88.69	88.77	89.26			89.36(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	5	45	0.4	41%	0.01	-31	0.61%	0	1.3	53	0
23	Apr_5_2005	89.56	88.71	88.6	89.13			89.05(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	6	31	0.73	41%	0.02	-32.8	0.61%	0	0.6	56	0
24	Apr_4_2005	89.54	88.79	88.53	88.97			89.28(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	11	17	0.75	39%	0.01	-26.5	0.61%	0	0.7	51	0
25	Apr_1_2005	89.53	88.84	88.46	88.66			89.3(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	8	-1	2.81	39%		-38	0.62%	0	0.6	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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