Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 15, 2004

Trading Signals: TLT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Wed. Jun. 26, 2024)

(iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
TLT latest price $88.6700 (-0.35%) ($88.1800 - $88.9900) on Fri. Oct. 15, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $88.6700(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   TLT advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support TLT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TIP(69%)    LQD(46%)    SHY(43%)    FXI(-1%)    REMX(-1%)
Factors Impacting TLT price   TLT will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
SPY(-34%)    EWP(-33%)    EWI(-33%)    IWM(-32%)    EWG(-32%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.5(0.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.99(0.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.42(0.28%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. TLT price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2004	85.51	88.42	87.99	88.5			88.67(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	6	-1	0.75	66%	0.07	21.5	0.58%	0	0.3	37	0
2	Oct_14_2004	85.45	88.38	87.87	88.35			88.98(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	-10000	17	-27	0.72	66%	0.07	21.5	0.58%	0	0.7	43	0
3	Oct_13_2004	85.39	88.35	87.78	87.92			88.56(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-9	-10000	11	-70	0.65	66%	0.08	13.7	0.58%	0	0.3	41	0
4	Oct_12_2004	85.32	88.29	87.76	87.64			88.24(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-22	-10000	5	-104	0.76	66%	0.07	5.2	0.58%	0	-0.1	35	0
5	Oct_11_2004	85.26	88.26	87.86	87.51			88.04(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	3	-107	0.06	66%	0.08	6.1	0.58%	0	-0.3	44	0

6	Oct_8_2004	85.19	88.24	88.02	87.42			87.95(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-23	-10000	4	-102	1.53	66%	0.07	7.8	0.58%	0	-0.3	46	0
7	Oct_7_2004	85.13	88.21	88.15	87.32			86.8(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-12	-104	2.13	62%	0.06	6.5	0.56%	0	-1.5	44	0
8	Oct_6_2004	85.08	88.23	88.41	87.61			87.18(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-11	-76	0.53	62%	0.07	13.6	0.56%	0	-1.2	43	0
9	Oct_5_2004	85.02	88.25	88.66	87.89			87.58(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-10000	-16	-36	0.5	62%	0.07	18.5	0.55%	0	-0.7	55	0
10	Oct_4_2004	84.96	88.21	88.8	88.27			87.58(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-13	-10000	-18	1	1.11	62%	0.07	26.6	0.56%	0	-0.7	53	0

11	Oct_1_2004	84.9	88.17	88.91	88.71			87.45(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-16	43	2	65%	0.08	37.4	0.57%	0	-0.7	53	0
12	Sep_30_2004	84.83	88.15	88.98	89.11			88.25(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10000	-9	84	1.95	72%	0.09	46.2	0.56%	0	0.1	62	0
13	Sep_29_2004	84.75	88.11	89.01	89.32			88.59(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-9	114	1.97	72%	0.08	56.7	0.57%	0	0.5	66	0
14	Sep_28_2004	84.68	88.07	88.91	89.54			89.46(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	6	144	1.16	71%	0.09	71.4	0.55%	0	1.3	70	0
15	Sep_27_2004	84.6	87.95	88.72	89.4			89.82(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	10	145	1.42	71%	0.11	75.7	0.57%	0	1.9	77	0

16	Sep_24_2004	84.51	87.8	88.49	89.14			89.43(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	12	141	1.98	71%	0.08	76.4	0.57%	0	1.8	75	0
17	Sep_23_2004	84.44	87.66	88.25	88.84			89.32(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	8	126	2.39	71%	0.08	74.7	0.57%	0	1.9	74	0
18	Sep_22_2004	84.37	87.51	88.02	88.64			89.68(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	-10000	18	115	2.54	71%	0.08	74.2	0.57%	0	2.7	65	0
19	Sep_21_2004	84.3	87.33	87.77	88.18			88.76(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	10	79	1.02	69%	0.07	63.8	0.56%	0	2	57	0
20	Sep_20_2004	84.24	87.19	87.55	87.94			88.5(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	8	56	0.73	69%	0.06	55.3	0.56%	0	2	60	0

21	Sep_17_2004	84.19	87.09	87.36	87.74			87.92(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	41	0.77	68%	0.06	50.7	0.55%	0	1.4	60	0
22	Sep_16_2004	84.14	87.02	87.23	87.58			88.36(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	12	30	1.1	68%	0.05	48.5	0.55%	0	2.4	63	0
23	Sep_15_2004	84.1	86.92	87.13	87.3			87.37(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10000	1	19	0.64	70%	0.04	42.9	0.54%	0	0.9	61	0
24	Sep_14_2004	84.07	86.89	87.16	87.28			87.57(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	37	0.7	66%	0.05	54.5	0.6%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Sep_13_2004	84.03	86.83	87.12	87.08			87.48(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	6	36	0.15	66%		47.2	0.61%	0	1.4	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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