Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 23, 2005

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Thu. Jun. 20, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $90.7600 (0.33%) ($90.4300 - $91.1700) on Wed. Feb. 23, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $90.7600(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   TLT declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(45%)    SHY(43%)    GLD(14%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWI(-34%)    IWM(-33%)    EWP(-33%)    EWG(-32%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $91.99
5 Day Moving Average   $91.2(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.08(-1.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.99(-1.34%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_23_2005	89.34	91.99	92.08	91.2			90.76(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-13	-82	1.12	48%	0.03	1.7	0.63%	0	-1.1	49	0
2	Feb_22_2005	89.31	92	92.39	91.57			90.46(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-10000	-18	-41	0.91	48%	0.06	11.6	0.63%	0	-1.4	49	0
3	Feb_18_2005	89.26	92.06	92.69	92.1			90.86(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10000	-13	6	2.66	46%	0.02	31.3	0.63%	0	-1.1	47	0
4	Feb_17_2005	89.24	92.08	92.9	92.48			91.68(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-8	43	1.15	51%	0.04	45.2	0.62%	0	-0.4	54	0
5	Feb_16_2005	89.2	92.05	92.89	92.72			92.26(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-13	62	1.19	52%	0.02	57.6	0.63%	0	0.2	65	0

6	Feb_15_2005	89.18	91.97	92.83	93.09			92.61(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-9	96	0.9	52%	0.03	71.5	0.62%	0	0.6	66	0
7	Feb_14_2005	89.15	91.87	92.71	93.34			93.08(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-2	123	0.3	52%	0.04	85.5	0.62%	0	1.1	70	0
8	Feb_11_2005	89.11	91.73	92.58	93.39			92.79(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	34	-10000	1	131	1.28	55%	0.04	92.9	0.63%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Feb_10_2005	89.07	91.6	92.45	93.37			92.85(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	43	-10000	10	140	1.24	55%	0.03	98.4	0.63%	0	1.1	62	0
10	Feb_9_2005	89.04	91.42	92.24	93.07			94.12(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	-10000	19	130	2.13	59%	0.06	93.2	0.61%	0	2.2	73	0

11	Feb_8_2005	88.99	91.17	91.89	92.53			93.87(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	39	-10000	19	100	1.38	59%	0.07	93.5	0.61%	0	2.4	73	0
12	Feb_7_2005	88.93	90.91	91.54	92			93.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	12	68	1.06	59%	0.06	86.3	0.61%	0	2.3	73	0
13	Feb_4_2005	88.88	90.67	91.33	91.67			92.65(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	8	58	3.48	54%	0.06	82.1	0.62%	0	1.9	72	0
14	Feb_3_2005	88.83	90.45	91.15	91.43			91.35(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	6	54	0.51	50%	0.05	75.2	0.6%	0	0.9	64	0
15	Feb_2_2005	88.79	90.31	91.1	91.27			91.43(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	5	62	0.76	50%	0.05	69.4	0.59%	0	1	72	0

16	Feb_1_2005	88.75	90.13	91.03	91.13			91.22(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	5	70	0.95	48%	0.03	61.8	0.59%	0	0.9	72	0
17	Jan_31_2005	88.72	90.01	90.96	90.99			91.71(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	2	78	1.31	48%	0.06	62.6	0.61%	0	1.4	81	0
18	Jan_28_2005	88.67	89.85	90.81	90.93			91.45(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	25	-10000	3	92	1.13	48%	0.06	63	0.61%	0	1.4	81	0
19	Jan_27_2005	88.62	89.69	90.68	90.84			90.54(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-10000	-3	107	0.46	42%	0.03	61.3	0.6%	0	0.8	79	0
20	Jan_26_2005	88.59	89.55	90.57	90.91			90.71(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	-0	124	0.71	42%	0.05	55.4	0.61%	0	1	82	0

21	Jan_25_2005	88.55	89.41	90.43	90.92			90.54(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	-10000	1	141	1.94	42%	0.02	50.8	0.61%	0	1	84	0
22	Jan_24_2005	88.53	89.28	90.26	90.9			91.4(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	9	149	0.56	45%	0.06	47.4	0.6%	0	1.8	77	0
23	Jan_21_2005	88.48	89.13	89.97	90.66			91.01(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	6	135	0.61	45%	0.06	44.7	0.6%	0	1.7	76	0
24	Jan_20_2005	88.43	89.01	89.71	90.49			90.91(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	12	131	1.06	47%	0.03	38.9	0.6%	0	1.9	77	0
25	Jan_19_2005	88.4	88.91	89.45	90.17			90.73(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	38	-10000	11	118	0.66	47%		32.7	0.6%	0	2	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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