Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. May. 23, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.5100 (1.08%) ($89.8700 - $90.6700) on Fri. Mar. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.61% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $90.5100(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(15%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.305% (StdDev 0.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

Resistance Level   $91.53
5 Day Moving Average   $89.87(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.28(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.53(-1.11%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2005	89.5	91.53	90.28	89.87			90.51(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-38	-10000	-4	-138	1.57	50%	0.02	-31	0.61%	0	-0.7	30	0
2	Mar_3_2005	89.48	91.58	90.38	89.97			89.54(-0.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-10000	-8	-150	1.6	52%	0.01	-27.6	0.6%	0	-1.4	19	0
3	Mar_2_2005	89.47	91.69	90.65	90.18			89.59(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-8	-152	1.14	52%	0.01	-22.6	0.63%	0	-1.6	15	0
4	Mar_1_2005	89.46	91.78	90.94	90.41			89.71(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-42	-10000	-5	-152	1.65	50%	0.02	-16.9	0.63%	0	-1.7	19	0
5	Feb_28_2005	89.44	91.9	91.27	90.56			90.02(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-6	-146	2.8	47%	0.02	-13.5	0.64%	0	-1.6	27	0

6	Feb_25_2005	89.42	91.98	91.55	90.73			91(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-38	-10000	-4	-140	0.59	48%	0.04	-8.5	0.63%	0	-0.9	39	0
7	Feb_24_2005	89.38	91.97	91.73	90.86			90.56(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-10000	-12	-124	0.8	48%	0.04	-6.7	0.63%	0	-1.3	48	0
8	Feb_23_2005	89.34	91.99	92.08	91.2			90.76(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-13	-82	1.12	48%	0.03	1.7	0.63%	0	-1.1	49	0
9	Feb_22_2005	89.31	92	92.39	91.57			90.46(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-18	-41	0.91	48%	0.06	11.6	0.63%	0	-1.4	49	0
10	Feb_18_2005	89.26	92.06	92.69	92.1			90.86(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10000	-13	6	2.66	46%	0.02	31.3	0.63%	0	-1.1	47	0

11	Feb_17_2005	89.24	92.08	92.9	92.48			91.68(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-8	43	1.15	51%	0.04	45.2	0.62%	0	-0.4	54	0
12	Feb_16_2005	89.2	92.05	92.89	92.72			92.26(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-13	62	1.19	52%	0.02	57.6	0.63%	0	0.2	65	0
13	Feb_15_2005	89.18	91.97	92.83	93.09			92.61(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-9	96	0.9	52%	0.03	71.5	0.62%	0	0.6	66	0
14	Feb_14_2005	89.15	91.87	92.71	93.34			93.08(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-2	123	0.3	52%	0.04	85.5	0.62%	0	1.1	70	0
15	Feb_11_2005	89.11	91.73	92.58	93.39			92.79(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	1	131	1.28	55%	0.04	92.9	0.63%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Feb_10_2005	89.07	91.6	92.45	93.37			92.85(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	43	-10000	10	140	1.24	55%	0.03	98.4	0.63%	0	1.1	62	0
17	Feb_9_2005	89.04	91.42	92.24	93.07			94.12(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	-10000	19	130	2.13	59%	0.06	93.2	0.61%	0	2.2	73	0
18	Feb_8_2005	88.99	91.17	91.89	92.53			93.87(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	-10000	19	100	1.38	59%	0.07	93.5	0.61%	0	2.4	73	0
19	Feb_7_2005	88.93	90.91	91.54	92			93.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	12	68	1.06	59%	0.06	86.3	0.61%	0	2.3	73	0
20	Feb_4_2005	88.88	90.67	91.33	91.67			92.65(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	8	58	3.48	54%	0.06	82.1	0.62%	0	1.9	72	0

21	Feb_3_2005	88.83	90.45	91.15	91.43			91.35(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	6	54	0.51	50%	0.05	75.2	0.6%	0	0.9	64	0
22	Feb_2_2005	88.79	90.31	91.1	91.27			91.43(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	5	62	0.76	50%	0.05	69.4	0.59%	0	1	72	0
23	Feb_1_2005	88.75	90.13	91.03	91.13			91.22(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	70	0.95	48%	0.03	61.8	0.59%	0	0.9	72	0
24	Jan_31_2005	88.72	90.01	90.96	90.99			91.71(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	2	78	1.31	48%	0.06	62.6	0.61%	0	1.4	81	0
25	Jan_28_2005	88.67	89.85	90.81	90.93			91.45(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	3	92	1.13	48%		63	0.61%	0	1.4	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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