Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $89.4300 (0.54%) ($88.9400 - $89.6200) on Mon. Apr. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $89.4300(0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   TLT advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.09(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.04(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.75(0.77%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.6% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2005	89.58	88.75	89.04	89.09			89.43(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	1	56	1.46	39%	0.01	-8.3	0.62%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Apr_8_2005	89.57	88.69	88.88	89.06			88.95(0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	45	0.44	39%	0	-29.3	0.61%	0	0.5	52	0
3	Apr_7_2005	89.57	88.7	88.81	89.13			88.64(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-5	40	0.97	39%	0	-29.8	0.62%	0	-0.1	44	0
4	Apr_6_2005	89.57	88.69	88.77	89.26			89.36(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	5	45	0.4	41%	0.01	-31	0.61%	0	1.3	53	0
5	Apr_5_2005	89.56	88.71	88.6	89.13			89.05(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	6	31	0.73	41%	0.02	-32.8	0.61%	0	0.6	56	0

6	Apr_4_2005	89.54	88.79	88.53	88.97			89.28(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	-10000	11	17	0.75	39%	0.01	-26.5	0.61%	0	0.7	51	0
7	Apr_1_2005	89.53	88.84	88.46	88.66			89.3(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	8	-1	2.81	39%	0.02	-38	0.62%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Mar_31_2005	89.51	88.84	88.44	88.45			89.33(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	9	-11	2.41	39%	0.03	-49.5	0.63%	0	0.6	50	0
9	Mar_30_2005	89.48	88.85	88.38	88.21			88.69(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	8	-23	1.1	38%	0.01	-64.2	0.62%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Mar_29_2005	89.47	88.9	88.35	88			88.25(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-2	-56	1.14	38%	0.01	-74	0.62%	0	-0.8	38	0

11	Mar_28_2005	89.46	88.99	88.41	88.04			87.73(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-6	-75	0.38	38%	0	-76.5	0.62%	0	-1.4	30	0
12	Mar_24_2005	89.46	89.15	88.49	88.22			88.27(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-7	-86	0.75	37%	0	-69.5	0.62%	0	-0.9	36	0
13	Mar_23_2005	89.46	89.26	88.57	88.42			88.09(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-6	-81	1.95	37%	-0.01	-71.3	0.62%	0	-1.2	42	0
14	Mar_22_2005	89.47	89.4	88.62	88.59			87.67(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-5	-81	2.55	37%	0	-77.1	0.62%	0	-1.8	40	0
15	Mar_21_2005	89.47	89.54	88.86	88.73			88.42(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-4	-72	0.9	39%	-0.01	-92.8	0.61%	0	-1.3	42	0

16	Mar_18_2005	89.48	89.66	89.09	88.84			88.67(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-10000	2	-56	0.72	39%	-0.01	-100	0.61%	0	-1.1	42	0
17	Mar_17_2005	89.49	89.81	89.26	88.79			89.23(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	1	-66	1.03	40%	0.01	-100	0.61%	0	-0.6	38	0
18	Mar_16_2005	89.48	89.95	89.29	88.76			88.94(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	3	-77	2.1	37%	-0.01	-98.3	0.61%	0	-1	40	0
19	Mar_15_2005	89.49	90.13	89.36	88.68			88.4(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-11	-99	0.96	38%	-0.02	-96.9	0.63%	0	-1.5	36	0
20	Mar_14_2005	89.51	90.36	89.5	89			88.96(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-10000	-14	-88	0.81	39%	0	-86.2	0.64%	0	-1.1	41	0

21	Mar_11_2005	89.51	90.54	89.61	89.39			88.43(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-15	-77	1.02	39%	-0.02	-74.5	0.63%	0	-1.6	35	0
22	Mar_10_2005	89.53	90.77	89.86	89.8			89.08(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-3	-55	1.36	41%	0	-62.7	0.63%	0	-1.3	33	0
23	Mar_9_2005	89.53	91.01	90.01	89.89			88.54(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-7	-71	2.55	39%	-0.01	-47.7	0.62%	0	-1.8	26	0
24	Mar_8_2005	89.54	91.28	90.25	90.1			90.01(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	2	-76	0.68	48%	0.02	-35.7	0.59%	0	-0.9	29	0
25	Mar_7_2005	89.52	91.44	90.29	90.04			90.87(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-21	-10000	6	-103	0.89	50%		-31.4	0.61%	0	-0.4	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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